Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$734

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.3%

Resolved

Trades

6,262

lifetime

Volume

$251.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

56% 67% $-717

Other

44% 0% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	335	$94.6K	58,470	57,811	+658	open	—	08-11 07:45
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	50	$27.8K	16,900	18,000	-1,100	open	—	08-01 02:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	186	$11.3K	7,500	4,438	+3,062	open	—	08-08 07:05
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	173	$9.0K	21,500	11,000	+10,500	open	—	07-19 22:01
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	56	$8.7K	3,994	5,171	-1,177	open	—	08-01 23:13
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	20	$6.1K	3,200	3,123	+77	open	—	06-17 15:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	5	$5.6K	3,000	3,000	-0	open	—	07-26 10:49
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	645	$5.3K	263,660	238,462	+25,197	open	—	02-19 15:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	19	$4.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	04-12 14:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1,184	$4.5K	810,800	230,639	+580,161	open	—	04-27 16:41
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	28	$4.5K	2,092	2,846	-754	open	—	08-11 01:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	35	$4.2K	4,168	4,074	+94	Yes	+$224	05-08 18:02
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	2	$4.0K	0	4,102	-4,102	open	—	06-12 06:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	159	$4.0K	27,853	28,790	-937	Yes	$-479	05-08 19:28
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-02 04:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	45	$3.7K	2,765	2,765	+0	Yes	$-484	05-08 18:39
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	592	$3.7K	533,158	396,190	+136,968	open	—	03-18 17:58
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	46	$3.3K	1,100	3,074	-1,975	open	—	06-26 03:50
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	24	$2.8K	1,700	1,098	+602	open	—	03-09 14:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	721	$2.6K	123,060	103,558	+19,501	open	—	04-16 18:22
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	24	$2.4K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	03-03 15:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	18	$2.1K	567	1,546	-979	open	—	01-28 23:44
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	23	$1.5K	803	1,341	-538	open	—	08-01 02:28
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	5	$1.5K	800	771	+29	open	—	08-11 09:02
nato article 5 by march 31	4	$1.5K	500	1,000	-500	open	—	03-30 19:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	43	$1.3K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	04-13 16:36
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	113	$1.3K	247,160	140,000	+107,160	open	—	01-27 17:18
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	113	$1.2K	15,359	19,129	-3,770	open	—	03-11 02:39
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	53	$1.1K	981	996	-15	open	—	04-05 13:50
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	11	$998	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-03 08:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 09:02:40	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0xbfd937…
08-11 07:45:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0x93d638…
08-11 01:50:15	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	93¢	$67	0x53fc02…
08-10 08:12:01	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	771	99¢	$763	0x091106…
08-10 07:43:15	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	109	96¢	$104	0x0cd10b…
08-08 07:05:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	96¢	$2,880	0x8f1c6c…
08-08 02:55:58	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xec7478…
08-07 21:45:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	83¢	$1,660	0xf43603…
08-07 21:33:15	Will Trump resign before 2027?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0x0a77fe…
08-07 00:16:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	80¢	$1,600	0x258e77…
08-06 12:11:47	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xbdbbb7…
08-05 17:18:18	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	217	93¢	$201	0x88a2cb…
08-04 14:18:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	690	81¢	$559	0x633c4d…
08-04 13:54:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	451	81¢	$365	0xc9be07…
08-04 13:54:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x406b10…
08-04 13:54:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,347	81¢	$1,091	0x509517…
08-04 11:51:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	80¢	$800	0xfe38d2…
08-04 03:56:32	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	279	92¢	$257	0x46d18b…
08-03 23:32:03	Will Trump resign before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0549b9…
08-03 12:04:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	78¢	$780	0x8e836f…
08-03 09:41:05	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x4de4b9…
08-02 21:13:00	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x4f349b…
08-02 13:45:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x66c5bd…
08-02 13:44:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	190	80¢	$152	0x928c0d…
08-02 13:24:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xddceb8…
08-02 13:15:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	43	80¢	$35	0xb7d9cb…
08-02 13:13:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6029b0…
08-02 13:12:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	666	80¢	$533	0xf80fd1…
08-02 13:07:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x3e2031…
08-02 13:07:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x9bf093…
08-02 12:53:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x25bb9e…
08-02 12:53:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc5bb09…
08-02 12:43:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x71088a…
08-02 12:42:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	168	80¢	$135	0x0aa9b5…
08-02 12:28:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x41d43b…
08-02 12:25:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xaca07c…
08-02 12:19:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8eb8c9…
08-02 12:17:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa7f8e9…
08-02 12:06:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x37c883…
08-02 12:05:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x693c70…
08-02 12:03:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	23	80¢	$19	0x1f8be7…
08-02 12:02:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x29099c…
08-02 12:00:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf97710…
08-02 11:26:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0x58ae72…
08-02 11:26:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x0add82…
08-02 11:24:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x521bb0…
08-02 11:24:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	450	80¢	$360	0x0c6356…
08-02 11:04:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	311	80¢	$249	0x638ccb…
08-02 06:23:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,700	82¢	$3,034	0xe312bb…
08-02 06:22:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	297	82¢	$244	0x8470d2…
08-01 23:13:41	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x85101b…
08-01 05:19:17	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x43c555…
08-01 02:28:56	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5,273	86¢	$4,535	0x026a62…
08-01 02:28:26	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	SELL	105	73¢	$77	0x17d249…
08-01 01:21:11	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	227	86¢	$195	0x6465d4…
07-30 23:50:11	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	SELL	91	73¢	$66	0xc7e765…
07-30 23:50:06	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	SELL	76	73¢	$55	0xcec42d…
07-30 23:46:09	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	SELL	13	73¢	$10	0x3ac8c4…
07-30 21:44:30	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	118	95¢	$112	0x746022…
07-30 20:58:26	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x6adfec…
07-30 20:56:15	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x895b59…
07-30 14:50:42	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0xdec120…
07-30 14:50:42	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0xd54527…
07-30 14:50:42	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	500	53¢	$265	0x991359…
07-30 14:50:42	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x8069ff…
07-30 10:12:30	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	192	95¢	$182	0x85ee06…
07-30 09:35:15	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xc28d03…
07-30 08:10:20	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xdc0665…
07-30 08:05:54	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	158	94¢	$149	0x734d22…
07-30 07:48:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,000	74¢	$2,220	0x47cabb…
07-30 07:04:12	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xfcaeab…
07-30 06:05:02	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0xf885d9…
07-30 05:22:50	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$26	0xf24759…
07-30 02:46:36	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7c344d…
07-30 01:36:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	69¢	$1,380	0xa5d07c…
07-30 01:34:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0xb178d0…
07-30 00:58:50	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfcbcfd…
07-29 20:41:39	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	BUY	54	70¢	$38	0x1a579e…
07-29 18:51:03	Will Trump resign before 2027?	No	BUY	87	96¢	$84	0xcb1ff1…
07-29 16:23:12	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x735a52…
07-29 15:07:27	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x1f0fd7…
07-29 14:46:06	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xd811df…
07-29 12:02:06	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x05439e…
07-28 20:54:46	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	SELL	92	73¢	$67	0x8fc7d5…
07-28 20:54:41	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	SELL	126	73¢	$92	0x212ea1…
07-27 11:50:07	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0xb9baa1…
07-26 16:51:27	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	167	95¢	$158	0x3e1e33…
07-26 15:04:01	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x6446ab…
07-26 12:40:24	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xc23650…
07-26 11:50:48	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x0a7615…
07-26 10:49:43	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0x4b90cf…
07-26 05:56:07	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	292	95¢	$278	0x40ca97…
07-26 05:00:51	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x36e802…
07-25 08:55:22	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x06d3f3…
07-25 08:55:19	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf08804…
07-25 08:55:18	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xda0623…
07-25 08:55:16	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xec5315…
07-25 08:55:15	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa1adb3…
07-25 07:40:25	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xe57b56…
07-25 07:13:12	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	384	94¢	$361	0xbcd186…