(anonymous) 0xbc54e6…fe680f
whale bot hot 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.84K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.61K
Hit rate
83.3%
Resolved
190
Trades
26,219
lifetime
Volume
$438.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$13.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 11:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
53% 55% +$4,796
Politics
47% 65% +$46
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 513 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -2,902 -$2,939 95¢ $-2744 +$195 06-12 06:22
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -1,968 -$1,959 97¢ $-1911 +$47 10-02 22:12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -1,300 -$1,107 94¢ $-1228 -$122 06-26 03:50
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +1,129 $981 94¢ $1.1K +$80 10-22 17:27
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -1,000 -$2,835 90¢ $-895 +$1,940 08-01 02:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +866 $1,041 83¢ $719 -$323 10-21 19:03
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -714 -$633 94¢ $-674 -$42 06-05 16:56
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -538 -$421 86¢ $-463 -$42 08-01 02:28
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +400 $405 97¢ $389 -$15 09-27 11:40
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -366 -$349 96¢ $-350 $0 09-05 12:13
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -12,830 -$202 2¢ $-301 -$99 09-04 11:07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,500 $342 12¢ $296 -$45 08-29 22:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,273 $296 21¢ $267 -$29 10-27 00:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -300 -$263 86¢ $-258 +$5 06-29 05:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +238,793 $371 0¢ $239 -$132 10-26 17:15
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No -250 -$222 94¢ $-234 -$12 05-09 00:04
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -4,500 -$233 4¢ $-164 +$69 10-18 21:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -371 -$147 38¢ $-142 +$5 06-20 01:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +815 $178 17¢ $135 -$43 09-15 19:52
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +122 $86 97¢ $118 +$32 10-25 21:54
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$104 5¢ $-103 +$1 05-15 09:12
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -11,724 -$95 1¢ $-88 +$8 10-19 22:12
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,000 -$48 1¢ $-67 -$20 10-11 08:52
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No -59 -$71 99¢ $-58 +$13 10-21 16:38
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +14,236 $16 0¢ $50 +$34 10-27 10:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +4,122 $40 1¢ $43 +$3 10-25 22:41
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$35 2¢ $-42 -$7 07-25 20:48
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,949 -$137 2¢ $-38 +$99 08-29 05:56
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $35 0¢ $35 +$0 10-26 17:58
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,422 $19 0¢ $31 +$11 10-27 11:48