Simplistic-Jellyfish 0xcdf822…54b8ea
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$485
Unrealized P&L
+$1.45K
Hit rate
81.5%
Resolved
5
Trades
332
lifetime
Volume
$226.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$682
Open exposure
$43.0K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-29 17:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
73% 100% +$210
Politics
11% — —
Crypto
10% — —
Sports
5% 75% +$275
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -9,700 $-9,089 95¢ $-9230 $-141 06-08 08:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +9,000 $7,821 99¢ $8.9K +$1,116 06-20 14:55
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -10,000 $-8,420 86¢ $-8650 $-230 06-20 07:15
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +8,000 $6,400 86¢ $6.9K +$520 06-06 09:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4,500 $3,600 84¢ $3.8K +$158 06-08 08:59
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +1,970 $1,749 90¢ $1.8K +$24 06-09 03:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,000 $-900 92¢ $-925 $-25 06-12 11:23
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +900 $861 99¢ $887 +$26 06-21 02:35
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -650 $-595 89¢ $-578 +$17 06-13 09:31
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -564 $-518 92¢ $-521 $-3 06-22 07:51
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -300 $-279 94¢ $-284 $-4 06-03 08:16
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +177 $176 100¢ $177 +$1 06-24 06:38
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -200 $-174 88¢ $-177 $-3 06-13 09:31
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -150 $-146 98¢ $-147 $-1 06-09 08:47
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -20 $-20 98¢ $-20 $-0 06-12 01:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-0 06-11 14:53
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -14 $-13 94¢ $-13 $-0 06-09 08:46
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -3 $-3 97¢ $-3 $-0 06-13 09:34