Anchored-Petal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,452

lifetime

Volume

$89.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-05 01:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

70% 75% $-6

Other

19% 50% $-9

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	6	$3.8K	2,045	2,040	+5	open	—	03-15 07:25
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	11	$2.7K	1,390	1,390	+0	open	—	03-02 15:51
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$2.6K	1,310	1,310	+0	open	—	02-28 22:23
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$2.5K	1,260	1,260	+0	open	—	02-27 03:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	8	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-04 16:41
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	52	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-04 16:49
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	5	$2.0K	1,600	700	+900	open	—	03-06 04:45
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	4	$1.9K	946	946	+0	open	—	02-08 14:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$1.7K	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	02-28 21:47
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	02-07 04:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$1.5K	797	797	+0	open	—	04-07 23:39
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	6	$1.4K	450	1,050	-600	open	—	04-24 12:25
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	12	$1.3K	2,415	2,315	+100	open	—	03-26 11:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	16	$1.3K	4,362	4,362	+0	open	—	03-26 09:26
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	02-27 03:17
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$1.2K	1,230	0	+1,230	open	—	02-25 08:29
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	19	$1.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-26 21:25
cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	2	$1.2K	2,100	2,092	+8	open	—	03-27 02:35
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$1.2K	1,210	0	+1,210	open	—	02-24 10:31
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$1.2K	1,190	0	+1,190	open	—	02-23 09:05
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$1.2K	1,170	0	+1,170	open	—	02-22 13:21
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	2	$1.1K	1,131	20	+1,111	open	—	02-15 14:16
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$1.1K	1,140	0	+1,140	open	—	02-20 03:37
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	2	$1.1K	1,130	0	+1,130	open	—	02-18 07:55
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	1	$1.1K	1,120	0	+1,120	open	—	02-17 08:14
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$1.1K	1,110	0	+1,110	open	—	02-16 07:55
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	5	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-23 02:44
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	34	$1.1K	681	681	+0	open	—	04-02 02:16
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	3	$1.0K	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	02-09 11:42
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	02-13 09:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 01:35:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5bc601…
08-01 03:11:45	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x19c862…
07-29 20:34:53	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xf670d8…
07-28 00:53:42	will ink launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x0f90d0…
07-27 03:52:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8cb4df…
07-27 03:50:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x4204ad…
07-26 04:43:31	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x30ac18…
07-26 02:20:40	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xe33a7e…
07-26 01:49:58	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x7ad2b9…
07-23 14:05:45	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd50efc…
07-23 02:01:30	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x4f94a0…
07-15 07:16:16	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x64db06…
07-15 07:04:47	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x18edc4…
07-14 21:24:08	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x1a00e5…
07-14 13:27:52	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x701710…
07-14 00:43:10	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x314e42…
07-14 00:37:52	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x3ab15e…
07-14 00:25:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x13df54…
07-13 14:16:50	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x96c8ad…
07-13 09:42:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xad7f5a…
07-13 09:15:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	75	3¢	$2	0x206596…
07-13 09:13:31	paris heat wave by july 31 20260630174856599	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa1dc98…
07-13 04:50:08	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xe9c645…
07-11 00:39:22	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x664c22…
07-10 13:35:47	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0xf99ec1…
07-10 02:16:44	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xa1c6ae…
07-10 01:36:17	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xe9ce86…
07-10 01:36:11	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xbe78c1…
07-10 01:33:35	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x62c311…
07-10 01:26:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0x34ea80…
07-10 00:59:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0xfee984…
07-09 01:23:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x259a58…
07-09 01:22:58	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x3dcbc4…
07-08 16:16:53	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xa9ea85…
07-07 06:12:32	will ink launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x2e19f2…
07-05 10:38:38	Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0xe9bd03…
07-05 02:15:38	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x457e3b…
07-04 23:30:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xe6b60d…
07-04 13:32:22	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xb76aa0…
07-04 13:31:25	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc2a2a2…
07-03 08:28:53	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9c348a…
07-02 15:13:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x77001a…
07-02 03:14:05	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf9ad39…
07-02 03:14:04	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x73c6ad…
07-01 09:02:23	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb01ffd…
07-01 06:12:46	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x0d286a…
07-01 00:45:47	paris heat wave by july 31 20260630174856599	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x84c3dc…
06-30 16:42:59	romanian pm bolojan out by july 31 20260623152813387	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x20475d…
06-30 04:47:05	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x3f69ab…
06-30 01:29:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x51ca60…
06-29 22:42:49	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x3ecc34…
06-29 21:32:58	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x188e80…
06-29 13:46:50	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa44c49…
06-29 13:45:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xff4485…
06-29 13:44:26	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf177f2…
06-29 13:43:59	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x35b6f8…
06-29 09:31:55	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xb2ad3f…
06-29 00:27:08	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	83¢	$66	0x4a5e6e…
06-29 00:12:56	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x067af1…
06-29 00:12:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xa7da8a…
06-29 00:11:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xff3a3a…
06-29 00:06:59	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x9569b9…
06-28 09:31:50	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x5484c4…
06-28 09:28:49	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6ae280…
06-27 18:22:20	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1a88ae…
06-27 00:07:56	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x3ae208…
06-26 18:50:10	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xdf593f…
06-26 17:10:38	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x24979b…
06-26 16:48:29	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0xed832e…
06-26 08:42:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x163f4a…
06-26 08:42:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2d7f7f…
06-26 08:31:16	Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x066a31…
06-26 04:40:05	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x9bd636…
06-26 00:33:52	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfc0fe4…
06-26 00:32:47	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x86e268…
06-26 00:31:43	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x004f5c…
06-25 07:43:10	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x32b332…
06-25 07:33:16	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x02895b…
06-25 01:16:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x6cbbeb…
06-25 00:49:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x0bcfe5…
06-25 00:32:50	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xab3d1a…
06-23 19:10:32	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xb0ae12…
06-22 13:35:01	will trump visit pakistan by june 30	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xfbeaad…
06-22 13:33:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	60	41¢	$25	0x6c37a1…
06-20 06:15:16	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x96a744…
06-18 06:25:46	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xded719…
06-17 20:24:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xf50e1d…
06-17 10:18:53	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x8e9e0e…
06-17 10:18:49	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x6888d0…
06-17 10:18:14	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x0cd9bf…
06-16 16:54:35	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x111181…
06-16 04:14:46	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x8ed82a…
06-16 02:59:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xc9dc40…
06-16 01:56:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x2a39c9…
06-15 10:02:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb1522b…
06-15 08:06:00	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x9adf96…
06-15 05:03:45	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc053d1…
06-15 02:08:54	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x4b1cef…
06-15 02:08:00	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x5d17e9…
06-15 01:57:49	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x55b145…