Simplistic-Jellyfish 0xcdf822…54b8ea
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$485
Unrealized P&L
-$317
Hit rate
81.5%
Resolved
5
Trades
415
lifetime
Volume
$358.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$863
Open exposure
$73.2K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-21 15:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
73% 100% +$210
Politics
14% — —
Crypto
8% — —
Sports
5% 75% +$275
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +10,000 $9,955 99¢ $9.9K $-60 07-15 05:42
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -10,000 $-9,377 96¢ $-9595 $-218 07-08 07:48
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -10,000 $-9,520 95¢ $-9505 +$15 07-08 07:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -10,000 $-9,270 94¢ $-9450 $-180 07-08 07:51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -10,000 $-9,100 92¢ $-9150 $-50 07-21 11:46
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -10,000 $-8,420 88¢ $-8850 $-430 06-20 07:15
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -7,000 $-6,696 92¢ $-6475 +$221 07-20 16:17
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4,500 $3,600 88¢ $3.9K +$338 06-08 08:59
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -3,030 $-2,815 92¢ $-2803 +$13 07-21 11:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -1,000 $-976 98¢ $-976 +$0 07-21 11:45
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +900 $861 100¢ $896 +$35 06-21 02:35
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -650 $-595 89¢ $-578 +$17 06-13 09:31
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -562 $-528 95¢ $-536 $-8 07-08 07:58
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -200 $-174 90¢ $-181 $-7 06-13 09:31
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +164 $151 93¢ $152 +$1 07-21 15:03
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -150 $-146 99¢ $-148 $-2 06-09 08:47
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -20 $-20 98¢ $-20 $-0 06-12 01:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -20 $-19 97¢ $-19 $-0 06-11 14:53
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -14 $-13 96¢ $-13 $-0 06-09 08:46
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-13 09:34