Simplistic-Jellyfish 0xcdf822…54b8ea
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$485
Unrealized P&L
+$344
Hit rate
81.5%
Resolved
5
Trades
266
lifetime
Volume
$164.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$620
Open exposure
$46.4K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-09 08:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
72% 100% +$210
Politics
15% — —
Sports
7% 75% +$275
Crypto
6% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +10,000 $9,242 92¢ $9.2K $-27 06-08 09:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -9,700 $-9,089 93¢ $-9016 +$73 06-08 08:56
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -8,184 $-6,876 84¢ $-6915 $-39 06-08 08:55
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +8,000 $6,400 80¢ $6.4K $-40 06-06 09:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6,005 $5,066 90¢ $5.4K +$368 06-10 01:44
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4,500 $3,600 80¢ $3.6K +$22 06-08 08:59
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +1,970 $1,749 90¢ $1.8K +$34 06-09 03:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,000 $1,460 70¢ $1.4K $-70 06-09 03:33
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +850 $731 86¢ $735 +$4 06-04 05:43
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +749 $712 97¢ $730 +$18 06-06 15:06
Trump out as President by June 30? No -405 $-402 99¢ $-402 $-0 06-09 08:47
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -301 $-299 99¢ $-299 +$0 06-09 08:52
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -300 $-279 93¢ $-279 +$0 06-03 08:16
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -150 $-146 97¢ $-146 $-0 06-09 08:47
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +18 $18 99¢ $18 +$0 06-01 01:31
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -14 $-13 94¢ $-13 $-0 06-09 08:46
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 06-02 02:49