Realized P&L
+$60
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
82.5%
Resolved
28
Trades
496
lifetime
Volume
$833
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$28
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 11-04 02:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
78% 44% +$30
Other
20% 88% +$40
Tech
1% 33% -$2
Sports
1% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes +300 -$11 3¢ $10 +$21 10-06 08:51
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +200 -$17 4¢ $9 +$26 09-14 03:06
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? Yes +1,738 $8 0¢ $4 -$4 10-20 17:01
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +100 $6 2¢ $2 -$4 06-15 05:18
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $2 4¢ $1 $0 05-26 17:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +30 $4 4¢ $1 -$3 06-04 08:47
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +20 $4 5¢ $1 -$3 06-04 08:15