Warlike-Scrutiny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$420

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,030

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 07-19 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 46% $-418

Other

2% — —

Politics

2% 0% $-2

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 431 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$509	1,032	973	+60	open	—	04-26 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	7	$487	431	415	+16	open	—	04-27 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	8	$471	391	382	+9	open	—	05-04 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$348	317	182	+135	open	—	05-04 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$324	307	132	+175	open	—	04-27 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$292	257	257	+0	Down	+$52	05-06 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$281	233	213	+20	open	—	05-04 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$276	286	193	+93	open	—	04-26 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$261	1,407	1,314	+93	open	—	04-26 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	19	$257	304	288	+15	open	—	05-04 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$257	306	266	+40	open	—	04-26 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$255	357	218	+139	open	—	04-26 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$246	199	199	+0	open	—	05-04 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	20	$245	202	202	+0	open	—	05-04 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	5	$242	201	151	+50	open	—	05-04 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$240	217	201	+17	open	—	05-04 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$235	294	279	+15	open	—	04-27 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	26	$220	212	204	+7	open	—	05-04 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	5	$212	166	124	+42	open	—	04-27 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	5	$210	194	170	+25	open	—	05-04 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$204	114	108	+7	Up	+$2	05-05 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	5	$202	209	185	+25	open	—	04-27 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$202	212	206	+6	open	—	05-04 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$201	258	19	+239	open	—	04-27 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$185	166	162	+4	open	—	04-27 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$178	494	269	+225	Down	$-122	05-05 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$176	260	160	+100	open	—	05-04 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	8	$176	174	104	+70	Down	+$15	05-05 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	7	$163	303	177	+126	open	—	04-27 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	4	$161	224	185	+39	open	—	04-27 04:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 15:06:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x262959…
07-11 02:26:35	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x03f24d…
07-01 17:51:41	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 extra time	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x046bee…
07-01 17:49:16	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xed202f…
07-01 17:49:13	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 extra time	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x30ff1f…
07-01 17:46:02	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x90c340…
07-01 17:44:55	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 extra time	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6ef160…
07-01 02:07:10	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x10f6e2…
06-30 04:16:25	will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x10724d…
06-30 04:16:20	will portugal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120775	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xeba78d…
06-30 04:16:16	will colombia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120776	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x660aa2…
06-30 04:16:11	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x75a11a…
06-30 04:15:56	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf9cb2e…
06-30 04:15:50	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9c81c0…
06-30 04:15:44	will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xe57b64…
06-22 05:14:46	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6a13c0…
06-22 05:02:17	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xc349e1…
06-22 05:01:32	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xfe4c82…
06-17 13:14:17	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x9687e2…
06-17 13:12:29	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0x4a2114…
06-17 13:12:17	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xfefac7…
06-13 03:24:58	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x8d7df1…
06-11 15:15:15	Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xfd907e…
06-10 05:15:39	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8d439c…
06-10 05:15:22	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5f4316…
06-10 05:15:15	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd73233…
06-10 05:15:12	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2ee71c…
06-10 05:15:07	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7254fd…
06-10 05:15:03	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x638d81…
06-10 05:14:58	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf12f2e…
06-10 05:14:51	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x56b037…
06-10 05:14:48	Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe46a53…
06-10 05:14:45	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xacfda7…
06-10 05:14:39	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd51e7b…
06-10 05:14:34	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x54d975…
06-10 05:14:30	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x90ba5b…
06-10 05:14:27	Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x147371…
06-10 05:14:24	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2ca3a0…
06-10 05:14:19	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x12d898…
06-10 05:14:15	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc9159c…
06-10 05:14:10	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xaed3fc…
06-10 05:14:06	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc3aff8…
06-10 05:13:51	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe2cd71…
06-10 05:13:48	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x55680e…
06-10 05:13:43	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0832f9…
06-10 05:13:37	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x76ec5e…
06-10 05:13:33	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x48da84…
06-10 05:13:24	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf95cb1…
06-10 05:13:21	Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x6803f6…
06-10 05:13:12	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5646c0…
06-10 05:13:04	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x956f5d…
06-10 05:12:51	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x3ced2e…
06-10 05:12:48	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x884b90…
06-10 05:12:31	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x391f71…
06-10 05:12:28	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x35ead8…
06-09 14:27:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf0c14c…
06-09 14:27:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x9da8b2…
06-09 14:27:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xb456ac…
06-08 15:26:39	btc updown 5m 1780932300	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x80c588…
05-10 09:23:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x1c2309…
05-07 03:45:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x5ffe18…
05-06 05:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	28	11¢	$3	0xc3a150…
05-06 05:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x12e020…
05-06 05:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x7d53d2…
05-06 05:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2d9c2e…
05-06 04:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	18	59¢	$11	0x8bb43a…
05-06 04:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x46a0d6…
05-06 04:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9fbf5f…
05-06 04:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xef0ec1…
05-06 04:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x284b0e…
05-06 04:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x00df17…
05-06 04:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x575b6b…
05-06 04:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x34fe20…
05-06 04:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x799f31…
05-06 04:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xee6f0b…
05-06 04:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe6209e…
05-06 03:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xbbcab0…
05-06 03:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xcb0e54…
05-06 03:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xa7614b…
05-06 03:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	17	50¢	$9	0x507450…
05-06 03:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x4a9b65…
05-06 03:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x4a6ecd…
05-06 03:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x1d0af7…
05-06 03:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xfce2f9…
05-06 03:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	45	29¢	$13	0x8f819d…
05-06 03:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x822d08…
05-06 03:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	62¢	$5	0xcde998…
05-06 03:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb1cf1e…
05-06 03:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x509b52…
05-06 03:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0xc8b0d3…
05-06 03:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x17bdc5…
05-06 03:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x187437…
05-06 03:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa5680a…
05-06 03:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0x81c2f4…
05-06 03:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xec38e4…
05-06 03:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	257	67¢	$172	0x0fab85…
05-06 03:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x082d29…
05-06 03:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x174fde…
05-06 03:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x7bf22f…
05-06 03:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x274b20…