Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$108

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

Trades

230

lifetime

Volume

$1.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-17

last 10-25 22:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

73% 75% +$22

Sports

18% 60% +$61

Crypto

9% 50% +$25

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1	$3	8¢	$0	-$3	10-18 15:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump's approval rating hit 39% by June 30, 2027?	8	$116	120	120	+0	open	—	10-19 08:39
Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?	5	$75	227	227	+0	open	—	10-17 18:31
Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?	2	$74	42	41	+1	Yes	+$4	10-19 17:00
Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?	7	$72	60	60	+0	open	—	10-20 22:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 18?	5	$70	43	43	+0	No	-$5	10-18 19:59
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 108.5	3	$66	43	42	+1	Over	+$18	10-21 02:56
Paris curfew by October 21?	5	$65	47	46	+1	Yes	+$18	10-19 18:15
2H Spread: Browns (-21.5)	6	$65	130	127	+3	Ravens	+$34	10-18 20:13
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5	4	$64	133	42	+91	Under	-$19	10-21 02:37
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 18?	5	$60	39	26	+13	No	+$5	10-18 15:31
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?	6	$46	129	129	+0	open	—	10-17 18:31
Will Dak Prescott have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	5	$43	40	39	+1	open	—	10-20 13:56
Will Tee Higgins have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	4	$41	40	40	+0	open	—	10-20 06:29
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	4	$39	45	43	+2	Over	+$6	10-20 20:38
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?	1	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	10-18 15:50
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $122.5B by October 31?	1	$37	41	0	+41	open	—	10-19 20:31
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027?	2	$37	20	19	+1	open	—	10-18 20:01
Will J.K. Dobbins have 474.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	7	$36	29	29	+0	open	—	10-25 22:39
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	4	$36	30	30	+0	open	—	10-20 11:18
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5	4	$32	26	26	+0	Under	+$9	10-21 02:51
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 117.5	1	$32	56	0	+56	Under	+$24	10-21 02:40
Will Tyler Warren have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	3	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	10-18 19:25
Will Bijan Robinson have 1,374.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	3	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 14:07
Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $134?	3	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	10-24 02:43
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by June 30, 2027?	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	10-19 20:33
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	3	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 03:53
AWS service disrupted by October 31?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	10-21 09:11
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	3	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 02:09
Will Courtland Sutton have 974.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	3	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	10-20 05:28
Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% by June 30, 2027?	1	$25	69	0	+69	open	—	10-17 18:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:39:45	Will J.K. Dobbins have 474.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	19	76¢	$14	0x9223c3…
10-25 21:30:24	Will J.K. Dobbins have 474.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x69706d…
10-24 10:00:45	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xd55db8…
10-24 10:00:41	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x44940a…
10-24 02:43:54	Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $134?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x9ab744…
10-23 21:08:11	Will Carnell Tate have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x857814…
10-22 16:04:42	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by April 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x2d05bf…
10-22 16:04:41	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x5e0ff0…
10-22 14:07:09	Will Bijan Robinson have 1,374.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xe74794…
10-22 10:51:56	Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $134?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xb77325…
10-22 10:02:39	Will Matthew Stafford have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x70faa1…
10-22 09:55:54	Will Christian McCaffrey have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x62722e…
10-22 06:15:08	Will Bijan Robinson have 1,374.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x776b69…
10-22 06:14:05	Will Bijan Robinson have 1,374.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x33ce02…
10-22 02:09:36	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xa09ebd…
10-22 00:09:20	Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $240B?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x17886a…
10-21 21:07:45	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xf190a8…
10-21 20:24:14	Will Brian Thomas Jr. have 324.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x9f5c6a…
10-21 14:23:48	Will Brian Thomas Jr. have 324.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x538ed9…
10-21 13:07:08	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 24?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x953b91…
10-21 12:42:41	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 24?	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0xa0c67e…
10-21 12:27:30	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x521bca…
10-21 12:10:23	Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $360M?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x95f928…
10-21 09:31:48	Will Chris Olave have 1,424.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x6d6554…
10-21 09:11:59	AWS service disrupted by October 31?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x3a800a…
10-21 09:07:00	AWS service disrupted by October 31?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x511a01…
10-21 07:45:51	Will J.K. Dobbins have 474.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x7a14ba…
10-21 07:33:41	Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $240B?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x3783b5…
10-21 06:46:29	Will Chris Olave have 1,424.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x44cc99…
10-21 06:22:18	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 24?	No	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x03dc81…
10-21 05:27:50	Will Carnell Tate have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xb77f64…
10-21 03:53:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xcf41d9…
10-21 03:24:17	Spread: Spurs (-7.5)	Spurs	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x2108ce…
10-21 03:24:12	Spread: Spurs (-7.5)	Spurs	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xa2926b…
10-21 03:24:08	Spread: Spurs (-7.5)	Spurs	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x0d7698…
10-21 02:56:02	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 108.5	Over	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x36bd32…
10-21 02:53:50	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5	Over	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xb8a430…
10-21 02:53:15	nba okc sas 2026 10 20 1h total 107pt5	Under	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x3255e8…
10-21 02:53:06	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5	Over	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xa34fb4…
10-21 02:51:30	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5	Under	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x1557fb…
10-21 02:51:12	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5	Under	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x8688ec…
10-21 02:48:06	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5	Over	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xa28b35…
10-21 02:47:48	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5	Under	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x30a093…
10-21 02:46:56	nba okc sas 2026 10 20 1h total 107pt5	Under	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x1f9d74…
10-21 02:40:24	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5	Under	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x53dde0…
10-21 02:40:03	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 117.5	Under	BUY	56	57¢	$32	0xa57410…
10-21 02:37:26	Spread: Spurs (-7.5)	Spurs	BUY	43	11¢	$5	0x98812f…
10-21 02:37:26	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5	Over	BUY	45	31¢	$14	0x92d2fb…
10-21 02:25:36	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5	Over	BUY	46	30¢	$14	0x6638de…
10-21 02:22:39	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5	Over	SELL	42	53¢	$22	0x8cee90…
10-21 02:20:53	will marvell q3 data center revenue be above 2pt8b	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x815fdb…
10-21 02:14:33	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5	Under	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x7b5f88…
10-21 02:09:56	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 108.5	Over	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xa17fcb…
10-21 02:08:41	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5	Under	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x39a2ec…
10-21 02:03:48	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 108.5	Over	BUY	43	56¢	$24	0x90654b…
10-21 01:58:39	will marvell q3 data center revenue be above 2pt8b	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x499de0…
10-21 01:58:02	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 23?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x254f86…
10-21 01:54:54	Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5	Over	BUY	43	33¢	$14	0xdc7029…
10-21 01:26:36	Will Carnell Tate have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x704d10…
10-21 00:57:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0xcb2ba1…
10-21 00:51:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x9d508f…
10-21 00:47:06	Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x34a09c…
10-21 00:46:11	Will Christian McCaffrey have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x953b4d…
10-21 00:41:23	will jynxzi beat the elden ring dlc by october 24 20261020	No	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xa0235c…
10-21 00:36:23	Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 23?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x812822…
10-21 00:03:41	Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $134?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xb1429e…
10-21 00:00:29	Will AT&T (T) Q3 total revenue be above $31.8B?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x0d9357…
10-20 22:50:51	Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xaf0fff…
10-20 22:50:41	Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x9018ba…
10-20 22:22:39	Will J.K. Dobbins have 474.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x8848b8…
10-20 21:35:18	Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $270B?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xa45d08…
10-20 20:38:05	Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	Over	SELL	23	62¢	$15	0x75ddc6…
10-20 20:32:48	Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	Over	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x854f21…
10-20 20:32:36	Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x74b22c…
10-20 20:30:59	Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xaf1b71…
10-20 19:37:03	Will Ladd McConkey have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x5311d9…
10-20 17:49:50	Will Tony Pollard have 799.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x678674…
10-20 16:17:23	Will Matthew Stafford have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xe20fe1…
10-20 15:35:17	Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $270B?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xc2f7a0…
10-20 15:27:53	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x4941af…
10-20 15:16:48	Will Jordan Love have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xb641f9…
10-20 13:56:30	Will Dak Prescott have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0xbba84c…
10-20 13:03:15	Will Ladd McConkey have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x763060…
10-20 12:36:47	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.11% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x75b373…
10-20 12:02:56	Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xa6b72b…
10-20 11:21:27	Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above $62.5B?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x19b66d…
10-20 11:18:08	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0xb8c1f6…
10-20 11:16:11	Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above $62.5B?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x0c3609…
10-20 09:35:35	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x760bbe…
10-20 08:56:11	Will AT&T (T) Q3 total revenue be above $31.8B?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb03d0c…
10-20 08:50:55	Will Dak Prescott have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	19	60¢	$11	0xa6f75a…
10-20 08:49:34	Will TownSquare launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x511f3a…
10-20 08:14:20	Will Matthew Stafford have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x628054…
10-20 07:03:41	Will Christian McCaffrey have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x43d105…
10-20 06:29:16	Will Tee Higgins have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x97db29…
10-20 06:23:17	Will Tee Higgins have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x581108…
10-20 06:21:07	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x77df09…
10-20 05:28:12	Will Courtland Sutton have 974.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x05529d…
10-20 04:15:08	Will Tyler Shough have 3,649.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0x4d1727…
10-20 02:07:02	Will Courtland Sutton have 974.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0xed1a62…