Fantastic-Cabinet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$239

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,074

lifetime

Volume

$2.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 08-14 18:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

73% 100% +$239

Other

27% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	34	$146	173	183	-10	open	—	04-25 15:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	29	$116	132	132	+0	open	—	04-15 13:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	35	$110	1,157	901	+256	Yes	+$235	04-22 11:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	15	$71	88	88	+0	open	—	04-16 16:11
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	56	$69	361	337	+23	open	—	07-03 13:37
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	24	$65	52	52	+0	open	—	04-15 18:20
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	10	$62	41	41	+0	open	—	04-16 10:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	51	$58	453	173	+280	open	—	08-13 17:44
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	55	$55	1,182	1,182	+0	open	—	06-25 10:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	32	$45	330	145	+185	open	—	08-13 00:12
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	26	$44	170	160	+10	open	—	04-26 14:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	17	$43	67	67	+0	open	—	05-02 04:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	27	$42	427	50	+377	open	—	08-14 18:32
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	26	$39	215	70	+145	open	—	08-07 09:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	11	$39	41	41	+0	open	—	04-14 07:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	30	$37	119	125	-5	open	—	06-12 02:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	14	$36	97	97	+0	open	—	04-15 19:19
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	15	$35	80	80	+0	open	—	04-12 19:18
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	17	$35	65	65	+0	open	—	04-19 12:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	25	$33	95	87	+8	open	—	06-22 06:22
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	13	$33	31	31	+0	open	—	04-15 16:53
Iran leadership change by April 30?	12	$31	134	149	-15	open	—	04-11 16:11
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	15	$31	61	61	+0	open	—	04-16 17:59
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 31 2026	3	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	03-28 09:54
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	23	$28	215	140	+75	open	—	07-24 16:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	04-07 22:57
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	11	$26	49	49	+0	open	—	04-12 15:09
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	9	$26	299	299	+0	open	—	04-09 15:58
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 28 2026	3	$26	31	0	+31	open	—	03-28 09:55
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	4	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	04-06 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 18:32:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x93ed64…
08-14 18:08:42	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xd25274…
08-14 04:10:06	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5ff5c0…
08-14 03:03:06	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x2a8ce4…
08-13 17:44:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x94305f…
08-13 11:21:06	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xa181af…
08-13 00:12:42	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x614611…
08-12 15:16:45	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xc430d7…
08-12 15:16:43	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xf6461d…
08-12 15:16:43	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xe9b7b1…
08-12 15:16:40	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x94b5f8…
08-12 15:16:39	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xd87632…
08-12 15:16:28	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x1289b1…
08-12 15:16:09	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x746a81…
08-12 03:21:19	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xbe12ad…
08-10 19:37:03	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x6ef1a9…
08-10 18:40:01	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0x931a93…
08-09 07:42:43	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x42a3a3…
08-07 11:21:19	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x020a37…
08-07 09:23:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x6f9f05…
08-06 17:35:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x00a77b…
08-06 04:15:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x05cb9c…
08-05 05:52:14	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xc1716e…
08-05 05:37:38	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x9da3d2…
08-05 05:37:36	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0xfac54a…
08-04 09:07:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xd447b6…
08-04 02:43:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xe2a8b7…
08-04 00:53:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x49d6a9…
08-03 06:08:24	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x49f7b1…
08-02 19:31:39	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x29d5f8…
08-02 12:30:36	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3b949a…
08-02 05:40:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x784dd8…
08-02 02:16:20	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x135805…
08-02 02:13:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x97921a…
08-01 08:26:14	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xf4c84a…
07-31 20:12:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xffaae8…
07-31 19:47:48	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x6d68b2…
07-31 18:34:29	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x3d5095…
07-31 17:38:51	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf14cfd…
07-29 17:52:54	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xb66e6e…
07-29 17:50:47	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x369356…
07-29 17:48:03	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x8a891a…
07-28 14:45:35	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xaf9d60…
07-28 09:46:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xa119b2…
07-28 09:41:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xd6a4ea…
07-28 09:41:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xb5a7f1…
07-28 09:41:40	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x089f34…
07-26 16:00:16	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x2e359f…
07-26 15:05:13	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xa71e08…
07-26 14:46:01	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x9732d1…
07-25 17:26:31	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x075d2b…
07-25 13:49:24	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xef016e…
07-25 10:42:37	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x4dc339…
07-25 08:50:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x2f4591…
07-24 18:10:46	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x623df6…
07-24 16:55:09	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xc57987…
07-24 16:55:09	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x9981d6…
07-24 13:34:54	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x7d6bea…
07-24 13:20:52	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x6e6785…
07-24 10:49:01	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc00570…
07-24 00:39:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x5cc505…
07-23 16:51:33	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x796673…
07-23 15:49:37	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xeb5649…
07-23 14:20:43	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xc616af…
07-23 10:39:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x9c3b4d…
07-22 18:04:58	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x2cfd4f…
07-21 15:12:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xb935e1…
07-21 02:59:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xdb2637…
07-21 02:24:00	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x15a4c6…
07-20 17:49:34	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2cf824…
07-20 13:26:12	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x9eadb0…
07-20 02:59:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x29d885…
07-19 22:07:39	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x7c4834…
07-19 21:49:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x82cc8f…
07-19 00:34:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x3e61a5…
07-18 18:16:36	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x0815f7…
07-18 16:54:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x47ac33…
07-18 14:08:51	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xa9de60…
07-18 13:17:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xbdffbe…
07-18 04:06:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xbd04fe…
07-17 17:57:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x5b8329…
07-17 17:57:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xc5404a…
07-17 09:51:01	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xfb60a7…
07-17 09:47:15	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x1f2de0…
07-17 09:46:55	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xc4e57e…
07-17 06:09:04	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x09a043…
07-16 21:48:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf4a65a…
07-16 05:09:43	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xc52c9f…
07-13 19:16:23	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xea638d…
07-13 18:50:44	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0xb52ead…
07-13 06:08:31	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x20153d…
07-13 06:08:26	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x7ab397…
07-13 06:08:25	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xef46cd…
07-13 06:08:25	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xb4271f…
07-13 06:08:23	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xfb5278…
07-13 06:08:20	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xb4bb41…
07-13 06:08:17	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xbbaa6c…
07-13 06:08:13	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x13dbfc…
07-13 06:08:11	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xa7886b…
07-13 06:08:08	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x5e8bf8…