Miserable-Sound — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

Trades

21,919

lifetime

Volume

$4.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 05-01 04:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

49% 44% +$3

Sports

20% 0% —

Crypto

16% 50% +$2

Politics

15% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 1434 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 560 579	67	$71	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	02-16 13:20
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	76	$35	12,784	16,000	-3,216	open	—	02-25 02:04
will the us next strike iran on february 17 2026 et	48	$33	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	02-19 05:22
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?	34	$32	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	02-25 01:44
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	16	$30	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	02-21 19:09
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 220 239	29	$29	15,000	12,000	+3,000	open	—	02-25 22:23
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 140 159	35	$26	11,000	11,000	-0	open	—	02-15 01:23
will the christian democratic peoples party kdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	33	$25	5,001	5,001	+0	open	—	03-25 16:12
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 420 439	10	$24	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	02-16 16:46
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 220 239	25	$24	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	02-18 22:26
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	24	$23	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	02-17 13:49
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 540 559	67	$23	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	02-15 08:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	37	$21	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	04-10 10:57
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 500 519	40	$20	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	02-15 09:14
will kazakhstan record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 135	9	$20	7,698	6,000	+1,698	open	—	02-21 04:00
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 180 199	25	$19	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	02-15 18:47
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 580plus	24	$19	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	02-22 18:23
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 560 579	24	$18	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	02-23 08:53
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$18	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	02-25 15:10
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 540 559	104	$18	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	02-20 13:01
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 520 539	12	$18	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	02-18 04:09
will sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	60	$18	7,565	7,565	+0	open	—	02-15 17:21
Will Cade Klubnik be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	91	$17	5,995	6,000	-5	open	—	04-23 00:39
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	43	$17	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	04-27 04:32
will ucla win the 2026 ncaa tournament	119	$16	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	03-23 05:58
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	126	$16	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	04-16 08:24
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	100	$16	5,990	4,999	+991	open	—	02-21 20:59
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 400 419	25	$15	9,000	6,359	+2,641	open	—	02-17 00:56
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 460 479	65	$15	9,000	6,104	+2,896	open	—	02-25 20:32
bitcoin above 76k on february 18	27	$15	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	02-17 21:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-01 04:22:40	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5cc97c…
05-01 00:39:42	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8e973a…
05-01 00:13:52	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0505e1…
04-30 10:25:12	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0xc8799a…
04-30 09:23:06	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0xbf907a…
04-30 08:14:36	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0x74cf8b…
04-29 12:31:26	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	687	0¢	$1	0x74b67c…
04-29 11:01:22	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x3e06b8…
04-29 11:00:50	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	305	0¢	$1	0xaaa432…
04-29 08:42:02	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x5a10a7…
04-29 08:36:16	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	922	0¢	$1	0x236528…
04-29 06:59:00	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1ad758…
04-29 05:21:50	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbe8c67…
04-29 05:14:10	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2f0806…
04-29 05:05:56	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe8bd72…
04-29 04:31:36	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	215	0¢	$0	0x503f2d…
04-29 04:25:04	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x148edc…
04-29 04:22:20	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	685	0¢	$1	0x255790…
04-29 01:45:00	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	103	0¢	$0	0x65bbaa…
04-29 01:00:38	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0x272aa7…
04-29 00:35:44	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2fe7e8…
04-29 00:22:32	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$0	0xfa61df…
04-29 00:15:28	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x49b8f3…
04-29 00:15:18	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0xe6db46…
04-29 00:07:16	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	849	0¢	$1	0x96b54b…
04-29 00:03:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xd448ed…
04-29 00:01:16	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x2ce0d8…
04-28 23:59:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0x827b17…
04-28 23:59:32	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x69cd98…
04-28 23:59:24	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0x2e4344…
04-28 23:58:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0xdc8bcc…
04-28 23:58:36	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xac89a1…
04-28 23:57:48	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xf097ba…
04-28 23:42:34	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x6a2cf4…
04-28 23:40:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x7b4aed…
04-28 23:37:58	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x4ad7ca…
04-28 10:34:14	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x93d94a…
04-28 08:43:30	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x105c23…
04-28 08:41:18	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	SELL	418	0¢	$0	0x478e41…
04-28 08:34:36	Will Michael Olise be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb47cfd…
04-28 07:00:22	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0c3021…
04-28 06:52:30	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	379	0¢	$0	0x9491c7…
04-28 06:14:42	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	363	0¢	$0	0xc3af02…
04-28 06:14:30	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x302dcb…
04-28 06:14:26	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	156	0¢	$0	0x3fbc9c…
04-28 06:14:16	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0xc68895…
04-28 05:58:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	814	0¢	$1	0xc8a29f…
04-28 05:34:26	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x7fc951…
04-28 05:21:08	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0x52437a…
04-28 04:58:58	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x188075…
04-28 04:58:58	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0x0951e9…
04-28 03:40:54	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x3bceff…
04-28 03:20:54	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc8ffb0…
04-28 01:16:36	Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x884f5a…
04-28 01:15:54	Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	446	0¢	$1	0x7e9a2a…
04-28 00:39:54	Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	815	0¢	$1	0xe3120d…
04-28 00:12:24	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5d923d…
04-28 00:12:24	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0a9be3…
04-28 00:12:22	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xb9aad6…
04-28 00:12:22	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x605a30…
04-28 00:12:22	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x375609…
04-28 00:02:00	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0xf7908e…
04-28 00:01:58	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	332	0¢	$0	0xa3bc1b…
04-28 00:00:30	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xa7a072…
04-28 00:00:30	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	231	0¢	$0	0x0ffeab…
04-27 23:32:20	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0xa81ea6…
04-27 22:45:12	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe6e080…
04-27 21:07:00	Will Manchester City finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	923	0¢	$1	0xa393b8…
04-27 20:55:20	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x32915d…
04-27 20:23:38	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	Yes	SELL	612	0¢	$1	0xc91069…
04-27 19:25:12	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xbc0e25…
04-27 19:25:12	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xa3141e…
04-27 18:04:20	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	320	0¢	$0	0xc2a5df…
04-27 17:42:28	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	480	0¢	$0	0x760598…
04-27 17:39:50	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0xc1e5e5…
04-27 17:39:50	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x28a535…
04-27 17:00:32	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa89f8b…
04-27 16:44:16	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x16947e…
04-27 16:01:20	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x074c19…
04-27 15:32:36	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe893a4…
04-27 15:16:00	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xb6848c…
04-27 15:16:00	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0xa19ef5…
04-27 15:16:00	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x139972…
04-27 14:42:34	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd8e7d7…
04-27 14:33:08	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x24afd8…
04-27 13:48:56	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x095410…
04-27 13:44:22	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc39ea2…
04-27 13:41:42	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xfc24d5…
04-27 13:34:08	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x661edb…
04-27 13:24:58	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xec4e98…
04-27 11:56:38	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	171	0¢	$0	0x58ef85…
04-27 11:56:26	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	277	0¢	$0	0xabedfd…
04-27 11:54:38	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	123	0¢	$0	0x2dfe5b…
04-27 11:54:26	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0xd7998d…
04-27 11:54:14	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	260	0¢	$0	0xe87050…
04-27 11:54:14	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x2c93ee…
04-27 11:52:38	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x8a2e72…
04-27 11:52:26	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$0	0xc84f74…
04-27 11:18:36	Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	SELL	819	0¢	$2	0x9e457d…
04-27 11:16:00	Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	SELL	181	0¢	$0	0xa732d7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	743	$82.5K	91,526	04-27 02:25
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	727	$2.60M	189,952	04-23 01:12
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	717	$1.97M	98,567	04-27 18:23
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	678	$17.0M	250,806	04-28 10:37
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	674	$103.1K	4,223	04-27 23:40
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	655	$40.6K	26,316	04-28 01:16
Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6	638	$608.9K	20,977	04-25 09:57
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	633	$9.10K	13,318	03-27 21:03