Ironclad-Thermometer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

30.2%

Resolved

Trades

685

lifetime

Volume

$799

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-08 10:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 46% $-22

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?	Yes		+11	$1	6¢	$1	$-0	06-03 02:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin ETF Flows on May 19?	5	$39	41	0	+41	open	—	05-19 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	13	$37	40	40	+0	open	—	05-20 02:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?	20	$23	686	635	+51	open	—	04-27 09:32
bitcoin etf flows on may 20	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-20 19:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	8	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$10	72	0	+72	open	—	06-01 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$10	10	5	+5	open	—	05-20 02:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	9	$9	4,725	0	+4,725	No	$-9	05-08 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	8	$9	17	16	+1	Down	$-2	05-07 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	6	$9	15	5	+10	open	—	05-28 06:42
btc updown 5m 1776223800	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	04-15 03:18
btc updown 5m 1776223200	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	04-15 03:15
btc updown 5m 1780748700	5	$7	25	0	+25	open	—	06-06 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	7	$6	68	33	+35	Down	$-2	05-12 09:39
hype up or down may 31 2026 10pm et	3	$6	5	1	+4	open	—	06-01 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	7	$6	6	6	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 02:35
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	7	$6	9	9	+0	open	—	05-30 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	5	$6	6	6	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 09:50
bitcoin etf flows on may 21	3	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	05-21 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-22 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	6	$6	7	7	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 10:02
btc updown 5m 1775529600	3	$6	7	5	+2	open	—	04-07 02:37
Solana Up or Down on May 20?	5	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-20 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$5	56	0	+56	Down	$-5	05-13 03:54
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 3am et	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-06 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	6	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	06-02 10:21
btc updown 5m 1780568100	3	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-04 10:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-29 07:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 10:28:28	btc updown 5m 1780914600	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x807811…
06-08 07:46:04	btc updown 5m 1780910700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x23f028…
06-08 07:22:48	btc updown 5m 1780910700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x90a6e6…
06-08 05:37:43	btc updown 4h 1780891200	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xfd97de…
06-06 13:41:27	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x70f489…
06-06 12:32:25	btc updown 5m 1780749000	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x80c472…
06-06 12:32:21	btc updown 5m 1780749000	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x744827…
06-06 12:31:40	btc updown 5m 1780749000	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xdff385…
06-06 12:28:49	btc updown 5m 1780748700	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x82bc34…
06-06 12:28:22	btc updown 5m 1780748700	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3e1b7c…
06-06 12:27:52	btc updown 5m 1780748700	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x00f602…
06-06 12:27:49	btc updown 5m 1780748700	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x11ad62…
06-06 12:26:46	btc updown 5m 1780748700	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfe4778…
06-06 12:24:57	btc updown 5m 1780748400	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x03b041…
06-06 12:24:24	btc updown 5m 1780748400	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xecaa0f…
06-06 12:10:49	xrp updown 5m 1780747800	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x118bee…
06-06 08:43:03	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x709370…
06-06 07:42:43	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xab5a9a…
06-06 07:39:43	btc updown 5m 1780731300	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa7a558…
06-06 07:36:31	btc updown 5m 1780731300	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xcd5210…
06-06 07:36:13	btc updown 5m 1780731300	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6c3cfe…
06-06 07:35:52	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	262	0¢	$1	0x2f4022…
06-06 05:02:21	btc updown 5m 1780722300	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd30ff0…
06-06 02:05:19	btc updown 5m 1780711500	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc40f97…
06-06 01:54:57	btc updown 5m 1780710900	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x259dd9…
06-05 12:51:22	eth updown 5m 1780663800	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xea4f2e…
06-05 09:22:01	btc updown 5m 1780651200	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x129388…
06-05 09:11:55	btc updown 5m 1780650600	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x221d21…
06-05 08:20:18	btc updown 5m 1780647600	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0edeb8…
06-05 08:17:57	btc updown 5m 1780647300	Up	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xd0337c…
06-05 08:07:01	btc updown 5m 1780646700	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x410863…
06-05 07:52:40	btc updown 5m 1780645800	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xee1a99…
06-05 07:47:51	btc updown 5m 1780645500	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x48fd84…
06-05 07:45:31	itf knitter majchrz 2026 06 05	Kacper Knitter	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x06cdd1…
06-05 06:20:43	xrp updown 5m 1780640700	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7321f0…
06-05 06:19:42	xrp updown 5m 1780640400	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x91b6e9…
06-05 06:19:31	xrp updown 5m 1780640400	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd3a68f…
06-05 05:31:51	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd94616…
06-05 03:45:10	sol updown 5m 1780631100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3ba4fc…
06-05 03:21:04	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x97bc31…
06-05 02:40:10	xrp updown 5m 1780627200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7dcd0c…
06-04 10:56:42	btc updown 5m 1780570500	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xeed545…
06-04 10:17:18	btc updown 5m 1780568100	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8a1dac…
06-04 10:16:06	btc updown 5m 1780568100	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x8f8488…
06-04 10:15:57	btc updown 5m 1780568100	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xa5f739…
06-04 10:14:58	btc updown 5m 1780567800	Up	BUY	188	1¢	$2	0x18bc39…
06-04 09:45:48	xrp updown 5m 1780566300	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcbc2d8…
06-04 09:45:34	bnb updown 5m 1780566300	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x232853…
06-04 09:45:13	btc updown 5m 1780566300	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf6a1ff…
06-04 09:44:13	btc updown 5m 1780566000	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xf821ff…
06-04 09:43:52	btc updown 5m 1780566000	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd4f249…
06-04 09:42:31	btc updown 5m 1780566000	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x7ce64d…
06-04 09:42:19	btc updown 5m 1780566000	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xd3f26b…
06-04 09:42:07	btc updown 5m 1780566000	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4213e5…
06-04 09:35:43	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	154	0¢	$0	0x285eee…
06-04 09:29:10	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5c4c74…
06-04 09:16:09	btc updown 5m 1780564500	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x373f48…
06-04 09:15:27	btc updown 5m 1780564500	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2f3f93…
06-04 09:11:27	btc updown 5m 1780564200	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xce475e…
06-04 09:10:42	btc updown 5m 1780564200	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x44867b…
06-04 09:09:25	btc updown 5m 1780563900	Up	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x0221a5…
06-04 09:09:13	btc updown 5m 1780563900	Up	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x778a3d…
06-04 09:09:04	btc updown 5m 1780563900	Up	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xbf922b…
06-04 08:36:49	btc updown 5m 1780563300	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x31430e…
06-04 08:23:01	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa5dcae…
06-04 07:48:52	btc updown 5m 1780559100	Up	SELL	52	1¢	$1	0xa53544…
06-04 07:48:27	btc updown 5m 1780559100	Up	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xe0c1ea…
06-04 04:16:45	btc updown 5m 1780546500	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xdfb44f…
06-04 03:41:57	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x6ad7c0…
06-04 03:40:25	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb508d2…
06-04 03:40:03	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb9debc…
06-04 03:39:49	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc36d3c…
06-04 03:28:12	btc updown 5m 1780543500	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x4f959e…
06-04 03:28:03	btc updown 5m 1780543500	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc95826…
06-04 03:27:12	eth updown 5m 1780543500	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xd3c504…
06-04 03:26:51	eth updown 5m 1780543500	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x934554…
06-04 03:22:27	eth updown 5m 1780543200	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x8eb7d3…
06-04 03:21:21	btc updown 5m 1780543200	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xc5b87a…
06-04 03:18:54	btc updown 5m 1780542900	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9b76bc…
06-04 03:17:43	btc updown 5m 1780542900	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x517ffe…
06-04 02:31:19	btc updown 5m 1780540200	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3e00ee…
06-04 02:19:07	btc updown 5m 1780539300	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x287051…
06-04 02:02:36	btc updown 5m 1780538700	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x5851ac…
06-04 02:02:13	btc updown 5m 1780538700	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb39fa0…
06-04 01:45:36	btc updown 5m 1780537500	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x6b1add…
06-04 01:45:03	btc updown 5m 1780537500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc2b918…
06-03 10:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x04398b…
06-03 10:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb199d3…
06-03 08:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x9e6fdd…
06-03 08:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xd60999…
06-03 05:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x283dd5…
06-03 05:55:18	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1cf865…
06-03 05:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcda911…
06-03 03:30:27	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	175	1¢	$1	0x9f9e9e…
06-03 02:25:53	Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1fbf77…
06-03 01:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x32b2f5…
06-02 10:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd02123…
06-02 10:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xc8b67e…
06-02 10:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x44a1af…
06-02 10:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x0d2e4b…