Realized P&L
+$201
Unrealized P&L
+$130
Hit rate
82.6%
Resolved
19
Trades
501
lifetime
Volume
$120.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$240
Open exposure
$15.1K
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 06-30 08:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
59% 86% +$640
Politics
22%
Crypto
10% 33% $-439
Tech
7%
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -8,000 $-7,040 86¢ $-6840 +$200 06-17 10:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2,677 $-2,463 94¢ $-2503 $-40 06-18 16:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,400 $-2,160 92¢ $-2196 $-36 06-18 16:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -1,388 $-1,384 100¢ $-1387 $-3 06-18 16:57
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No +614 $598 98¢ $604 +$6 06-30 08:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -500 $-498 100¢ $-499 $-1 06-18 19:24
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -444 $-413 93¢ $-413 +$1 06-18 16:32
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -361 $-354 97¢ $-352 +$2 06-30 08:02
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -128 $-127 100¢ $-128 $-0 06-18 16:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -114 $-114 100¢ $-114 $-0 06-20 02:42
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +77 $64 86¢ $66 +$2 05-29 23:06