Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1.80K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,851
lifetime
Volume
$948.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$333
Open exposure
$7.37K
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 06-09 22:45
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
80%
Crypto
13%
Other
3%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 391 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +2,332 $1,628 88¢ $2.1K +$423 06-08 15:36
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,228 $933 82¢ $1.0K +$79 06-04 04:15
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -938 $-866 92¢ $-868 $-1 06-09 16:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -2,549 $-535 32¢ $-828 $-293 05-28 03:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,380 $1,017 30¢ $726 $-291 05-31 20:00
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,300 $653 54¢ $695 +$42 06-05 17:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +4,045 $1,143 10¢ $384 $-759 06-04 18:34
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +2,332 $303 12¢ $281 $-22 06-08 14:49
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No -2,319 $-194 $-216 $-21 06-08 16:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +2,500 $106 $135 +$29 05-29 20:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +78 $42 61¢ $48 +$6 06-01 16:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +63 $-2,561 68¢ $43 +$2,604 06-09 12:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No -1,200 $-31 $-34 $-3 06-05 09:59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? No +4,259 $38 $28 $-11 05-28 18:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No -78 $-37 20¢ $-16 +$21 06-08 16:08