Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$19,336
Trades
574
Unique wallets
151
Liquidity
$852
Latest YES mid
80¢
Latest NO mid
20¢
End date
2026-06-28
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-12 07:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.8¢
(top1%: 80% YES on $2.9K
vs crowd: 79% YES on $19.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $3.2K | $2.6K | +$574 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $2.3K | $245 | +$2.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 28 | $7.2K | $1.1K | +$6.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 94 | $2.2K | $179 | +$2.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $2.3K | $569 | +$1.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $2.4K | $1.1K | +$1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $215 | $74 | +$141 |
| Median | 13 | $114 | $1 | +$113 |
| Below median | 26 | $1.4K | $9 | +$1.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $112 | $25 | +$87 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $1.1K | $2 | +$1.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $418 | $2.1K | $1.7K |
| unranked | 68 | $6.9K | $179 | +$6.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | +10,000 | $2,100 | $2,100 | 47 | 06-11 11:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xc0fd…6a89 | Yes | +5,700 | $4,503 | $4,503 | 1 | 06-11 09:46 |
| Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | +4,626 | $925 | $925 | 15 | 06-12 07:03 |
| Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | Yes | +2,500 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 06-11 18:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xe617…f251 | Yes | +1,899 | $1,500 | $1,500 | 1 | 06-10 23:32 |
| Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | No | +1,637 | $344 | $344 | 36 | 06-10 09:17 |
| Frightening-Detainment 0xcf7a…3de0 | Yes | +1,250 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 2 | 06-11 16:56 |
| Glittering-Chaise 0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | +1,000 | $800 | $800 | 11 | 06-11 23:25 |
| Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | +885 | $700 | $700 | 25 | 06-12 07:03 |
| Loving-Washer-Data 0xa641…0866 | Yes | +753 | $600 | $600 | 1 | 06-02 08:32 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +509 | $408 | $419 | 6 | 06-11 16:45 |
| Traumatic-Gondola 0x5dd4…ad53 | Yes | +500 | $395 | $395 | 1 | 06-10 21:10 |
| Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | No | +404 | $77 | $77 | 5 | 06-11 16:45 |
| Willing-Chimpanzee 0x7b43…31ce | Yes | +400 | $316 | $316 | 1 | 06-09 18:46 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +309 | $66 | $66 | 2 | 06-02 08:32 |
| Glass-Court 0x41f0…3eeb | No | +300 | $63 | $63 | 9 | 06-07 10:44 |
| Shady-Boutique 0xbf48…d8c6 | Yes | +300 | $236 | $236 | 22 | 06-09 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e58…0d4d | Yes | +300 | $234 | $234 | 26 | 06-08 00:46 |
| Gruesome-Soy 0x5ea9…b6b8 | Yes | +254 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 06-08 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fdf…3dd0 | No | +250 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-11 15:21 |
| Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | No | +200 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-02 08:32 |
| Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | No | +180 | $40 | $40 | 36 | 06-10 09:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xa7b7…8d79 | No | +136 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-07 03:02 |
| Bustling-Quality 0x219a…a647 | Yes | +127 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-07 13:30 |
| Whole-Ceremony 0x25a7…8b7c | Yes | +127 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-09 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf47e…5031 | Yes | +127 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-09 03:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd3d…6542 | Yes | +127 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-08 23:14 |
| Purple-Calculator 0xa23b…af4b | Yes | +125 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-28 17:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xcea8…1f9f | Yes | +120 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-11 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x4747…3184 | Yes | +101 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 06-11 01:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x416f…0831 | Yes | +101 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 06-11 16:00 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +100 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 06-10 09:17 |
| Candid-Thrush 0x404c…74dc | Yes | +100 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 06-09 05:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd0f…a925 | No | +100 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-11 12:19 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +99 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-04 22:52 |
| Political-Revelation 0x21a8…1aec | Yes | +85 | $68 | $68 | 2 | 06-11 18:01 |
| Golden-Teriyaki 0x2c97…c20b | No | +68 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-10 06:21 |
| Rusty-Vegetation 0xcc8a…7d9c | Yes | +68 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 06-10 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xc509…5ae3 | Yes | +63 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-08 22:47 |
| Lucky-Lawsuit 0x8041…fc83 | Yes | +60 | $47 | $47 | 5 | 06-01 06:29 |
| Satisfied-Disregard 0xe904…44e9 | No | +57 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-07 10:44 |
| All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | +53 | $11 | $11 | 5 | 06-01 06:29 |
| Good-Sport 0xec0c…839c | Yes | +51 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-11 03:37 |
| Unfit-Complication 0xe407…438b | Yes | +50 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-10 19:45 |
| Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet 0xe8c4…395d | No | +48 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-11 04:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xc0d3…5e34 | Yes | +44 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-10 19:03 |
| Forked-Devastation 0x0c8d…f2a5 | No | +26 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 23:25 |
| Weepy-Bandolier 0x54d1…13f4 | No | +25 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 11:42 |
| Sunny-Kitsch 0x3088…2391 | No | +25 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 15:40 |
| Rewarding-Plough 0x8c59…bb5c | No | +23 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 00:15 |
| Lucky-Dysfunction-Romaine 0xca83…8b16 | No | +23 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 23:09 |
| Rubbery-Paint 0x373a…f4c1 | No | +18 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-30 00:49 |
| Impeccable-Sparerib 0x1ea0…ae77 | No | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 14:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x6216…1bd4 | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 13:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 07:03:10 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x2266ec… |
| 06-12 07:03:10 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x2266ec… |
| 06-12 05:02:01 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x975684… |
| 06-12 05:02:01 | Pleasing-Lapdog 0x713d…15d0 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x975684… |
| 06-12 04:49:58 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xd3849d… |
| 06-12 04:49:58 | (anonymous) 0x5cd6…8d73 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xd3849d… |
| 06-12 00:18:01 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x36601c… |
| 06-12 00:18:01 | Fickle-Version 0x7761…f504 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x36601c… |
| 06-11 23:25:13 | Glittering-Chaise 0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 79¢ | $21 | 0xf85633… |
| 06-11 23:25:13 | Forked-Devastation 0x0c8d…f2a5 | No | BUY | 26 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xf85633… |
| 06-11 21:17:36 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xae89a2… |
| 06-11 21:17:36 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0xae89a2… |
| 06-11 20:51:46 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 16 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xe833f2… |
| 06-11 20:51:46 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | BUY | 16 | 80¢ | $13 | 0xe833f2… |
| 06-11 19:38:30 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xab671d… |
| 06-11 19:38:30 | Usable-Jiffy 0x4eea…128f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xab671d… |
| 06-11 19:10:55 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x5856a8… |
| 06-11 19:10:55 | Acrobatic-Slipper 0x5304…4665 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x5856a8… |
| 06-11 18:58:45 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 2,500 | 20¢ | $500 | 0xb773d0… |
| 06-11 18:58:45 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | Yes | BUY | 2,500 | 80¢ | $2,000 | 0xb773d0… |
| 06-11 18:53:34 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 80¢ | $15 | 0x662c9e… |
| 06-11 18:53:34 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 19 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x662c9e… |
| 06-11 18:01:24 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 80 | 20¢ | $16 | 0xc98c32… |
| 06-11 18:01:24 | Political-Revelation 0x21a8…1aec | Yes | BUY | 80 | 80¢ | $64 | 0xc98c32… |
| 06-11 17:37:16 | Other-Thigh 0xbf13…7c9a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x5328d1… |
| 06-11 17:37:16 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x5328d1… |
| 06-11 17:03:51 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x1fd45c… |
| 06-11 17:03:51 | Far-Off-Invader 0x8224…9486 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x1fd45c… |
| 06-11 16:56:45 | Glittering-Chaise 0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 80¢ | $70 | 0x097e41… |
| 06-11 16:56:45 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 106 | 20¢ | $21 | 0x097e41… |
| 06-11 16:56:45 | Frightening-Detainment 0xcf7a…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 80¢ | $15 | 0x097e41… |
| 06-11 16:55:48 | Relieved-Maestro 0x329d…5a92 | No | SELL | 147 | 20¢ | $29 | 0x136c11… |
| 06-11 16:55:48 | Glittering-Chaise 0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | BUY | 262 | 80¢ | $210 | 0x136c11… |
| 06-11 16:55:48 | Considerate-Attraction 0xd5d8…e9a1 | No | BUY | 1,800 | 20¢ | $360 | 0x136c11… |
| 06-11 16:55:48 | Frightening-Detainment 0xcf7a…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 1,231 | 80¢ | $985 | 0x136c11… |
| 06-11 16:55:48 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | No | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x136c11… |
| 06-11 16:47:30 | (anonymous) 0xd1d8…eb94 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 80¢ | $49 | 0x8b2a11… |
| 06-11 16:47:30 | Glittering-Chaise 0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 80¢ | $49 | 0x8b2a11… |
| 06-11 16:45:10 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 236 | 81¢ | $191 | 0x880bd3… |
| 06-11 16:45:10 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | No | BUY | 236 | 19¢ | $45 | 0x880bd3… |
| 06-11 16:35:30 | (anonymous) 0xd1d8…eb94 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 81¢ | $50 | 0x05d900… |
| 06-11 16:35:30 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | No | BUY | 62 | 19¢ | $12 | 0x05d900… |
| 06-11 16:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x416f…0831 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 81¢ | $82 | 0xa3afa8… |
| 06-11 16:00:04 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | No | BUY | 101 | 19¢ | $19 | 0xa3afa8… |
| 06-11 15:40:36 | Sunny-Kitsch 0x3088…2391 | No | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xf517c9… |
| 06-11 15:40:36 | Glittering-Chaise 0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0xf517c9… |
| 06-11 15:21:40 | Glittering-Chaise 0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 80¢ | $200 | 0xf86d7e… |
| 06-11 15:21:40 | (anonymous) 0x5fdf…3dd0 | No | BUY | 250 | 20¢ | $50 | 0xf86d7e… |
| 06-11 15:07:18 | Distinct-Zombie 0x826a…b27c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xefd096… |
| 06-11 15:07:18 | Glittering-Chaise 0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xefd096… |
| 06-11 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0xcd0f…a925 | No | BUY | 100 | 20¢ | $20 | 0xea5810… |
| 06-11 12:19:07 | Glittering-Chaise 0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0xea5810… |
| 06-11 11:52:49 | (anonymous) 0x8c1c…66e9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xeb32f1… |
| 06-11 11:52:49 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | No | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xeb32f1… |
| 06-11 11:42:24 | Weepy-Bandolier 0x54d1…13f4 | No | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x6ab039… |
| 06-11 11:42:24 | Glittering-Chaise 0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x6ab039… |
| 06-11 11:37:10 | Sizzling-Scallion 0x85b9…906d | No | BUY | 4 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x705436… |
| 06-11 11:37:10 | Treasured-Cuisine 0x0263…0d91 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 81¢ | $3 | 0x705436… |
| 06-11 11:33:46 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | BUY | 322 | 79¢ | $255 | 0xd74482… |
| 06-11 11:33:46 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | No | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xd74482… |
| 06-11 11:33:46 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 308 | 21¢ | $65 | 0xd74482… |
| 06-11 11:33:46 | Novel-Assertion 0xe748…bc49 | No | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xd74482… |
| 06-11 11:33:31 | Stiff-Nightgown 0x7aed…df39 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 79¢ | $7 | 0xcb6128… |
| 06-11 11:33:31 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xcb6128… |
| 06-11 11:17:10 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | BUY | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0xb3fca2… |
| 06-11 11:17:10 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xb3fca2… |
| 06-11 11:07:13 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x1e7cf4… |
| 06-11 11:07:13 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x1e7cf4… |
| 06-11 10:47:27 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 194 | 21¢ | $41 | 0xdfaa31… |
| 06-11 10:47:27 | Blushing-Chandelier 0xf1ad…6979 | No | SELL | 194 | 21¢ | $41 | 0xdfaa31… |
| 06-11 09:46:04 | (anonymous) 0xc0fd…6a89 | Yes | BUY | 5,700 | 79¢ | $4,503 | 0x57b4fa… |
| 06-11 09:46:04 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 5,700 | 21¢ | $1,197 | 0x57b4fa… |
| 06-11 08:43:58 | (anonymous) 0x1a3e…6182 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x76d803… |
| 06-11 08:43:58 | Pungent-Riddle 0x371d…b39a | No | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x76d803… |
| 06-11 06:56:04 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 12 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x8408cd… |
| 06-11 06:56:04 | Stiff-Nightgown 0x7aed…df39 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 79¢ | $9 | 0x8408cd… |
| 06-11 06:15:37 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 246 | 79¢ | $194 | 0xa78c49… |
| 06-11 06:15:37 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 246 | 21¢ | $52 | 0xa78c49… |
| 06-11 06:07:27 | (anonymous) 0x3e7c…80c6 | No | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xc51560… |
| 06-11 06:07:27 | (anonymous) 0x1a3e…6182 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xc51560… |
| 06-11 05:16:42 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x9e3dbe… |
| 06-11 05:16:42 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 79¢ | $15 | 0x9e3dbe… |
| 06-11 05:10:03 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 79¢ | $15 | 0x1c1411… |
| 06-11 05:10:03 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x1c1411… |
| 06-11 05:00:04 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 79¢ | $15 | 0x626f3b… |
| 06-11 05:00:04 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x626f3b… |
| 06-11 04:56:45 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x7468b0… |
| 06-11 04:56:45 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 79¢ | $15 | 0x7468b0… |
| 06-11 04:50:03 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xfdc06b… |
| 06-11 04:50:03 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 79¢ | $15 | 0xfdc06b… |
| 06-11 04:46:45 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x164363… |
| 06-11 04:46:45 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 79¢ | $15 | 0x164363… |
| 06-11 04:44:39 | (anonymous) 0x24a9…c44a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0x7cab99… |
| 06-11 04:44:39 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 13 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x7cab99… |
| 06-11 04:44:12 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x4fb53e… |
| 06-11 04:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x1a3e…6182 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 78¢ | $14 | 0x4fb53e… |
| 06-11 04:44:12 | Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet 0xe8c4…395d | No | BUY | 48 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x4fb53e… |
| 06-11 04:44:12 | Blissful-Delivery 0x340e…36f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x4fb53e… |
| 06-11 04:40:01 | Amused-Readiness 0x8fba…d08a | No | BUY | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xe6e110… |
| 06-11 04:40:01 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 79¢ | $15 | 0xe6e110… |