Realized P&L
-$7.36K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.50K
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
169
Trades
1,199
lifetime
Volume
$1.04M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$872
Open exposure
$12.6K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 09-03 21:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
57% 90% -$3,141
Politics
27% 86% -$3,253
Sports
15% 79% -$2,657
Crypto
1% 67% +$1,654
Tech
0% 100% +$40
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -33,350 -$11,532 24¢ $-7937 +$3,595 04-28 23:01
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -1,296 -$1,128 95¢ $-1227 -$99 09-03 21:06
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1,000 -$840 84¢ $-840 +$0 06-05 13:16
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -600 -$565 98¢ $-586 -$21 06-05 13:18
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -544 -$468 95¢ $-515 -$48 06-07 14:10
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,000 -$418 39¢ $-392 +$26 07-17 11:00
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -200 -$200 100¢ $-200 $0 07-17 11:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,000 -$236 10¢ $-190 +$46 07-17 11:09
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -200 -$190 92¢ $-184 +$6 07-17 11:04
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No — -100 -$100 100¢ $-100 $0 07-17 11:06
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -100 -$97 99¢ $-99 -$2 07-17 11:11
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -95 -$95 100¢ $-95 $0 07-17 11:10
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -75 -$75 99¢ $-74 +$0 07-17 11:14
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -49 -$49 100¢ $-49 $0 07-17 11:16
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -50 -$49 98¢ $-49 $0 07-17 11:21
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -45 -$45 100¢ $-45 $0 07-17 11:22