Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
89.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
141
lifetime
Volume
$563
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$47
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 07-22 19:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
82% 100% +$2
Politics
9% 100% +$1
Sports
4% 50% $-1
Tech
4%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +30 $20 66¢ $20 +$0 07-22 19:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +16 $10 52¢ $8 $-2 07-06 19:32
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +53 $10 16¢ $8 $-2 06-24 18:03
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-22 18:01
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -3 $-2 88¢ $-2 $-0 06-22 18:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -3 $-2 66¢ $-2 +$0 07-20 03:04
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -19 $-2 $-1 +$0 06-22 18:06
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -2 $-1 57¢ $-1 $-0 06-22 18:02
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -17 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-22 18:02
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes -16 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-22 18:03