Natural-Gear 0xd52b8d…4c5c72
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
4,438
lifetime
Volume
$1.42M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$319
Open exposure
$55.5K
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 07-01 00:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
79% — —
Other
9% — —
Crypto
9% — —
Tech
4% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 417 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +13,254 $12,518 97¢ $12.9K +$372 06-30 12:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +9,191 $9,096 100¢ $9.2K +$85 06-14 23:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +9,016 $7,164 100¢ $9.0K +$1,812 06-20 15:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +8,000 $7,728 100¢ $8.0K +$264 06-12 19:40
US recession by end of 2026? No -7,154 $-6,204 88¢ $-6259 $-55 07-01 00:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7,035 $5,366 86¢ $6.0K +$649 06-11 19:20
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +2,332 $1,628 92¢ $2.1K +$505 06-08 15:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +7,000 $1,190 15¢ $1.0K $-175 06-11 19:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -4,202 $-634 12¢ $-525 +$108 06-14 23:12
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +2,332 $303 8¢ $198 $-105 06-08 14:49
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +171 $58 68¢ $116 +$58 06-16 18:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -337 $437 30¢ $-103 $-540 06-29 21:55
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +2,018 $33 3¢ $55 +$22 06-25 11:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +7,624 $2,862 1¢ $42 $-2,820 06-25 23:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +7,200 $183 0¢ $32 $-150 06-19 21:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +5,000 $100 0¢ $5 $-95 06-10 23:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -1,711 $-58 0¢ $-2 +$56 06-13 17:16
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? Yes +345 $1 0¢ $1 $-1 06-24 16:07