Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$800

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$210

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-10 12:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 100% +$1

Politics

31% 100% +$2

Other

29% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+63	$61	96¢	$60	$-1	07-06 15:08
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?	No	+53	$51	96¢	$51	+$0	07-07 10:09
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+52	$50	97¢	$50	+$0	07-10 12:16
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	-50	$-48	97¢	$-49	$-0	07-05 19:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	2	$105	54	54	+0	open	—	06-10 20:45
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	5	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	06-22 22:43
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	2	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	06-12 16:08
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	4	$61	63	0	+63	open	—	07-06 15:08
Will Solana reach $120 in May?	2	$54	54	0	+54	open	—	05-23 08:50
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	1	$52	0	55	-55	open	—	06-01 09:33
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?	1	$52	55	0	+55	open	—	06-16 18:38
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?	1	$51	53	0	+53	open	—	07-07 10:09
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	07-10 12:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	1	$49	50	0	+50	Yes	+$1	05-06 13:34
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$48	0	50	-50	open	—	07-05 19:06
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$48	50	0	+50	No	+$2	05-07 20:24
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	04-15 08:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 12:16:50	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xfdf713…
07-07 10:09:59	Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xd8518d…
07-06 15:08:44	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$33	0x4a0f24…
07-06 15:08:43	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xc46b57…
07-05 19:06:40	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0xeb0a74…
07-05 18:50:16	Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x73c03c…
06-29 12:04:38	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x68ac7f…
06-29 11:59:52	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x0997f2…
06-22 22:43:56	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x22f25a…
06-22 22:43:55	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5387d8…
06-22 22:43:50	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x73e6d0…
06-16 18:38:53	Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0xf26461…
06-12 16:08:24	Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x344514…
06-10 20:45:49	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x82436f…
06-05 16:33:31	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd372c8…
06-05 09:17:49	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x74f2cf…
06-03 23:42:58	Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x49b4de…
06-02 08:06:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x31aa9b…
06-01 09:33:29	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0xba7d3a…
05-23 08:50:50	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x2faaa2…
05-22 10:29:46	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x4a3567…
05-07 20:24:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x39909b…
05-06 13:34:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x3e4368…
04-15 08:48:48	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x76e44a…