(anonymous) 0xbc54e6…fe680f
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$734
Unrealized P&L
+$694
Hit rate
40.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
6,044
lifetime
Volume
$202.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$14.2K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 20:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
51% 67% $-717
Other
49% 0% $-18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -3,000 $-2,958 98¢ $-2940 +$18 06-12 06:22
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -2,600 $-3,108 88¢ $-2301 +$807 07-19 09:18
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -1,968 $-1,879 96¢ $-1879 +$0 07-20 20:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,440 $-1,589 72¢ $-1744 $-156 07-20 07:40
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +1,359 $1,316 99¢ $1.3K +$25 06-17 15:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -1,371 $-1,111 88¢ $-1200 $-89 06-26 03:50
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,000 $930 94¢ $935 +$5 07-16 21:50
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -888 $-828 92¢ $-821 +$7 07-20 20:33
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -422 $-406 96¢ $-403 +$3 07-14 00:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -350 $-291 74¢ $-257 +$33 06-29 05:15
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +222 $132 70¢ $154 +$22 07-17 12:33
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -123 $-108 90¢ $-112 $-3 06-05 16:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +62 $41 96¢ $59 +$18 06-26 13:28
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -452 $-61 12¢ $-54 +$7 07-18 05:47
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +12 $2 3¢ $0 $-2 07-15 07:57