Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.25K

Unrealized P&L

+$694

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

Trades

6,416

lifetime

Volume

$946.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

$19.2K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-22 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% 67% +$2,250

Sports

23% — —

Politics

6% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+16,000	$15,090	99¢	$15.8K	+$758	07-12 06:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-2,750	$-2,530	94¢	$-2599	$-69	06-28 08:47
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?	No	-424	$-394	92¢	$-392	+$2	07-19 02:43
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?	No	-272	$-263	97¢	$-263	+$0	07-06 19:26
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?	No	-100	$-92	90¢	$-90	+$2	07-19 02:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	56	$50.4K	39,080	30,945	+8,135	open	—	03-31 17:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	20	$24.7K	25,806	2,603	+23,202	No	+$3,019	04-20 23:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	55	$23.4K	12,039	13,000	-961	open	—	06-26 14:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	47	$20.3K	20,349	20,349	+0	open	—	03-26 13:24
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$20.3K	23,025	0	+23,025	open	—	07-07 17:56
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$18.7K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	07-13 06:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$15.1K	16,000	0	+16,000	open	—	07-12 06:57
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	14	$14.7K	10,578	6,187	+4,392	open	—	07-22 03:49
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	41	$13.8K	10,500	9,500	+1,000	open	—	03-27 09:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	3	$11.9K	13,521	0	+13,521	open	—	05-09 16:39
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	12	$11.3K	10,102	4,000	+6,102	open	—	07-22 13:02
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	3	$10.6K	11,052	0	+11,052	open	—	07-18 20:30
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	19	$9.8K	5,596	5,596	+0	open	—	03-23 17:56
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	9	$8.5K	4,690	4,690	+0	open	—	03-21 10:56
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	23	$7.8K	7,712	1,915	+5,797	open	—	03-25 13:48
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	17	$7.0K	3,664	3,664	+0	open	—	03-21 10:57
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	8	$6.5K	3,322	3,322	+0	open	—	04-14 06:30
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	6	$6.5K	6,894	0	+6,894	open	—	07-13 14:35
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	29	$6.1K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	03-28 06:12
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	2	$5.7K	2,846	2,846	+0	open	—	03-25 19:51
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	13	$5.6K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	03-21 10:56
aus mac wsw 2026 02 28 wsw	21	$5.6K	3,448	3,448	+0	open	—	02-28 10:11
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	8	$5.3K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-23 19:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	17	$5.3K	3,044	3,210	-166	open	—	02-28 08:10
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	10	$5.3K	6,554	3,001	+3,553	open	—	03-26 16:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	14	$5.2K	4,150	4,150	+0	open	—	04-12 12:35
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$5.2K	3,786	3,786	+0	open	—	06-18 04:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$5.2K	2,950	2,950	+0	open	—	02-23 13:01
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	6	$5.1K	3,004	3,004	-0	open	—	07-07 12:42
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	2	$5.0K	2,950	2,950	+0	open	—	02-27 04:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 13:02:22	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1,000	88¢	$878	0xe83599…
07-22 12:37:09	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	269	88¢	$235	0x327e18…
07-22 12:22:16	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0xdd9fdf…
07-22 12:12:19	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	482	88¢	$422	0x7a8376…
07-22 03:49:21	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	737	89¢	$659	0xf14b2d…
07-22 03:32:16	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	1,263	89¢	$1,129	0x30cb55…
07-21 05:51:46	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,050	84¢	$884	0x1db876…
07-21 05:48:01	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	1,847	86¢	$1,597	0xac32c1…
07-20 07:39:09	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2,000	84¢	$1,688	0x63e656…
07-20 07:18:49	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	730	85¢	$618	0xfb764c…
07-19 18:29:37	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,500	85¢	$1,281	0x39204d…
07-19 04:56:24	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3,552	87¢	$3,098	0x61abc9…
07-19 04:45:03	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	1,610	86¢	$1,386	0x471bb0…
07-19 02:43:18	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?	No	SELL	300	93¢	$279	0x6a4701…
07-19 02:23:21	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xebe13d…
07-19 02:20:07	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xafce4c…
07-18 20:30:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	9,970	95¢	$9,512	0xfac6de…
07-18 20:30:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xf9ce05…
07-15 13:12:08	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,000	35¢	$696	0xf7cf5e…
07-14 02:20:23	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	126	86¢	$108	0xec01df…
07-13 14:35:43	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$913	0x14c6c9…
07-13 14:03:17	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	130	86¢	$112	0x858cc9…
07-13 09:55:28	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x911e8d…
07-13 08:56:23	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	214	86¢	$184	0xfcfe2a…
07-13 08:52:22	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	115	86¢	$99	0x4f065e…
07-13 07:01:32	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	79	86¢	$68	0xdbe470…
07-13 06:41:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1,052	98¢	$1,029	0xff9db6…
07-13 06:39:37	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3,192	87¢	$2,776	0x73c4df…
07-13 06:35:04	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	BUY	2,686	95¢	$2,552	0x115601…
07-13 06:32:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,960	0x48c04e…
07-12 21:40:49	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xebe4d3…
07-12 09:53:37	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	4,989	84¢	$4,181	0xcff9a0…
07-12 06:57:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10,000	96¢	$9,600	0x6dcc39…
07-11 23:15:40	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	BUY	1,720	94¢	$1,619	0x729d3e…
07-10 20:08:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5,000	95¢	$4,750	0x1687e9…
07-10 06:40:56	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	502	70¢	$351	0xfc93df…
07-10 06:23:50	will gas hit 3pt50 low by july 31 20260630204749454	No	BUY	844	91¢	$765	0x4994c4…
07-10 05:54:56	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,000	68¢	$680	0x46055e…
07-09 17:09:52	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	122	70¢	$85	0xf138d9…
07-09 16:58:55	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	1,377	70¢	$964	0x7674aa…
07-09 16:37:44	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x394b25…
07-09 12:00:16	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	BUY	242	94¢	$228	0x38c794…
07-09 09:22:47	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	2,000	90¢	$1,794	0x4f7c6d…
07-09 07:36:26	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	965	72¢	$695	0xb61a43…
07-09 06:47:46	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x7fb039…
07-09 06:46:41	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	BUY	38	94¢	$35	0x66abb9…
07-08 22:38:38	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	439	79¢	$347	0x139774…
07-08 22:35:10	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	82	79¢	$65	0x7c0796…
07-08 22:35:02	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	96	79¢	$76	0x642c71…
07-08 22:34:59	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	146	79¢	$115	0x65519b…
07-08 22:34:56	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	173	79¢	$137	0x4fa23e…
07-08 21:40:08	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	64	79¢	$51	0x862126…
07-08 18:29:05	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	900	90¢	$814	0x9eda92…
07-08 16:20:26	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x15bfdf…
07-08 16:19:04	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xc7a914…
07-08 16:18:10	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xcb7ceb…
07-08 14:49:50	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x5e88be…
07-08 07:29:22	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	394	70¢	$276	0x6c6003…
07-08 07:20:59	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xc33d03…
07-08 06:12:23	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0x057d2e…
07-08 06:12:20	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	163	66¢	$107	0xccf272…
07-08 06:12:16	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	58	66¢	$38	0x557585…
07-08 06:12:13	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	59	66¢	$39	0xbe96d3…
07-08 06:12:07	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	57	66¢	$37	0xc951f9…
07-08 06:11:44	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	786	66¢	$519	0x3fdc76…
07-08 06:06:31	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x4c34e4…
07-08 05:51:23	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0x7ac87d…
07-08 05:34:23	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	207	66¢	$137	0xa7ea7d…
07-08 05:17:22	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,602	70¢	$1,122	0xc797b3…
07-08 05:16:58	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	298	66¢	$197	0x5c3f76…
07-07 17:56:26	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10,204	98¢	$10,000	0x7e0aea…
07-07 17:49:28	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	12,821	80¢	$10,257	0x01d8e9…
07-07 17:42:05	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	2,000	75¢	$1,491	0x7a0362…
07-07 16:43:43	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,998	95¢	$1,900	0x7e41f7…
07-07 12:42:29	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	Yes	SELL	2,000	81¢	$1,628	0xc766d8…
07-07 08:25:13	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe4ac05…
07-07 06:54:31	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$986	0x427c51…
07-06 19:26:23	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?	No	SELL	271	97¢	$262	0x27030f…
07-04 17:03:31	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	491	81¢	$398	0xb454aa…
07-04 16:53:55	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	90	81¢	$73	0x3c5e2b…
07-04 16:53:50	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	447	81¢	$362	0xf77810…
07-04 16:45:56	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	45	81¢	$36	0x4d2365…
07-04 16:45:31	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	68	81¢	$55	0xd63fe6…
07-04 16:43:25	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0xc2b08a…
07-04 16:19:26	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0xb8139c…
07-04 16:18:55	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x5c4be3…
07-04 16:06:58	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	320	81¢	$259	0xa62700…
07-04 16:03:41	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	24	81¢	$19	0xd1abbd…
07-04 15:59:53	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x8c916c…
07-04 15:40:31	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x1a0754…
07-04 15:40:31	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x0c9e3c…
07-04 15:37:11	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	68	81¢	$55	0xd696fd…
07-04 15:32:17	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xe5032d…
07-04 14:48:47	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0x3c7487…
07-04 14:46:04	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x91a39a…
07-04 14:45:13	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	23	81¢	$18	0x7407bb…
07-04 10:36:23	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	81¢	$1,612	0xdd463b…
07-03 05:53:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	74¢	$740	0x1c0569…
07-02 07:28:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	120	92¢	$111	0x77f9a8…
07-02 06:01:20	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	400	92¢	$368	0x4af491…