Realized P&L
+$46.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.27K
Hit rate
66.8%
Resolved
339
Trades
5,802
lifetime
Volume
$3.42M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$589
Open exposure
$163.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 10:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Other
39% 66% +$20,095
Politics
35% 68% +$20,997
Crypto
18% 62% -$5,493
Sports
8% 67% +$11,065
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 430 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +80,018 $68,570 92¢ $73.2K +$4,647 11-05 03:22
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? No +10,310 $9,841 96¢ $9.9K +$62 11-06 09:48
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -9,576 -$7,209 94¢ $-8954 -$1,744 11-06 10:56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +8,666 $7,960 98¢ $8.5K +$546 10-22 10:28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +7,008 $4,352 98¢ $6.9K +$2,519 08-27 03:03
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No -6,836 -$5,881 94¢ $-6425 -$545 11-06 08:55
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5,176 -$4,335 97¢ $-5018 -$683 08-21 15:19
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +4,088 $3,649 98¢ $4.0K +$342 10-03 01:49
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +4,314 $3,769 92¢ $4.0K +$221 11-06 08:29
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +3,514 $3,029 97¢ $3.4K +$376 09-29 07:27
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,442 -$6,354 76¢ $-3398 +$2,956 08-20 09:15
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No +2,878 $2,590 92¢ $2.6K +$58 11-05 21:17
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +3,080 $2,833 83¢ $2.6K -$263 11-06 08:41
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No -2,641 -$2,405 96¢ $-2548 -$144 08-21 11:10
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,500 $2,606 55¢ $2.5K -$110 10-01 23:46
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,521 -$2,405 98¢ $-2479 -$74 10-03 06:29
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +2,117 $2,012 93¢ $2.0K -$41 11-06 12:07
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -2,388 -$1,877 78¢ $-1863 +$15 08-26 22:02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +1,500 $1,395 100¢ $1.5K +$103 09-29 08:24
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? No +1,945 $1,769 72¢ $1.4K -$375 08-22 15:03
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,309 $1,204 90¢ $1.2K -$33 10-26 00:38
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No +1,193 $1,157 98¢ $1.2K +$10 10-28 10:29
will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628 No +1,137 $909 96¢ $1.1K +$186 07-16 08:30
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +8,000 $930 12¢ $1.0K +$70 11-06 09:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? Yes +47,210 $789 2¢ $968 +$179 11-05 14:49
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? No +984 $947 98¢ $963 +$16 11-05 21:39
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December? No +990 $935 96¢ $950 +$16 09-29 19:47
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 Anthropic +1,000 $930 92¢ $920 -$10 08-15 21:17
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No -912 -$691 92¢ $-839 -$148 11-05 21:38
will krakens valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31 No +773 $646 99¢ $766 +$120 11-05 07:27