Attentive-Retention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$129

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

614

Trades

13,346

lifetime

Volume

$35.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 07-01 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% $-129

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 587 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+56	$10	14¢	$7	$-2	06-18 05:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773995400	35	$661	77	990	-913	open	—	03-20 08:35
btc updown 5m 1774101600	18	$79	80	79	+1	open	—	03-21 13:56
btc updown 5m 1773984600	36	$66	133	0	+133	open	—	03-20 05:29
btc updown 5m 1774278300	26	$59	120	0	+120	open	—	03-23 15:04
btc updown 5m 1774419000	25	$54	105	5	+100	open	—	03-25 06:09
btc updown 5m 1774419600	23	$50	95	5	+90	open	—	03-25 06:19
btc updown 5m 1774312200	22	$49	100	0	+100	open	—	03-24 00:29
btc updown 5m 1774407600	23	$47	90	5	+85	open	—	03-25 02:59
btc updown 5m 1773846900	25	$45	93	0	+93	open	—	03-18 15:14
btc updown 5m 1774043400	23	$45	90	0	+90	open	—	03-20 21:49
btc updown 5m 1774277100	20	$45	90	0	+90	open	—	03-23 14:44
btc updown 5m 1774653300	25	$45	90	0	+90	open	—	03-27 23:14
btc updown 5m 1773962400	19	$43	85	0	+85	open	—	03-19 23:19
btc updown 5m 1774276800	17	$40	75	5	+70	open	—	03-23 14:39
btc updown 5m 1774255800	16	$39	80	0	+80	open	—	03-23 08:49
btc updown 5m 1773870000	19	$39	78	0	+78	open	—	03-18 21:39
btc updown 5m 1774313400	19	$37	70	5	+65	open	—	03-24 00:49
btc updown 5m 1774046100	16	$37	74	0	+74	open	—	03-20 22:34
btc updown 5m 1774273200	15	$37	70	5	+65	open	—	03-23 13:39
btc updown 5m 1773850800	23	$36	72	0	+72	open	—	03-18 16:20
btc updown 5m 1774028400	16	$35	71	0	+71	open	—	03-20 17:40
btc updown 5m 1774005000	15	$32	65	0	+65	open	—	03-20 11:09
btc updown 5m 1774020300	15	$32	63	0	+63	open	—	03-20 15:24
btc updown 5m 1774415400	13	$31	60	5	+55	open	—	03-25 05:09
btc updown 5m 1774293900	16	$30	56	5	+51	open	—	03-23 19:24
btc updown 5m 1774090500	16	$30	55	5	+50	open	—	03-21 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	7	$30	53	0	+53	open	—	04-29 19:12
btc updown 5m 1774384500	13	$30	55	5	+50	open	—	03-24 20:34
btc updown 5m 1774046700	12	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	03-20 22:44
btc updown 5m 1774344300	12	$30	55	5	+50	open	—	03-24 09:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 15:00:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x086ce6…
06-29 08:33:23	will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x3b7014…
06-29 08:33:07	will senegal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120768	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x5289c9…
06-29 08:26:34	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xe8920c…
06-28 10:44:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x441aa0…
06-26 02:56:14	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd9f59a…
06-26 02:55:46	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5114fe…
06-26 02:55:29	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd1edf8…
06-26 02:55:14	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1dfbfc…
06-26 02:54:59	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x97c3b7…
06-24 15:05:41	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xcfece6…
06-21 12:24:02	btc updown 5m 1782044400	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xecb530…
06-21 12:19:02	btc updown 5m 1782044100	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdf6e41…
06-21 07:36:19	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcba6b2…
06-20 12:05:01	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7cace3…
06-20 12:04:50	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb052f7…
06-20 11:22:40	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3e434e…
06-20 11:22:22	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc2d282…
06-20 11:18:40	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb38a2c…
06-20 11:18:13	Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3e0f31…
06-20 11:17:28	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7b46cc…
06-20 11:17:17	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0ca46f…
06-20 11:16:35	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdb2e41…
06-20 11:16:23	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6e65dc…
06-20 11:16:11	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5dfd5c…
06-20 11:15:46	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xea0855…
06-20 11:15:38	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5fed33…
06-20 11:15:26	Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x75dc8c…
06-20 11:14:55	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x0d226e…
06-20 11:14:43	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x527cd3…
06-18 11:19:29	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf321f8…
06-18 10:07:58	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7b715c…
06-18 10:07:41	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb351ae…
06-18 10:06:28	will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x81272b…
06-18 10:06:10	will turkiye reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120750	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc184c8…
06-18 10:05:43	will south korea reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120736	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x952917…
06-18 10:05:19	will senegal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120768	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x008d00…
06-18 10:04:31	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x498258…
06-18 10:04:11	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd9fe72…
06-18 10:03:34	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x92686d…
06-18 09:59:35	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf5de65…
06-18 09:59:19	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc4957f…
06-18 09:59:01	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x319639…
06-18 09:58:25	will netherlands reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149729	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x81595e…
06-18 09:31:23	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf58a33…
06-18 09:30:08	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x71bd76…
06-18 09:29:13	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x685ec0…
06-18 09:27:52	will australia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120748	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc8748d…
06-18 09:26:38	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc3ae61…
06-18 09:25:16	Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xab01d0…
06-18 09:24:38	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x16d19c…
06-18 09:24:20	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xef9584…
06-18 09:24:02	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa36604…
06-18 05:32:34	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xa53ccc…
06-18 05:32:23	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x587a0a…
06-17 20:50:04	btc updown 5m 1781729400	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xc26ee4…
06-17 20:45:04	btc updown 5m 1781729100	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x88bff8…
06-17 20:40:02	btc updown 5m 1781728800	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x74ba19…
06-17 20:30:02	btc updown 5m 1781728200	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x58c2f2…
06-17 20:00:05	btc updown 5m 1781726400	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2b42d7…
06-17 19:55:05	btc updown 5m 1781726100	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9eb50e…
06-17 19:50:05	btc updown 5m 1781725800	Up	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x2d6f2a…
06-17 19:45:05	btc updown 5m 1781725500	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x4f375e…
06-17 19:40:05	btc updown 5m 1781725200	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb364f1…
06-17 19:35:04	btc updown 5m 1781724900	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcf050c…
06-17 19:30:05	btc updown 5m 1781724600	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x93bbd9…
06-17 19:25:07	btc updown 5m 1781724300	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x385256…
06-17 19:20:07	btc updown 5m 1781724000	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2a770a…
06-17 19:15:05	btc updown 5m 1781723700	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb8cc50…
06-17 19:10:05	btc updown 5m 1781723400	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbd29a4…
06-17 19:05:05	btc updown 5m 1781723100	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb69a9c…
06-17 19:00:05	btc updown 5m 1781722800	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x449c9d…
06-17 18:55:05	btc updown 5m 1781722500	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6d0940…
06-17 18:50:05	btc updown 5m 1781722200	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x13c6e7…
06-17 18:45:05	btc updown 5m 1781721900	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x87f9d0…
06-17 18:40:05	btc updown 5m 1781721600	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x02d203…
06-17 18:35:05	btc updown 5m 1781721300	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xac3160…
06-17 18:30:04	btc updown 5m 1781721000	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xde8198…
06-17 18:25:05	btc updown 5m 1781720700	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x235ea7…
06-17 18:20:05	btc updown 5m 1781720400	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x00bb1f…
06-17 18:15:05	btc updown 5m 1781720100	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xccf06d…
06-17 18:10:05	btc updown 5m 1781719800	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbced68…
06-17 18:05:07	btc updown 5m 1781719500	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb94374…
06-17 18:00:08	btc updown 5m 1781719200	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd3cf71…
06-17 17:55:05	btc updown 5m 1781718900	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xeeefce…
06-17 17:50:05	btc updown 5m 1781718600	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcd492b…
06-17 17:45:04	btc updown 5m 1781718300	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa6f0ae…
06-17 17:40:05	btc updown 5m 1781718000	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x243259…
06-17 17:35:04	btc updown 5m 1781717700	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x75bc36…
06-17 17:30:04	btc updown 5m 1781717400	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9d27b2…
06-17 17:25:05	btc updown 5m 1781717100	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d4524…
06-17 17:20:05	btc updown 5m 1781716800	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0a679a…
06-17 17:15:05	btc updown 5m 1781716500	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x4f8a3f…
06-17 17:10:05	btc updown 5m 1781716200	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc1344f…
06-17 17:05:05	btc updown 5m 1781715900	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc7c448…
06-17 17:00:05	btc updown 5m 1781715600	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe3d2e1…
06-17 16:55:05	btc updown 5m 1781715300	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x63763f…
06-17 16:50:05	btc updown 5m 1781715000	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa2a549…
06-17 16:45:05	btc updown 5m 1781714700	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x272a8e…
06-17 16:40:04	btc updown 5m 1781714400	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x793f61…