Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
open
Total volume
$39,232
$49 in 24h
Trades
148
Unique wallets
59
Liquidity
$4,702
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-19 04:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $35.1K
vs crowd: 0% YES on $35.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $3 | $35.1K | $35.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $23 | $5 | +$19 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $23 | $254 | $232 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $42 | $226 | $184 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $35.1K | $35.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $22 | — | +$22 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $25 | $6 | +$19 |
| Median | 11 | $2 | $160 | $158 |
| Below median | 8 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $4 | $5 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 15 | $12 | $320 | $308 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | +35,175 | $35,093 | $35,093 | 3 | 06-19 04:33 |
| Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | +19,824 | $21 | $21 | 7 | 06-19 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | +4,800 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-19 04:05 |
| Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | Yes | +1,875 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-19 04:05 |
| Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | +1,295 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-19 04:05 |
| Meaty-Seep 0xf82c…6fe2 | Yes | +1,050 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 06-19 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 04:05 |
| Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | +500 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-19 04:05 |
| Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | +319 | $1 | $22 | 17 | 06-18 20:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a48…7d3b | No | +250 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 06-19 04:05 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +226 | $-14 | $19 | 25 | 06-19 04:05 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +204 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 20:43 |
| Frail-Cane 0x49b7…b0b3 | Yes | +140 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 03:29 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +118 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-19 04:05 |
| Negative-Hunting 0xe802…8191 | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-29 17:34 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-18 20:43 |
| Large-Automaton 0xd34d…b5c3 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 06:36 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 06-19 04:05 |
| Wild-Cooking 0xede0…9f81 | Yes | +98 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 18:38 |
| Adventurous-Familiarity 0xf1a4…527c | Yes | +82 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-29 18:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xfbad…d55b | No | +55 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-16 18:38 |
| Gripping-Easel 0xd599…6a46 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-31 07:04 |
| Puny-Cheesecake 0xaca4…b335 | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 05:09 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-18 20:43 |
| Favorite-Reference 0x27b5…6e4b | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-31 13:55 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 10:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-19 04:42 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-14 16:57 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +13 | $-1 | $1 | 2 | 06-18 22:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xe18d…e1f5 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-16 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-19 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c94…d943 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-19 04:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +2 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 06-19 03:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x8eb6…5277 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 04:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 04:42:01 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb50a76… |
| 06-19 04:42:01 | (anonymous) 0x2c94…d943 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb50a76… |
| 06-19 04:33:53 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x056394… |
| 06-19 04:33:53 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x056394… |
| 06-19 04:05:43 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xee0d35… |
| 06-19 04:05:43 | Meaty-Seep 0xf82c…6fe2 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xee0d35… |
| 06-19 04:05:43 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xee0d35… |
| 06-19 04:05:43 | (anonymous) 0x6a48…7d3b | No | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0xee0d35… |
| 06-19 04:05:35 | Meaty-Seep 0xf82c…6fe2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x564a5e… |
| 06-19 04:05:35 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb58be3… |
| 06-19 04:05:35 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x564a5e… |
| 06-19 04:05:35 | Meaty-Seep 0xf82c…6fe2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb58be3… |
| 06-19 04:05:22 | Meaty-Seep 0xf82c…6fe2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8af538… |
| 06-19 04:05:22 | (anonymous) 0x8eb6…5277 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8af538… |
| 06-19 04:05:19 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32ae9b… |
| 06-19 04:05:19 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 3,333 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x32ae9b… |
| 06-19 04:05:19 | Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | Yes | BUY | 1,875 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x32ae9b… |
| 06-19 04:05:19 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32ae9b… |
| 06-19 04:05:19 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 4,800 | 0¢ | $14 | 0x32ae9b… |
| 06-19 04:05:19 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32ae9b… |
| 06-19 04:05:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 800 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x32ae9b… |
| 06-19 04:05:19 | Meaty-Seep 0xf82c…6fe2 | Yes | BUY | 773 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x32ae9b… |
| 06-19 04:05:19 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | BUY | 1,295 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x32ae9b… |
| 06-19 04:05:19 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32ae9b… |
| 06-19 04:05:19 | (anonymous) 0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x32ae9b… |
| 06-19 04:05:19 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 31,070 | 100¢ | $31,024 | 0x32ae9b… |
| 06-19 03:29:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6d31e1… |
| 06-19 03:29:17 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6d31e1… |
| 06-19 03:29:17 | Frail-Cane 0x49b7…b0b3 | Yes | BUY | 140 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6d31e1… |
| 06-19 03:29:17 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 62 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d31e1… |
| 06-18 22:57:26 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | SELL | 62 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34d932… |
| 06-18 22:57:26 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 62 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34d932… |
| 06-18 22:52:58 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd328f… |
| 06-18 22:52:58 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 222 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xdd328f… |
| 06-18 22:52:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd328f… |
| 06-18 22:52:58 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 62 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd328f… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 4,090 | 99¢ | $4,055 | 0x380527… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x380527… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x93ed…0f0d | No | SELL | 56 | 98¢ | $55 | 0x380527… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 222 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x380527… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 112 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x380527… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | (anonymous) 0xffb1…e33e | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x380527… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…3078 | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x380527… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x380527… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 27 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x380527… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | Courteous-Likeness 0x8f21…b935 | No | SELL | 204 | 98¢ | $199 | 0x380527… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 227 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x380527… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x380527… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 204 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x380527… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x380527… |
| 06-18 20:43:49 | Parallel-Steamroller 0x5188…c804 | No | SELL | 2,726 | 100¢ | $2,713 | 0x380527… |
| 06-16 18:38:53 | (anonymous) 0xfbad…d55b | No | BUY | 55 | 95¢ | $52 | 0xf26461… |
| 06-16 18:38:53 | Wild-Cooking 0xede0…9f81 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xf26461… |
| 06-16 18:38:53 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf26461… |
| 06-16 18:38:53 | (anonymous) 0xe18d…e1f5 | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xf26461… |
| 06-16 18:38:53 | Easy-Going-Urgency 0x5588…f061 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf26461… |
| 06-14 16:57:03 | Variable-Conscience 0x0313…67db | Yes | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x86ae80… |
| 06-14 16:57:03 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x86ae80… |
| 06-14 05:09:42 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…3078 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $40 | 0xff301d… |
| 06-14 05:09:42 | Puny-Cheesecake 0xaca4…b335 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xff301d… |
| 06-14 05:09:42 | (anonymous) 0x93ed…0f0d | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xff301d… |
| 06-14 03:54:37 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…3078 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb9c6e2… |
| 06-14 03:54:37 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb9c6e2… |
| 06-14 03:52:33 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe6cabe… |
| 06-14 03:52:33 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe6cabe… |
| 06-13 19:42:21 | Outrageous-Goose 0x8d11…239a | Yes | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdb4a71… |
| 06-13 19:42:21 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdb4a71… |
| 06-13 19:42:21 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdb4a71… |
| 06-12 14:53:42 | Naughty-Dart 0xbe50…fda4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x80f4c7… |
| 06-12 14:53:42 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x80f4c7… |
| 06-12 11:18:33 | (anonymous) 0x5a0d…3078 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x350388… |
| 06-12 11:18:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x350388… |
| 06-12 11:15:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd3ade9… |
| 06-12 11:15:00 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd3ade9… |
| 06-10 18:11:58 | Impressionable-Havoc 0x90ee…801b | No | SELL | 104 | 98¢ | $102 | 0x01ce57… |
| 06-10 18:11:58 | (anonymous) 0x93ed…0f0d | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x01ce57… |
| 06-10 18:11:58 | (anonymous) 0xffb1…e33e | No | BUY | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x01ce57… |
| 06-06 22:11:39 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xec770e… |
| 06-06 22:11:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xec770e… |
| 06-06 21:01:54 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x19ace7… |
| 06-06 21:01:54 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x19ace7… |
| 06-06 21:01:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 78 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xf4facf… |
| 06-06 21:01:40 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 78 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xf4facf… |
| 06-06 18:25:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x06e176… |
| 06-06 18:25:28 | Comfortable-Shore 0xbd76…dc41 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x06e176… |
| 06-04 06:36:43 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xc7dba0… |
| 06-04 06:36:43 | Large-Automaton 0xd34d…b5c3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xc7dba0… |
| 05-31 20:36:13 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6779ce… |
| 05-31 20:36:13 | Optimistic-Cowboy 0xd51d…1578 | No | SELL | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0x6779ce… |
| 05-31 13:55:34 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x0f44e5… |
| 05-31 13:55:34 | Favorite-Reference 0x27b5…6e4b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x0f44e5… |
| 05-31 07:04:31 | Gripping-Easel 0xd599…6a46 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x1df735… |
| 05-31 07:04:31 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x1df735… |
| 05-29 18:59:23 | Adventurous-Familiarity 0xf1a4…527c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8cb49b… |
| 05-29 18:59:23 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8cb49b… |
| 05-29 18:44:17 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 23 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0b3418… |
| 05-29 18:44:17 | Adventurous-Familiarity 0xf1a4…527c | Yes | BUY | 23 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0b3418… |
| 05-29 18:27:50 | Adventurous-Familiarity 0xf1a4…527c | Yes | BUY | 39 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xed7bb9… |
| 05-29 18:27:50 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 39 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xed7bb9… |
| 05-29 18:07:51 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 73 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd02143… |