Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
282
lifetime
Volume
$300
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$56
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-04 09:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
75%
Other
24%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
X banned in any European country by December 31? Yes +42 $8 22¢ $9 +$1 06-24 17:30
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $7 16¢ $7 $-0 06-24 17:33
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? Yes +50 $8 13¢ $6 $-1 07-04 05:56
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? Yes +130 $6 $6 $-0 06-12 15:34
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? Yes +60 $3 10¢ $6 +$3 06-30 23:00
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? Yes +140 $7 $6 $-1 06-14 05:37
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +100 $6 $5 $-1 06-15 05:18
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? Yes +43 $1 $4 +$2 07-02 17:18
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027? Yes +92 $4 $3 $-1 06-21 07:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +30 $4 $2 $-2 06-04 08:47
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes -20 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-08 14:08
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes -20 $-4 $-1 +$3 06-23 09:23
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? Yes +1 $0 11¢ $0 +$0 06-27 09:11
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? Yes +0 $0 $0 +$0 07-04 09:58