Realized P&L
+$201
Unrealized P&L
+$1.46K
Hit rate
82.6%
Resolved
19
Trades
601
lifetime
Volume
$132.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$220
Open exposure
$12.9K
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 07-15 18:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
59% 86% +$640
Politics
24%
Crypto
9% 33% $-439
Tech
7%
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -10,000 $-8,740 72¢ $-7150 +$1,590 07-11 14:33
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2,677 $-2,463 94¢ $-2503 $-40 06-18 16:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,400 $-2,160 94¢ $-2268 $-108 06-18 16:24
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -444 $-413 94¢ $-416 $-3 06-18 16:32
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -414 $-406 94¢ $-388 +$17 07-15 18:18
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No +96 $88 97¢ $93 +$5 07-04 12:44
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +77 $64 86¢ $66 +$1 05-29 23:06