Realized P&L
+$394
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
24
Trades
6,953
lifetime
Volume
$63.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$40
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 11:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
50% 62% +$423
Politics
24% 50% $-34
Crypto
16%
Pop-Culture
5% 100% +$6
Tech
3%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes +100 $18 18¢ $18 $-1 07-02 02:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +99 $21 12¢ $12 $-8 06-16 22:57
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +10 $4 98¢ $10 +$6 07-03 11:50
Will Eminem perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +20 $4 $0 $-4 06-11 22:52
Will Jennifer Lopez perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-14 08:15