Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$61

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

575

lifetime

Volume

$5.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$48

8 positions

First seen

2026-10-17

last 10-30 04:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

61% 68% -$7

Sports

17% 65% +$43

Politics

15% 100% +$1

Crypto

5% 50% +$25

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	+54	$32	72¢	$39	+$7	10-30 03:58
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	+30	$5	18¢	$5	$0	10-29 19:30
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	+82	$4	3¢	$2	-$1	10-29 17:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	+3	$3	16¢	$1	-$3	10-30 00:16
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	-$4	34¢	$0	+$4	10-30 04:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	+2	$11	13¢	$0	-$10	10-30 00:18
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$3	8¢	$0	-$3	10-18 15:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+0	-$9	91¢	$0	+$9	10-29 23:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	4	$173	100	100	+0	open	—	10-29 21:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	23	$170	203	199	+3	open	—	10-30 00:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	17	$134	103	103	+0	open	—	10-29 23:00
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 Week of October 26 2026?	7	$117	235	20	+215	Yes	-$111	10-29 13:59
Will Trump's approval rating hit 39% by June 30, 2027?	8	$116	120	120	+0	open	—	10-19 08:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	9	$116	129	127	+2	open	—	10-30 00:18
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	9	$103	88	88	+0	open	—	10-29 23:17
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5	2	$96	53	53	+1	Under	+$1	10-29 01:22
Spread: Grizzlies (-16.5)	3	$95	53	52	+1	Grizzlies	+$3	10-29 16:03
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	6	$86	162	0	+162	Yes	+$76	10-29 14:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	2	$81	53	53	+0	open	—	10-29 20:23
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)	3	$81	52	51	+1	Rockets	+$1	10-29 02:08
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?	2	$77	40	40	+0	open	—	10-30 03:56
Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?	5	$75	227	227	+0	open	—	10-17 18:31
Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?	2	$74	42	41	+1	Yes	+$4	10-19 17:00
Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?	7	$72	60	60	+0	open	—	10-20 22:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 18?	5	$70	43	43	+0	No	-$5	10-18 19:59
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of October 26 2026?	2	$69	53	25	+28	open	—	10-29 19:20
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of October 26 2026?	2	$68	74	0	+74	open	—	10-28 20:36
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 108.5	3	$66	43	42	+1	Over	+$18	10-21 02:56
Paris curfew by October 21?	5	$65	47	46	+1	Yes	+$18	10-19 18:15
2H Spread: Browns (-21.5)	6	$65	130	127	+3	Ravens	+$34	10-18 20:13
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5	4	$64	133	42	+91	Under	-$19	10-21 02:37
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 18?	5	$60	39	26	+13	No	+$5	10-18 15:31
Will Gemini Carbon debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	4	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	10-29 03:36
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in October?	2	$54	41	41	+0	open	—	10-29 14:07
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5	3	$54	52	51	+1	Over	+$1	10-29 00:54
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?	3	$53	82	0	+82	open	—	10-29 15:56
Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?	4	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	10-29 03:31
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5	2	$50	51	50	+1	Over	+$1	10-29 00:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:44:00	Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xf709e4…
10-30 04:33:27	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	33¢	$6	0xd97783…
10-30 04:32:27	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x5bc18a…
10-30 03:58:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xc81964…
10-30 03:56:37	Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x09f19f…
10-30 03:24:46	Will Bryce Young have 23.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x625299…
10-30 03:10:37	Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xb0852b…
10-30 02:34:19	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0xf20872…
10-30 02:31:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xd9957f…
10-30 01:54:37	Will Courtyard launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xccf5e3…
10-30 01:52:55	Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xaf94e4…
10-30 01:45:25	Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x6dda3c…
10-30 01:13:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	65¢	$13	0xe326bd…
10-30 01:13:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x4793c5…
10-30 01:07:37	Will Arch Network launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x94e105…
10-30 00:52:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xbfaa92…
10-30 00:44:34	Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0xa1be3a…
10-30 00:41:24	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe9443e…
10-30 00:28:28	Will Trevor Lawrence have 28.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xe4379a…
10-30 00:25:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x582370…
10-30 00:18:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	12	55¢	$6	0x21d406…
10-30 00:18:21	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x00a007…
10-30 00:16:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xc252ea…
10-30 00:16:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x23d138…
10-30 00:15:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xbed883…
10-30 00:15:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x191781…
10-30 00:15:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	14	54¢	$7	0x54248b…
10-30 00:15:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x6168ec…
10-30 00:13:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	55	48¢	$26	0x82a2a9…
10-30 00:13:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	44	53¢	$23	0x61d030…
10-30 00:13:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	56	49¢	$27	0xfda4ab…
10-30 00:02:40	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x4f2f5a…
10-30 00:02:30	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xd755e5…
10-30 00:02:15	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x839d61…
10-30 00:02:10	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x1f4c44…
10-30 00:00:51	Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x92bf56…
10-30 00:00:40	Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xabeaf3…
10-30 00:00:12	Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x860457…
10-29 23:39:55	Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: O/U 35.5	Over	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x4f0f9d…
10-29 23:39:52	Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: O/U 55.5	Under	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xc5ed71…
10-29 23:34:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x37b645…
10-29 23:34:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x224310…
10-29 23:17:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	67¢	$20	0x186f99…
10-29 23:17:36	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	31¢	$12	0x1f3615…
10-29 23:13:52	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x9d2efa…
10-29 23:13:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0xe1f3e5…
10-29 23:13:09	Will Xavier Worthy have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0x305b79…
10-29 23:12:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x586d9d…
10-29 23:12:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x5dfd92…
10-29 23:12:25	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x5dcaad…
10-29 23:10:40	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	30¢	$11	0xb2f2a3…
10-29 23:00:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x43d0bf…
10-29 23:00:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x1dc406…
10-29 23:00:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xd37c4f…
10-29 23:00:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x64eb20…
10-29 23:00:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0xcddecb…
10-29 23:00:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	28	31¢	$9	0x806b6b…
10-29 23:00:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x435b56…
10-29 23:00:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xd1f131…
10-29 23:00:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x9ea8d7…
10-29 22:59:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xbd32c0…
10-29 22:59:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x3468da…
10-29 22:59:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x8a3806…
10-29 22:59:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	52	40¢	$21	0x8e7cec…
10-29 22:59:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x734d34…
10-29 22:59:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	40	41¢	$17	0x9927c7…
10-29 22:56:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xb4ed22…
10-29 22:56:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x0493da…
10-29 22:55:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x5f8dec…
10-29 22:54:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	53	50¢	$26	0x7ca134…
10-29 22:54:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	53	50¢	$26	0x8111c7…
10-29 22:53:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xff9dff…
10-29 22:51:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0xa12358…
10-29 22:51:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xdaf3bb…
10-29 22:51:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0x23912a…
10-29 22:51:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0xd9464a…
10-29 22:50:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc99446…
10-29 22:50:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x7f689e…
10-29 22:50:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xf5fa09…
10-29 22:49:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x1048cd…
10-29 22:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 29?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x7a713f…
10-29 22:49:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x694911…
10-29 22:48:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x5c613f…
10-29 22:48:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x5b037c…
10-29 22:48:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x68bf55…
10-29 22:45:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x196339…
10-29 22:42:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x7c9da1…
10-29 22:27:43	Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x02d980…
10-29 22:17:42	Will Arch Network launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x31d5a0…
10-29 22:15:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0xf56e99…
10-29 22:11:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x97ff7b…
10-29 22:11:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x76a748…
10-29 22:10:57	Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x56aeac…
10-29 22:06:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x77633e…
10-29 22:02:34	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x06caaf…
10-29 22:01:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x82b334…
10-29 21:59:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xe12c7d…
10-29 21:57:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x5b544d…
10-29 21:52:22	brazils top courts strike down oil export tax by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0xe66270…
10-29 21:51:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x7ff64f…