Realized P&L
-$734
Unrealized P&L
+$281
Hit rate
40.3%
Resolved
7
Trades
5,688
lifetime
Volume
$132.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$9.30K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
56% 0% $-18
Politics
44% 67% $-717
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 233 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -3,000 $-2,958 93¢ $-2798 +$160 06-12 06:22
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +1,359 $1,316 98¢ $1.3K +$13 06-17 15:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -1,371 $-1,111 84¢ $-1145 $-34 06-26 03:50
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -1,100 $-993 86¢ $-940 +$53 06-29 17:09
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? No -511 $-508 100¢ $-511 $-3 06-16 15:54
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -548 $-498 92¢ $-502 $-3 06-29 14:08
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +500 $475 94¢ $472 $-2 06-24 03:00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +368 $365 100¢ $367 +$2 06-12 12:20
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? No -363 $-362 100¢ $-363 $-1 06-05 05:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +375 $241 86¢ $324 +$83 06-30 11:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -350 $-291 84¢ $-292 $-2 06-29 05:15
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -123 $-108 88¢ $-109 $-1 06-05 16:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +62 $41 95¢ $58 +$18 06-26 13:28
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +57 $49 92¢ $52 +$3 06-10 15:47
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -193 $-30 12¢ $-22 +$8 06-19 19:03
Will MrBeast get married by December 31? No +109 $28 16¢ $18 $-10 06-24 13:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +12 $2 $0 $-2 06-13 08:08