Natural-Gear 0xd52b8d…4c5c72
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$917
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
5,873
lifetime
Volume
$1.56M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$266
Open exposure
$28.7K
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 07-20 16:13
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
73% — —
Other
13% — —
Crypto
8% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 785 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +12,229 $11,485 98¢ $12.0K +$530 07-20 00:44
US recession by end of 2026? No -7,154 $-6,204 88¢ $-6295 $-91 07-01 00:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7,000 $5,406 72¢ $5.1K $-331 07-15 20:38
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +2,332 $1,628 95¢ $2.2K +$588 06-08 15:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +7,000 $1,190 28¢ $1.9K +$735 06-11 19:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -4,202 $-634 12¢ $-525 +$108 06-14 23:12
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +562 $371 66¢ $373 +$3 07-15 18:33
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +2,332 $303 5¢ $115 $-188 06-08 14:49
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? No +71 $60 86¢ $62 +$2 07-06 03:11
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +577 $43 7¢ $41 $-2 07-20 16:13
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +2,018 $33 2¢ $35 +$2 06-25 11:43
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +11 $7 64¢ $7 +$0 07-06 03:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -337 $437 1¢ $-4 $-441 06-29 21:55