Optimistic-Cowboy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,201

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$343

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-29 18:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

68% 67% +$2

Politics

20% 100% +$30

Sports

6% 100% +$3

Crypto

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-300	$-219	82¢	$-244	$-25	06-08 14:39
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	No		+100	$99	99¢	$99	+$0	06-26 21:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	29	$1.7K	1,152	1,152	+0	open	—	03-30 16:35
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 20	31	$622	826	716	+110	open	—	03-20 17:12
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 6?	2	$570	290	290	+0	No	+$1	05-06 16:28
will gas hit high 3pt50 by march 31	5	$543	272	272	+0	open	—	03-10 11:18
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	5	$527	300	300	+0	open	—	03-13 13:20
Will gas hit (High) $4.40 by May 31?	2	$524	544	0	+544	open	—	05-02 07:14
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	3	$495	356	356	+0	open	—	03-12 13:35
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	8	$474	354	354	+0	open	—	03-02 08:30
Will gas hit (High) $4.35 by May 31?	5	$462	487	0	+487	open	—	05-01 07:43
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	5	$422	298	297	+0	open	—	03-30 16:01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 18?	3	$387	200	200	+0	open	—	05-18 20:43
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?	14	$378	330	330	+0	open	—	05-15 14:13
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election in the lisbon district	18	$378	765	635	+130	open	—	01-18 21:42
will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by march 31 656 625 393	5	$364	191	191	+0	open	—	03-10 10:26
Will gas hit (High) $4.15 by April 30?	2	$356	311	61	+250	open	—	04-08 10:01
will gas hit high 4pt00 by march 31	5	$346	325	51	+274	open	—	03-31 08:33
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$341	254	254	+0	open	—	01-15 21:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$320	323	0	+323	open	—	05-22 06:27
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	5	$315	1,247	1,247	-0	open	—	01-16 13:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 25 2026?	4	$292	174	169	+5	open	—	05-25 12:29
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 15?	4	$282	172	172	+0	open	—	05-15 17:10
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	2	$282	144	144	+0	open	—	02-03 11:23
Will gas hit (High) $4.05 by April 30?	4	$280	283	0	+283	open	—	04-01 07:41
will bitcoin hit 73000 or 74000 first on march 16	2	$259	130	130	+0	open	—	03-16 18:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$258	259	0	+259	open	—	05-22 16:43
memphis depay 20260609173030761	4	$258	130	130	+0	open	—	06-14 19:21
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 6?	1	$255	258	0	+258	No	+$3	05-06 11:01
will antnio jos seguro win the first round	1	$244	245	0	+245	open	—	01-18 22:06
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 12,000 in 2026?	3	$243	246	0	+246	open	—	03-18 07:08
Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?	36	$239	3,945	2,293	+1,653	open	—	02-26 19:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 18:44:49	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x7bcdfe…
06-29 18:28:19	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x7c46c3…
06-29 02:41:38	world cup goals h2h neymar vspt vinicius jrpt 20260608184741820	Vinicius	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x324e62…
06-28 01:38:59	will austria be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003088	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x073836…
06-28 01:37:31	will austria be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003088	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x0e54a5…
06-28 00:21:56	will portugal be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003083	Yes	BUY	313	0¢	$1	0xa90424…
06-27 09:19:29	will south korea be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003055	No	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xd8685d…
06-26 21:25:26	Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x926008…
06-26 06:08:20	will scotland be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003089	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xc8a798…
06-25 16:34:47	world cup goals h2h neymar vspt vinicius jrpt 20260608184741820	Vinicius	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x432754…
06-25 09:36:40	will portugal be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003083	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0xcaac40…
06-25 09:27:22	will scotland be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003089	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x88f899…
06-24 23:33:20	will scotland be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003089	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x94dfc7…
06-24 23:33:14	will scotland be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003089	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x515ad0…
06-24 23:33:02	will scotland be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003089	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x7aab04…
06-24 23:32:55	will scotland be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003089	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x58a888…
06-24 23:32:41	will scotland be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003089	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xac22c1…
06-24 23:27:29	will scotland be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003089	Yes	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0x820dee…
06-22 14:18:40	world cup goals h2h neymar vspt vinicius jrpt 20260608184741820	Vinicius	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x6aecc9…
06-21 16:18:01	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xcb0bd6…
06-20 11:05:58	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929	No	BUY	104	7¢	$7	0xe5c184…
06-20 11:05:29	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x25fd54…
06-19 21:29:14	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	27	54¢	$14	0x562d5b…
06-17 15:41:29	nuno mendes 20260609175357537	No	SELL	327	0¢	$0	0x9f4c97…
06-17 15:40:52	goncalo guedes 20260609175357531	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xe78f74…
06-17 15:39:32	diogo costa 20260609175357513	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x9e7d38…
06-17 06:12:38	ruben dias 20260609175357515	Yes	BUY	144	3¢	$4	0x90827e…
06-17 06:10:02	goncalo ramos 20260609175357521	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0dd4c4…
06-17 05:26:43	nuno mendes 20260609175357537	No	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x589f64…
06-16 14:49:43	Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	102	92¢	$94	0xd00f07…
06-16 12:56:27	will turkiye be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003093	Yes	SELL	70	25¢	$18	0x2e05ee…
06-16 12:52:43	will hyperliquid reach 76 in june	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9384bc…
06-14 19:56:13	donyell malen 20260609173030769	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x41cc7b…
06-14 19:46:03	quinten timber 20260609173030777	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfc48e1…
06-14 19:43:36	marten de roon 20260609173030754	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc7aad0…
06-14 19:21:07	memphis depay 20260609173030761	No	SELL	130	100¢	$129	0xedb60a…
06-14 18:42:10	memphis depay 20260609173030761	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5b3d18…
06-14 18:40:55	marten de roon 20260609173030754	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x18ae60…
06-14 18:39:19	donyell malen 20260609173030769	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xafbb3e…
06-14 18:38:48	memphis depay 20260609173030761	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3e3e11…
06-14 18:38:37	memphis depay 20260609173030761	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc19541…
06-14 18:38:06	teun koopmeiners 20260609173030771	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x16276f…
06-14 18:37:51	teun koopmeiners 20260609173030771	No	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x60bc09…
06-14 05:44:40	will turkiye be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003093	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x18faa1…
06-14 05:44:00	will turkiye be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003093	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xad65e7…
06-13 15:41:34	will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x153ee9…
06-13 10:16:21	will germany be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003082	No	BUY	121	94¢	$114	0xecdfea…
06-12 21:01:13	nuno mendes 20260609175357537	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb2a5a7…
06-11 21:16:22	wesley 20260609165807833	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xe8f5da…
06-11 20:38:33	will ral jimnez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0xeb64f7…
06-11 15:54:58	will kai havertz score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x71241a…
06-10 21:07:24	will marcel sabitzer score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x58b596…
06-09 16:44:24	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xf994ec…
06-09 14:27:58	will brahim daz score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xefd048…
06-09 13:35:48	will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x9276c9…
06-09 12:05:06	will scott mctominay score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xdbb11d…
06-09 09:05:12	world cup goals h2h neymar vspt vinicius jrpt 20260608184741820	Vinicius	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xbfb34e…
06-08 14:48:27	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x37acdb…
06-08 14:39:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	128	73¢	$93	0x49ce98…
06-08 13:46:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	172	73¢	$126	0x75face…
06-08 13:02:36	Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	102	62¢	$63	0xa52847…
06-06 14:57:25	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x624f48…
06-05 15:41:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x0d2c29…
06-05 15:36:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x98a0eb…
06-04 19:03:10	wti closes above 95 on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x23408b…
06-04 08:07:36	wti closes above 95 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xa1f106…
06-03 14:39:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 3?	No	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x6df500…
06-03 14:39:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 3?	No	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x9273ab…
06-03 14:35:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 3?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x33a89b…
06-03 14:34:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 3?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xdc03e7…
06-02 19:41:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	73¢	$38	0xa1ccf0…
06-01 21:45:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xa78b7f…
05-31 21:45:14	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,996	1¢	$74	0xa9e6f7…
05-31 21:08:15	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,500	2¢	$28	0x4683af…
05-31 20:58:36	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$38	0xc6e8cb…
05-31 20:53:08	Will gas hit (Low) $4.00 by May 31?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xe32081…
05-31 20:44:51	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	810	2¢	$19	0x270c08…
05-31 20:41:34	Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3d870e…
05-31 20:39:45	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	687	2¢	$16	0xf8d287…
05-31 20:36:13	Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x6779ce…
05-31 09:51:49	Will gas hit (Low) $4.10 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0x22ce0f…
05-31 07:36:45	Will gas hit (Low) $4.25 by May 31?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3b9813…
05-31 07:36:13	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x3a890b…
05-31 07:34:49	Will gas hit (Low) $4.25 by May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x60581b…
05-30 11:26:27	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0xa8e70e…
05-30 11:22:09	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x13ed13…
05-29 15:51:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x6f92d8…
05-29 14:45:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	No	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0x89e5f2…
05-29 14:44:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xcef570…
05-29 14:30:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0xf730d3…
05-29 14:21:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x449b45…
05-29 14:15:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x4ff26f…
05-29 14:14:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x8a1da5…
05-28 21:13:18	Will Trent Alexander-Arnold score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0xb310c0…
05-28 13:34:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	110	31¢	$34	0xd55308…
05-28 08:53:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	110	31¢	$34	0xb0e9a8…
05-26 16:15:45	will xauusd dip to 4500 by may 25 2026	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xd76785…
05-26 15:14:44	will xauusd dip to 4500 by may 25 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x555729…
05-26 11:14:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	69¢	$30	0x43cba1…
05-25 12:29:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd118ea…