Natural-Gear 0xd52b8d…4c5c72 Create alert
whale hot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$64.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.97K
Hit rate
78.8%
Resolved
416
Trades
14,415
lifetime
Volume
$3.87M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$268
Open exposure
$125.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 11-06 00:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Politics
52% 60% +$31,835
Other
39% 55% +$28,843
Crypto
4% 50% -$402
Sports
3% 36% +$1,160
Tech
2% 51% +$3,128
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 563 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +32,119 $26,386 88¢ $28.4K +$2,039 10-31 17:56
US recession by end of 2026? No +21,804 $18,286 96¢ $20.8K +$2,537 10-25 22:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +20,060 $7,984 66¢ $13.2K +$5,255 11-05 18:09
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +8,163 $6,899 85¢ $6.9K +$36 11-01 12:42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +20,000 $12,400 34¢ $6.8K -$5,600 10-20 19:19
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +5,802 $5,040 97¢ $5.6K +$597 09-13 05:24
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +4,736 $3,784 99¢ $4.7K +$922 10-15 17:08
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +4,667 $4,387 98¢ $4.6K +$189 10-31 18:41
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +4,000 $3,620 98¢ $3.9K +$290 10-15 21:20
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No +3,811 $3,626 98¢ $3.7K +$124 05-27 03:03
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +3,729 $3,691 99¢ $3.7K -$5 10-25 21:02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +8,938 $4,293 39¢ $3.5K -$807 11-05 16:28
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +2,332 $1,628 98¢ $2.3K +$646 06-08 15:36
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,000 $1,371 45¢ $2.2K +$857 10-31 00:44
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2,000 $1,500 99¢ $2.0K +$475 11-03 19:36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,075 $1,515 91¢ $1.9K +$377 06-07 01:40
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +1,771 $796 99¢ $1.8K +$956 10-15 17:32
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1,656 $1,506 98¢ $1.6K +$120 09-19 02:02
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,222 $1,211 60¢ $1.3K +$133 11-02 22:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,500 $1,110 78¢ $1.2K +$68 10-01 01:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +7,000 $1,185 12¢ $805 -$380 09-26 00:38
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,000 $590 12¢ $625 +$35 10-31 00:44
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,419 $851 40¢ $561 -$290 11-05 00:50
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +3,000 $420 18¢ $553 +$133 10-06 10:37
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +502 $352 96¢ $485 +$133 09-15 19:42
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20,380 -$720 2¢ $459 +$1,179 11-05 22:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +500 $372 92¢ $458 +$85 06-18 20:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +502 $266 88¢ $442 +$175 10-16 14:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +470 $683 79¢ $373 -$310 10-28 00:41
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +500 $365 72¢ $362 -$3 11-04 13:24