Attentive-Retention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$932

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

19,458

Trades

30,224

lifetime

Volume

$44.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-19 06:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 42% -$544

Other

4% 26% -$102

Sports

2% 37% -$286

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 71% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 378 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:30 UTC	35	$661	77	990	-913	Down	+$128	03-20 08:35
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	66	$227	1,228	1,228	+0	open	—	10-19 06:04
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	17	$152	2,706	29	+2,677	No	-$149	06-27 04:21
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	2	$102	536	0	+536	No	-$102	06-29 09:09
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	2	$96	118	118	+0	Yes	+$49	07-05 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 14:00 UTC	18	$79	80	79	+1	Up	-$1	03-21 13:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	15	$77	62	62	+0	No	+$4	08-25 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 05:30 UTC	36	$66	133	0	+133	Down	-$15	03-20 05:29
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$63	50	50	+0	Yes	-$6	07-16 07:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 15:05 UTC	26	$59	120	0	+120	Down	+$1	03-23 15:04
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	12	$57	119	119	+0	No	+$9	07-11 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 06:10 UTC	25	$54	105	5	+100	Up	+$0	03-25 06:09
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$54	197	206	-9	No	+$6	07-12 13:35
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	9	$52	72	72	+0	No	-$6	07-11 22:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 06:20 UTC	23	$50	95	5	+90	Up	+$0	03-25 06:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:30 UTC	22	$49	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	03-24 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 03:00 UTC	23	$47	90	5	+85	Up	+$3	03-25 02:59
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$45	178	184	-6	Yes	-$4	07-11 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 15:15 UTC	25	$45	93	0	+93	Up	-$2	03-18 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 21:50 UTC	23	$45	90	0	+90	Down	+$0	03-20 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 14:45 UTC	20	$45	90	0	+90	Down	+$0	03-23 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 23:15 UTC	25	$45	90	0	+90	Up	+$0	03-27 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 23:20 UTC	19	$43	85	0	+85	Up	+$7	03-19 23:19
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$42	316	330	-14	No	-$4	07-06 12:10
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$42	822	751	+71	No	-$19	07-11 23:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 14:40 UTC	17	$40	75	5	+70	Down	+$0	03-23 14:39
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	6	$39	144	144	+0	England	+$5	07-11 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 08:50 UTC	16	$39	80	0	+80	Up	+$1	03-23 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 21:40 UTC	19	$39	78	0	+78	Down	+$1	03-18 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:50 UTC	19	$37	70	5	+65	Up	+$3	03-24 00:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 06:05:26	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0xcb5ae1…
10-19 06:05:08	US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x3914ff…
10-19 06:04:44	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	330	5¢	$17	0x23b363…
10-18 01:04:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb394f6…
10-16 07:25:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xa45e13…
10-16 07:25:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc5b47d…
09-19 04:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc462a3…
09-19 04:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3c6b08…
09-18 02:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x31904d…
09-18 02:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x73ec27…
09-18 02:52:25	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xae4929…
09-17 13:54:16	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x44df3c…
09-17 13:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x8f4b34…
09-17 13:51:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	8¢	$4	0x94075c…
09-17 13:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x778b10…
09-17 13:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 17?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9a6757…
09-17 13:49:33	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	8¢	$8	0x6186a8…
09-17 13:45:16	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	8¢	$8	0x8c4499…
09-17 13:44:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3461af…
09-17 13:14:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x53558b…
09-17 10:58:22	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xeac34f…
09-17 09:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0e69b4…
09-17 09:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbc8b2a…
09-17 09:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xeede1d…
09-17 09:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1fb543…
09-17 09:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe92899…
09-17 09:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x385b2e…
09-16 11:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc97238…
09-16 11:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x75e06b…
09-16 11:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3bef7d…
09-15 21:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xdb52e8…
09-15 21:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7aca3d…
09-15 20:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x40f147…
09-15 20:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xac26ff…
09-15 20:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x81f33f…
09-15 20:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8c7cc4…
09-15 20:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x934bec…
09-15 20:52:22	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	898	4¢	$36	0x62d72e…
09-15 07:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb65323…
09-15 07:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x81a0f2…
09-14 09:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x05f0dd…
09-14 09:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa35193…
09-14 09:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x965d4d…
09-04 15:00:24	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x8459ad…
08-31 01:33:40	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x43fd11…
08-29 11:58:33	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x63510c…
08-29 11:49:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x330eea…
08-29 11:40:43	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x1e75ea…
08-29 11:09:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd3b223…
08-29 10:44:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd72d34…
08-29 10:39:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x93c758…
08-29 10:24:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4d8590…
08-29 10:19:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xaea239…
08-29 09:58:33	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbb38e9…
08-29 09:43:33	XRP Up or Down - August 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xabdc76…
08-29 09:40:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1b849c…
08-29 09:25:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc400c9…
08-29 09:24:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x10884a…
08-29 09:13:33	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x08ca31…
08-29 08:54:18	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfd57d1…
08-29 08:54:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xee3e50…
08-29 08:50:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdd0723…
08-29 08:49:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe5227b…
08-29 08:49:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x576406…
08-29 08:44:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x19eda4…
08-29 08:43:33	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2fb8a9…
08-29 08:15:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdc18ac…
08-29 08:15:07	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2398a7…
08-29 08:15:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x00b1aa…
08-29 08:14:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2677d2…
08-29 07:59:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x536dce…
08-29 07:49:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc16f8b…
08-29 07:39:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfb2e8c…
08-29 07:34:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x96e1c1…
08-29 07:28:33	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x889b43…
08-29 07:24:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2736b3…
08-29 07:10:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x23ba8b…
08-29 07:05:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3a2a06…
08-29 07:00:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x92e6c3…
08-29 06:50:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x85e930…
08-29 06:49:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa061b9…
08-29 06:49:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb9aadf…
08-29 06:44:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf53522…
08-29 06:44:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3ec986…
08-29 06:44:43	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2b6850…
08-29 06:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0b4aad…
08-29 06:29:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x618db4…
08-29 06:10:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb00322…
08-29 06:04:43	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x22afb9…
08-29 05:44:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0659cf…
08-29 05:44:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xee8fde…
08-29 05:44:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2311df…
08-29 05:39:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xc7bd42…
08-29 05:24:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x475cf3…
08-29 05:20:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb13a2c…
08-29 05:19:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x95c2d1…
08-29 05:15:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x26ed61…
08-29 05:09:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa32dd4…
08-29 04:59:52	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc51e91…
08-29 04:49:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x94fc1b…