Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
309
lifetime
Volume
$397
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$74
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-24 19:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
79%
Other
20%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +160 $8 $11 +$3 07-21 20:49
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? Yes +90 $7 $8 +$0 07-14 11:54
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? Yes +60 $3 10¢ $6 +$3 06-30 23:00
X banned in any European country by December 31? Yes +42 $8 14¢ $6 $-2 06-24 17:30
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? Yes +100 $5 $6 +$0 07-08 02:30
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? Yes +100 $6 $5 $-0 07-09 08:38
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $7 14¢ $5 $-1 06-24 17:33
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? Yes +140 $7 $5 $-2 06-14 05:37
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? Yes +50 $8 11¢ $5 $-2 07-04 05:56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +100 $6 $4 $-2 06-15 05:18
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? Yes +346 $10 $4 $-6 07-23 17:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +30 $4 10¢ $3 $-1 06-04 08:47
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? Yes +43 $1 $3 +$2 07-02 17:18
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes -20 $-4 $-1 +$3 06-23 09:23
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes -20 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-08 14:08
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027? Yes +92 $4 $1 $-3 06-21 07:01