(anonymous) 0xc22b72…25deab
bot new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$197
Hit rate
81.6%
Resolved
369
Trades
2,258
lifetime
Volume
$38.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$16.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-27
last 10-30 13:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
57% 86% +$6
Politics
35% — —
Tech
7% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% 58% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 994 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,616 $1,074 70¢ $1.1K +$50 10-29 17:48
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +1,200 $1,108 92¢ $1.1K +$2 10-29 13:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,015 $992 98¢ $996 +$4 10-29 07:13
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +1,200 $884 78¢ $930 +$46 10-30 11:33
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +942 $837 98¢ $928 +$91 10-29 06:19
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,200 $880 74¢ $882 +$2 10-30 03:29
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +1,200 $796 66¢ $792 -$4 10-28 16:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,015 $834 74¢ $756 -$78 10-29 07:13
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +800 $729 92¢ $740 +$11 10-28 18:17
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +800 $616 82¢ $656 +$40 10-28 22:10
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +800 $652 82¢ $652 +$0 10-29 17:45
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,016 $665 30¢ $615 -$50 10-29 17:51
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No — +800 $584 71¢ $568 -$16 10-30 12:22
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +632 $436 70¢ $446 +$9 10-29 17:36
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +1,200 $396 34¢ $408 +$12 10-28 16:34
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +400 $391 99¢ $398 +$7 10-28 20:06
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +400 $393 99¢ $398 +$4 10-28 20:06
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +400 $332 86¢ $346 +$14 10-29 16:38
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +400 $335 84¢ $335 +$1 10-29 17:49
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +532 $333 62¢ $327 -$5 10-30 13:57
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,200 $312 26¢ $318 +$6 10-30 03:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,015 $209 30¢ $299 +$90 10-29 07:13
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +433 $323 68¢ $293 -$31 10-29 08:22
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +400 $272 70¢ $282 +$10 10-29 17:53
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +400 $276 68¢ $274 -$2 10-30 03:49
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +400 $272 68¢ $274 +$2 10-28 01:28
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +1,200 $304 22¢ $270 -$34 10-30 11:33
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +400 $260 67¢ $268 +$8 10-30 12:46
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +800 $208 29¢ $232 +$24 10-30 12:21
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +400 $240 56¢ $224 -$16 10-28 09:31