Realized P&L
+$1.41K
Unrealized P&L
+$226
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
72
Trades
1,382
lifetime
Volume
$10.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.46K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 16:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
49% 50% +$1,944
Crypto
37% 12% -$209
Tech
12% 55% -$367
Politics
2% 22% +$41
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -600 -$233 81¢ $-486 -$253 06-14 04:51
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -500 -$101 56¢ $-277 -$176 08-24 09:50
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? Yes +625 -$40 17¢ $106 +$146 09-22 12:49
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -2,420 -$67 3¢ $-64 +$3 10-30 08:46
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +140 $32 43¢ $60 +$27 06-21 16:13
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +305 $97 15¢ $46 -$51 08-22 03:59
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 OpenAI +500 $42 8¢ $40 -$2 09-13 21:13
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +250 -$166 15¢ $38 +$204 07-02 02:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +300 $21 11¢ $33 +$12 08-23 09:49
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +200 $24 14¢ $28 +$4 09-27 11:39
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +473 $37 6¢ $27 -$10 09-25 12:53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +200 $14 13¢ $27 +$13 10-02 04:29
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 Yes +125 -$16 20¢ $26 +$42 08-15 08:39
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? Yes -500 -$141 5¢ $-25 +$116 09-17 16:17
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $40 5¢ $20 -$20 05-21 21:34
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -57 -$163 30¢ $-17 +$146 09-16 03:40
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +343 $8 5¢ $16 +$8 10-19 07:17
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +700 $14 2¢ $14 +$0 09-11 00:54
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +200 $19 7¢ $14 -$5 09-06 11:52
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +200 $22 6¢ $12 -$10 08-20 18:47
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +200 $24 6¢ $11 -$13 09-21 21:54
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +200 $6 5¢ $10 +$4 09-13 12:29
will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533 Yes +200 $22 5¢ $10 -$12 07-09 09:40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? Yes +200 $12 5¢ $9 -$3 06-14 15:50
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -505 -$45 2¢ $-9 +$36 10-19 07:17
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +795 -$31 1¢ $8 +$39 09-14 06:10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes +160 $18 5¢ $8 -$10 05-26 23:45
michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195 Yes +150 $11 4¢ $5 -$5 07-07 13:36
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes +700 -$26 1¢ $5 +$31 08-31 16:22
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +300 $39 1¢ $4 -$35 06-05 21:37