Realized P&L
-$16
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
12
Trades
1,441
lifetime
Volume
$89.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$332
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-15 07:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
70% 75% $-6
Other
19% 50% $-9
Crypto
9%
Tech
2%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? No -80 $-66 86¢ $-69 $-3 06-29 00:27
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +50 $45 94¢ $47 +$2 06-09 19:50
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +50 $42 88¢ $44 +$3 06-13 02:38
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +40 $24 88¢ $35 +$11 06-20 06:15
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +33 $30 94¢ $31 +$1 06-29 22:42
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -25 $-19 88¢ $-22 $-3 06-14 02:52
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 $-0 06-30 04:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $20 $17 $-3 07-04 23:30
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +20 $14 84¢ $17 +$3 06-17 10:18
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-10 82¢ $-10 +$0 05-29 08:29
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $5 12¢ $5 $-0 06-14 03:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +8 $4 56¢ $4 +$0 06-14 21:23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $6 20¢ $4 $-2 06-15 10:02
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +7 $4 48¢ $3 $-0 07-13 04:50
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes -12 $-4 22¢ $-3 +$1 07-05 10:38
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes +43 $2 $2 $-0 07-14 21:24