Puny-Cheesecake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$394

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$3.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-29

last 07-18 19:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

85% 57% +$319

Crypto

13% 67% +$73

Tech

2% 100% +$7

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes		+16	$1	5¢	$1	$0	06-15 17:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	4	$152	133	133	+0	Yes	+$66	06-16 13:10
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	6	$127	214	214	+0	Yes	+$87	06-18 13:02
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in June?	3	$120	69	69	+0	No	+$8	06-06 13:45
will databricks valuation hit low 125b by december 31	2	$104	459	459	+0	open	—	07-12 21:47
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$1	05-29 20:55
will ethereum dip to 1500 june 1 7 2026	10	$99	63	63	+0	No	+$24	06-08 03:50
will tsla reach 420 by june 22 2026	3	$93	66	66	+0	No	+$32	06-24 15:38
bitcoin above 60k on june 8 2026	2	$86	61	61	+0	Yes	+$6	06-07 05:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	2	$81	136	136	+0	Yes	+$62	06-18 13:39
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	5	$79	137	137	+0	No	+$6	06-18 17:51
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	2	$77	372	372	+0	open	—	07-15 14:50
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?	4	$76	48	48	+0	No	+$10	06-29 15:09
will wti dip to 90 by june 8 2026	5	$74	42	42	+0	Yes	+$8	06-09 03:44
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	6	$72	332	332	+0	open	—	07-07 11:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	4	$69	151	151	+0	No	+$15	06-19 05:33
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	3	$65	35	35	+0	No	+$1	06-14 03:32
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?	5	$65	246	246	+0	open	—	07-18 19:02
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?	2	$64	51	51	+0	No	+$13	06-06 13:22
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	4	$63	66	0	+66	No	+$3	06-07 23:33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	4	$59	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	06-13 22:31
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on June 30, 2026?	3	$58	35	35	+0	No	+$5	06-21 09:42
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	7	$52	89	89	+0	No	+$14	06-14 22:03
will amzn dip to 232 in june 2026	2	$50	50	50	+0	Yes	+$22	06-22 14:33
will aapl reach 320 in june 2026	4	$49	45	45	+0	No	+$30	06-09 16:38
will tsla reach 435 in june 2026	4	$48	48	48	+0	No	+$10	06-12 15:19
will coin reach 190 in june 2026	4	$47	151	151	+0	No	+$2	06-21 20:17
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?	8	$44	421	0	+421	No	-$44	06-22 14:39
will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	3	$41	65	50	+15	Yes	+$15	06-12 02:04
will wti dip to 80 by june 8 2026	8	$41	270	270	+0	No	+$8	06-12 08:22
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	2	$40	272	272	+0	open	—	06-20 23:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 19:02:42	Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xcf431b…
07-18 18:28:46	Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x52ef5f…
07-18 18:26:28	Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xdd35a3…
07-15 14:50:44	will databricks valuation hit low 140b by december 31	Yes	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0x060dc0…
07-15 14:50:14	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	SELL	372	10¢	$37	0xdcf7b8…
07-12 21:47:25	will databricks valuation hit low 125b by december 31	Yes	SELL	459	13¢	$58	0x212d54…
07-12 21:45:38	Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?	Yes	SELL	222	13¢	$29	0xe8ec0e…
07-07 11:38:56	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0xf5b6b9…
07-07 11:38:34	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	332	9¢	$30	0x4b519b…
07-07 11:38:20	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x9cbb11…
06-30 15:57:13	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xe70f5f…
06-29 15:09:52	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $4.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	266	2¢	$6	0x9d916f…
06-29 15:09:29	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	307	1¢	$3	0x9fcdfd…
06-29 15:09:05	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0x62f730…
06-24 20:33:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0x119508…
06-24 15:38:17	will tsla reach 420 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	66	95¢	$63	0x56eade…
06-24 13:59:16	will abnb dip to 124 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	121	1¢	$1	0x63d24f…
06-24 09:05:41	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xd61023…
06-22 19:38:43	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x188587…
06-22 19:38:43	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	19	47¢	$9	0x043fb5…
06-22 15:33:08	will tsla reach 420 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0x31ebba…
06-22 15:32:13	will databricks valuation hit high 170b by december 31	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x27cf34…
06-22 15:31:31	will databricks valuation hit low 140b by december 31	Yes	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x699a12…
06-22 15:30:50	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	60	28¢	$17	0x6b6094…
06-22 14:44:29	will tsla reach 420 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	57	47¢	$27	0x05cc49…
06-22 14:39:50	will nvda dip to 184 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0x46172e…
06-22 14:39:32	will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xadf485…
06-22 14:33:20	will amzn dip to 232 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xe78406…
06-22 04:10:19	will tsla reach 412 50 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0xbbf45a…
06-22 04:10:01	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x90a6b1…
06-21 23:33:56	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	268	1¢	$3	0x84532e…
06-21 23:33:23	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	21	18¢	$4	0xc6b8d8…
06-21 20:53:05	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xf95de6…
06-21 20:51:13	will abnb dip to 124 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x69529e…
06-21 20:49:56	will abnb reach 144 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xb88e8a…
06-21 20:17:58	will coin reach 190 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xd14854…
06-21 19:40:02	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x94f163…
06-21 19:39:55	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0xb3176a…
06-21 19:39:40	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	114	7¢	$8	0x5a7266…
06-21 12:34:35	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	67¢	$31	0x23a0d2…
06-21 09:42:59	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0xa756f2…
06-21 09:41:22	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x8bd9a1…
06-21 00:04:22	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x90e1fb…
06-21 00:01:53	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xbd58e6…
06-20 23:39:11	will coin reach 190 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	51	16¢	$8	0xd74902…
06-20 23:37:56	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	69	16¢	$11	0x4c4f6f…
06-20 23:36:28	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0xe52579…
06-20 23:35:32	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	272	6¢	$17	0xb4a3e6…
06-20 18:49:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x30dfb6…
06-20 15:46:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20?	Yes	SELL	12	90¢	$10	0x6fe4de…
06-20 00:25:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$1	0xd0f53c…
06-19 07:14:17	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	3¢	$6	0x1c5534…
06-19 07:11:56	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x309887…
06-19 07:11:38	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $4.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	9¢	$16	0x159c08…
06-19 06:41:34	will tsla dip to 360 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0x805dc0…
06-19 06:08:53	will tsla dip to 375 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x3d0eda…
06-19 06:07:19	will amzn dip to 232 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x46c750…
06-19 05:33:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	SELL	151	28¢	$42	0x823904…
06-19 05:23:04	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	SELL	45	12¢	$5	0xb317dc…
06-19 05:22:52	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	SELL	365	6¢	$20	0x2c1e2d…
06-19 05:17:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?	Yes	SELL	118	15¢	$17	0x654886…
06-19 05:17:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?	Yes	SELL	67	2¢	$2	0x07a503…
06-18 17:58:56	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	359	3¢	$10	0x9da9c5…
06-18 17:51:38	aapl up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xf7c494…
06-18 17:51:11	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	67	23¢	$15	0x562559…
06-18 13:42:56	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	372	11¢	$41	0xb6a62f…
06-18 13:42:07	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x0756c3…
06-18 13:40:59	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	272	8¢	$23	0xfbde26…
06-18 13:39:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	136	52¢	$72	0xee107c…
06-18 13:27:07	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	173	12¢	$21	0xeece45…
06-18 13:26:43	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7c8b57…
06-18 13:26:37	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x63c590…
06-18 13:25:23	will aapl dip to 272 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0xd1284c…
06-18 13:25:05	will aapl dip to 280 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	72	22¢	$16	0xec8ebc…
06-18 13:24:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xeb35a7…
06-18 13:20:32	will nvda dip to 184 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	79	11¢	$9	0xedfa1f…
06-18 13:19:35	will nvda dip to 176 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	227	6¢	$14	0xb86291…
06-18 13:19:04	will nvda dip to 184 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	45	10¢	$4	0xda410d…
06-18 13:17:53	will nvda dip to 200 by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xfc81a7…
06-18 13:02:04	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	150	50¢	$75	0x9de82b…
06-18 12:48:13	will nvda dip to 184 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x511878…
06-18 12:40:38	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe14c90…
06-18 12:39:53	will abnb dip to 124 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xd6493f…
06-18 12:39:19	will abnb reach 144 in june 2026	No	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0x1ad388…
06-18 12:38:01	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	64	50¢	$32	0xdc1b6b…
06-16 13:44:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x234214…
06-16 13:42:08	will tsla dip to 360 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x36ad41…
06-16 13:41:17	tsla above 380 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x53b179…
06-16 13:38:58	will tsla dip to 345 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x853208…
06-16 13:38:25	will tsla dip to 360 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x327146…
06-16 13:37:38	will nvda dip to 184 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x78e89b…
06-16 13:37:04	will nvda dip to 176 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc7cc4e…
06-16 13:30:44	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x4bd4e0…
06-16 13:29:17	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xbf905d…
06-16 13:19:29	nvda above 190 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x83543e…
06-16 13:16:49	nvda above 180 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	203	4¢	$8	0x943074…
06-16 13:10:00	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	SELL	75	81¢	$61	0x86cd43…
06-16 12:54:49	will databricks valuation hit low 125b by december 31	Yes	BUY	459	10¢	$46	0x0aa1c4…
06-16 12:54:21	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	Yes	SELL	58	83¢	$48	0x5c0b16…
06-15 18:49:21	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0x6a493d…