Realized P&L
+$21.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$286
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
1,673
Trades
47,955
lifetime
Volume
$3.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$1.67K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-29 17:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 236 days
Categories
Sports
77% 58% +$10,698
Other
21% 52% +$10,886
Politics
1% 39% -$198
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 50% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +855 $802 97¢ $829 +$26 09-20 05:49
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +222 $208 96¢ $214 +$6 09-23 07:30
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +200 $190 91¢ $183 -$7 10-07 19:28
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +200 $204 81¢ $163 -$42 09-20 19:25
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +400 $330 38¢ $154 -$176 10-08 08:48
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +200 $26 19¢ $37 +$11 09-20 14:22
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +855 $41 3¢ $27 -$14 09-16 12:13
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +220 $35 11¢ $23 -$12 10-03 05:41
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? Yes +200 $16 9¢ $17 +$1 10-26 21:46
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? Yes +25 $61 48¢ $12 -$50 10-29 17:20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +222 $16 4¢ $8 -$7 09-18 21:38
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? Yes +158 $21 3¢ $5 -$16 10-16 09:16
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +200 $2 1¢ $2 +$0 10-06 04:43
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +5 $0 13¢ $1 +$1 07-03 05:42
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +0 -$1 76¢ $0 +$1 09-21 04:42
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 07-19 00:07
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $9 57¢ $0 -$9 10-01 14:25
Will Bologna win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +3 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-03 05:57