(anonymous) 0xe5aaaf…4444db Create alert
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
+$40
Unrealized P&L
+$373
Hit rate
91.3%
Resolved (24h)
19
Trades (24h)
192
3,499 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$2.24K
$41.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$4.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-17
last 11-14 01:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
59% 57% +$15
Politics
24% 62% +$6
Crypto
8% 62% +$70
Sports
5% 75% +$162
Tech
4% 40% -$33
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 406 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +563 $501 100¢ $561 +$60 11-04 21:50
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +560 $472 100¢ $558 +$85 11-04 10:52
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +329 $245 99¢ $327 +$82 11-07 08:33
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +346 $248 65¢ $225 -$23 11-10 12:43
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +200 $171 99¢ $199 +$27 11-04 09:15
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in November? No +200 $178 94¢ $189 +$11 11-10 21:46
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? No +208 $110 74¢ $154 +$45 11-13 22:57
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in November? No +157 $128 92¢ $146 +$18 11-10 22:45
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +141 $125 93¢ $131 +$6 11-07 19:27
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +200 $121 62¢ $125 +$3 11-09 01:41
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in November? No +129 $121 96¢ $124 +$3 11-12 05:31
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +346 $105 34¢ $119 +$14 11-05 03:33
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +142 $111 80¢ $114 +$3 11-12 08:51
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +124 $101 88¢ $110 +$9 11-08 10:27
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +197 $78 55¢ $108 +$30 11-06 15:11
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? No +116 $104 86¢ $100 -$4 11-07 17:26
Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +110 $110 90¢ $98 -$11 11-10 12:43
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +197 $116 45¢ $89 -$28 11-06 15:11
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit 35% by December 31? No +145 $97 56¢ $82 -$15 11-13 16:11
Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? No +100 $78 80¢ $80 +$3 11-13 13:59
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +108 $80 73¢ $79 -$1 11-12 01:03
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.44% in November? No +79 $72 96¢ $76 +$4 11-11 14:55
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +200 $76 38¢ $75 -$1 11-09 01:41
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026? No +137 $74 54¢ $73 -$1 11-12 15:21
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? No +247 $114 29¢ $72 -$42 11-13 22:57
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 Over +72 $32 99¢ $71 +$39 11-14 01:12
Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be above $4T at the end of 2026? No +137 $61 48¢ $65 +$4 11-12 18:01
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get between 20 and 30 million views on week 1? No +70 $56 86¢ $60 +$4 11-13 07:26
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +64 $50 94¢ $60 +$10 11-11 00:25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +61 $19 98¢ $60 +$40 11-04 06:59