Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$584

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 07-22 01:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$1

Other

35% 60% +$1

Tech

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No		+2	$1	90¢	$1	$-0	07-02 01:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	18	$112	175	175	+0	open	—	04-21 17:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	19	$48	49	49	+0	open	—	07-01 03:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	16	$37	42	20	+23	open	—	04-07 23:12
cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game1	10	$18	17	14	+4	open	—	06-19 20:11
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	6	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	07-13 19:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$13	14	8	+7	open	—	04-29 02:39
val vit lev1 2026 06 19 game1	8	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	06-19 17:11
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	4	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-03 12:32
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	6	$11	13	11	+3	open	—	07-01 20:55
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	7	$11	133	2	+131	open	—	04-08 03:24
atp shelton fritz 2026 06 19	3	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	06-19 12:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	5	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 10:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-23 17:32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	5	$8	32	2	+30	open	—	04-21 03:08
nba min orl 2026 04 08	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	04-09 00:01
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	4	$8	28	3	+25	open	—	04-07 02:56
atp fery cerundo 2026 06 19	1	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	06-19 12:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-18 16:20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	4	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	04-21 03:08
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	4	$7	4	6	-1	open	—	05-15 22:17
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-01 14:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-09 17:00
wta pegula keys 2026 06 19	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-19 10:45
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	2	$6	150	150	+0	open	—	07-01 11:35
bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	07-13 17:30
wta baptist zarazua 2026 04 01	4	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-02 02:01
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	4	$6	64	0	+64	open	—	04-29 03:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$6	27	0	+27	open	—	04-21 06:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-02 12:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-07 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 01:33:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x2b3233…
07-17 17:57:12	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x616791…
07-13 19:30:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xd19a02…
07-13 19:23:59	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe223cd…
07-13 17:30:47	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x657308…
07-13 17:26:38	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x0e12b1…
07-12 13:04:47	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x1a3c60…
07-11 14:29:02	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xa9c297…
07-11 11:12:07	cs2 9z all 2026 07 11	9z	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x638a30…
07-10 18:25:29	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xdc98e3…
07-10 16:57:02	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x9f8c26…
07-10 16:20:58	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xcd20c8…
07-10 16:18:44	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x484f59…
07-03 12:40:19	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe9ee56…
07-03 12:39:34	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb9202a…
07-03 12:32:01	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xd41c17…
07-02 05:33:29	epstein client list released by july 31 20260626153134218	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x7b6809…
07-02 01:27:46	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x1f47e5…
07-01 21:08:07	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x50cc63…
07-01 20:55:05	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x302d64…
07-01 20:54:16	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x27d5bb…
07-01 20:16:55	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x2a4955…
07-01 19:39:11	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x31f839…
07-01 14:46:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9797a5…
07-01 13:09:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x067e58…
07-01 12:07:28	atp molcan altmaie 2026 06 29	Alex Molcan	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xfdc989…
07-01 11:49:04	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xbf8fd4…
07-01 11:37:08	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x76f7c0…
07-01 11:35:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	150	3¢	$5	0x21e222…
07-01 10:52:07	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x1850e7…
07-01 10:41:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x9ded6f…
07-01 07:18:20	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x6b87d3…
07-01 03:44:53	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x61e27c…
07-01 03:44:37	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9adee1…
07-01 03:44:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xea76e6…
06-24 11:06:19	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 24 20260619212504658	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xda1c28…
06-24 10:59:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xbf2bac…
06-22 20:53:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4ff671…
06-22 13:40:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0xc2cb79…
06-21 21:45:26	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xd9dc2e…
06-21 21:19:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xccf8d0…
06-19 20:11:13	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game1	Vitality	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x284337…
06-19 20:10:59	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game1	Vitality	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xae8d52…
06-19 20:08:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x3f5483…
06-19 20:07:43	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game1	Team Falcons	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0x516444…
06-19 19:38:50	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xcccfad…
06-19 19:38:47	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xf68fe0…
06-19 19:38:46	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x8e0151…
06-19 19:38:46	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x45e623…
06-19 19:38:44	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x80e7d7…
06-19 19:38:43	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x45e38d…
06-19 19:38:43	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x2a90ed…
06-19 19:37:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x67a15d…
06-19 17:11:19	val vit lev1 2026 06 19 game1	Leviatán Esports	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x215801…
06-19 17:11:16	val vit lev1 2026 06 19 game1	Leviatán Esports	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xaffc94…
06-19 17:11:13	val vit lev1 2026 06 19 game1	Leviatán Esports	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x8d6389…
06-19 17:10:53	val vit lev1 2026 06 19 game1	Leviatán Esports	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x140d4e…
06-19 17:10:29	val vit lev1 2026 06 19 game1	Leviatán Esports	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xdf72c2…
06-19 17:10:22	val vit lev1 2026 06 19 game1	Leviatán Esports	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x651a21…
06-19 17:10:19	val vit lev1 2026 06 19 game1	Leviatán Esports	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x32a0c4…
06-19 17:10:08	val vit lev1 2026 06 19 game1	Leviatán Esports	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x7e8205…
06-19 12:29:22	atp fery cerundo 2026 06 19	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xdb3db4…
06-19 12:26:43	atp shelton fritz 2026 06 19	Taylor Fritz	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x66f11f…
06-19 11:00:14	atp shelton fritz 2026 06 19	Taylor Fritz	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x371818…
06-19 11:00:11	atp shelton fritz 2026 06 19	Taylor Fritz	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0xc36fd2…
06-19 10:45:28	wta pegula keys 2026 06 19	Jessica Pegula	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x0cd25c…
06-19 10:18:22	wta pegula keys 2026 06 19	Jessica Pegula	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x43d20f…
06-19 10:18:20	wta pegula keys 2026 06 19	Jessica Pegula	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x155321…
06-19 09:23:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0xeaa092…
06-19 04:05:22	Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x8af538…
06-19 03:47:58	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x3e659b…
06-19 02:40:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x8eb23d…
06-19 02:36:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x4a754e…
06-19 02:32:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xd86831…
06-19 02:01:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xe996d9…
06-19 02:01:11	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xbfa871…
06-19 02:01:11	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x467ca2…
06-19 02:00:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x04dfd5…
06-19 01:54:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x4a96eb…
06-19 01:29:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xb0a328…
06-19 01:23:32	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0xf23f38…
06-19 01:13:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x17a6bf…
06-19 01:13:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xdc5a29…
06-19 01:10:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xcd1ed5…
06-18 00:51:58	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0xc57dc3…
06-18 00:18:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x5090d9…
06-15 00:39:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x60f233…
06-15 00:38:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x1d5f21…
06-14 13:03:49	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x207d83…
06-14 13:00:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xee71de…
06-14 05:00:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x2392e5…
06-14 04:59:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x1004fa…
06-01 06:31:13	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xd3b676…
06-01 06:26:07	Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0xc5d865…
05-15 22:17:58	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xe514d3…
05-15 22:17:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xa6baf1…
05-15 22:17:49	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	68¢	$2	0x6f86d4…
05-15 21:32:18	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xce9e55…
05-15 21:31:22	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x130e34…
05-10 18:26:36	FC Metz vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x9c7e0e…