Realized P&L
+$1.79K
Unrealized P&L
-$267
Hit rate
87.5%
Resolved
606
Trades
2,915
lifetime
Volume
$1.62M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$557
Open exposure
$99.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-28 01:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
55%
92%
+$3,779
Politics
22%
89%
-$3,071
Sports
11%
75%
+$1,560
Crypto
6%
84%
-$2,306
Tech
6%
90%
+$1,831
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk
• peak 88 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | 23 | $37.9K | 28,086 | 11,460 | +16,627 | open | — | 10-28 01:10 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 8 | $34.4K | 35,000 | 0 | +35,000 | No | +$554 | 07-12 03:38 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 17 | $32.4K | 23,857 | 10,000 | +13,857 | open | — | 10-11 15:32 |
| strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15 | 13 | $24.5K | 12,484 | 12,484 | +0 | No | +$368 | 06-20 14:13 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 9 | $23.0K | 13,339 | 10,139 | +3,200 | No | +$72 | 04-14 01:33 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 15 | $20.7K | 13,000 | 10,000 | +3,000 | Yes | +$225 | 07-21 15:10 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | 18 | $19.7K | 13,230 | 10,000 | +3,230 | open | — | 10-15 09:43 |
| trump out as president by march 31 | 49 | $19.5K | 9,900 | 9,815 | +85 | No | +$86 | 03-24 09:25 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | 12 | $19.1K | 10,300 | 10,300 | +0 | open | — | 06-29 17:12 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 8 | $19.1K | 12,000 | 9,000 | +3,000 | No | -$35 | 07-23 12:21 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | 73 | $18.4K | 9,941 | 9,941 | +0 | Yes | +$333 | 09-22 14:56 |
| strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255 | 6 | $17.9K | 9,000 | 9,000 | +0 | No | +$58 | 07-08 08:01 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 4 | $17.2K | 17,700 | 0 | +17,700 | No | +$530 | 07-09 02:00 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 10 | $15.9K | 7,000 | 10,029 | -3,028 | open | — | 10-15 02:50 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | 79 | $15.6K | 3,000 | 13,000 | -10,000 | No | -$398 | 09-06 09:09 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | 31 | $15.4K | 9,000 | 9,000 | +0 | open | — | 09-15 10:42 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | 23 | $15.1K | 3,100 | 13,000 | -9,900 | open | — | 10-27 08:58 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | 4 | $14.9K | 3,000 | 13,000 | -10,000 | open | — | 08-21 08:38 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 20 | $13.9K | 9,000 | 6,000 | +3,000 | Yes | +$928 | 07-23 12:22 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | 10 | $13.5K | 9,000 | 6,000 | +3,000 | No | +$471 | 07-21 15:10 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 3 | $12.0K | 12,300 | 0 | +12,300 | No | +$254 | 07-10 20:08 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | 12 | $11.8K | 7,000 | 7,000 | +0 | open | — | 09-07 05:47 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 6 | $11.5K | 6,000 | 6,000 | +0 | No | +$477 | 07-29 02:05 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | 27 | $10.0K | 0 | 10,143 | -10,143 | No | -$126 | 06-13 09:34 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? | 13 | $9.9K | 5,262 | 5,262 | +0 | open | — | 08-21 15:06 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | 30 | $9.9K | 5,000 | 4,950 | +50 | No | +$40 | 05-10 16:47 |
| strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440 | 12 | $9.9K | 5,037 | 5,037 | +0 | No | +$177 | 10-01 05:50 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | 74 | $9.8K | 0 | 9,904 | -9,904 | No | -$119 | 06-09 08:47 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | 12 | $9.8K | 0 | 9,951 | -9,951 | No | -$195 | 06-09 08:52 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | 5 | $9.7K | 9,795 | 0 | +9,795 | No | +$59 | 06-22 07:58 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||