Natural-Gear 0xd52b8d…4c5c72
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$63.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.14K
Hit rate
77.1%
Resolved
373
Trades
13,252
lifetime
Volume
$3.46M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$261
Open exposure
$196.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 10-26 20:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Politics
47% 61% +$25,207
Other
44% 54% +$34,040
Crypto
4% 53% -$400
Sports
3% 36% +$1,160
Tech
2% 49% +$3,106
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 286 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +38,000 $35,080 92¢ $34.8K -$310 10-21 00:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +33,898 $27,863 80¢ $27.3K -$575 10-12 17:30
US recession by end of 2026? No +21,804 $18,286 92¢ $20.2K +$1,883 10-25 22:58
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +14,783 $14,309 97¢ $14.3K +$9 10-25 23:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +20,000 $12,400 70¢ $14.1K +$1,700 10-20 19:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +11,055 $8,181 93¢ $10.3K +$2,101 10-15 00:55
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10,000 $9,100 92¢ $9.2K +$50 10-20 13:25
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +7,076 $6,022 86¢ $6.1K +$89 10-16 13:37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +20,000 $7,949 30¢ $5.9K -$2,049 10-20 19:19
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +5,802 $5,040 96¢ $5.6K +$516 09-13 05:24
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +4,736 $3,784 99¢ $4.7K +$907 10-15 17:08
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +3,973 $3,842 96¢ $3.8K -$12 10-25 22:49
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31 No +4,000 $3,620 95¢ $3.8K +$170 10-15 21:20
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No +3,811 $3,626 98¢ $3.7K +$95 05-27 03:03
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +3,729 $3,691 99¢ $3.7K -$5 10-25 21:02
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +3,200 $3,104 98¢ $3.1K +$32 10-23 20:03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +4,584 $2,570 64¢ $2.9K +$340 10-23 15:29
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +4,000 $2,587 64¢ $2.5K -$47 10-25 21:07
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +3,000 $2,190 82¢ $2.5K +$270 09-22 19:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,228 $1,464 44¢ $2.3K +$818 08-13 17:58
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +2,332 $1,628 96¢ $2.2K +$616 06-08 15:36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +21,656 $783 8¢ $1.8K +$1,058 10-11 00:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +27,521 $8,303 6¢ $1.8K -$6,514 09-16 18:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,075 $1,515 86¢ $1.8K +$260 06-07 01:40
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +1,771 $796 98¢ $1.7K +$946 10-15 17:32
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1,656 $1,506 97¢ $1.6K +$97 09-19 02:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +7,000 $1,185 20¢ $1.4K +$180 09-26 00:38
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +4,270 $716 28¢ $1.2K +$471 10-26 14:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,500 $1,110 75¢ $1.1K +$15 10-01 01:34
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,813 $1,033 58¢ $1.1K +$27 10-26 14:57