Negative-Hunting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$213

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

1,072

Trades

3,299

lifetime

Volume

$8.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$125

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-27 07:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Other

82% 12% +$363

Sports

10% 30% -$32

Politics

4% 16% -$102

Crypto

2% 8% +$5

Tech

1% 0% -$13

Pop-Culture

0% 20% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	+200	$100	60¢	$120	+$20	10-22 12:31
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	-60	-$10	4¢	$-3	+$8	05-24 03:23
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	+100	$5	2¢	$2	-$2	05-22 11:00
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	+2	$0	12¢	$0	$0	06-20 22:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026?	3	$555	431	431	+0	Yes	+$297	09-18 21:25
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	4	$336	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	10-20 23:46
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$215	29,000	8,530	+20,470	No	-$89	07-03 00:19
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$165	150	150	+0	Yes	+$29	10-18 04:10
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$154	134	134	+0	Yes	-$23	06-16 19:44
bkjpn aki kos 2026 04 11	18	$142	3,628	1,353	+2,275	Akita Northern Happinets	+$50	04-12 05:06
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$123	300	300	+0	No	+$75	09-09 14:38
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	6	$109	350	350	+0	No	+$59	09-01 19:47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 21?	4	$108	100	100	+0	Yes	+$90	09-21 16:35
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$102	310	310	+0	No	+$9	10-26 14:20
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	3	$101	500	500	+0	open	—	07-15 10:03
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	10-22 12:31
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$91	500	500	+0	No	+$49	10-24 10:01
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	2	$86	100	100	+0	open	—	06-10 16:02
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	3	$81	100	100	+0	open	—	10-27 07:37
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-09-18?	2	$68	62	62	+0	No	+$37	09-18 23:04
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 26c	6	$67	70	70	+0	Yes	+$62	04-22 18:25
Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?	4	$67	325	5	+320	No	-$64	09-26 18:56
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	2	$66	50	50	+0	Yes	+$26	06-24 20:19
nba gsw sac 2026 04 10	2	$64	50	49	+1	Kings	+$35	04-11 06:17
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 18c	3	$64	156	60	+96	Yes	+$53	04-23 14:35
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?	2	$64	68	68	+0	No	+$14	09-24 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 30?	6	$63	60	60	+0	No	+$43	07-30 16:04
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	9	$62	220	220	+0	No	+$34	05-28 11:53
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	3	$61	0	100	-100	No	-$39	06-03 22:03
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	3	$60	40	40	+0	Sri Lanka	+$20	10-22 16:35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 3?	21	$60	293	293	+0	No	+$58	07-03 14:00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$60	50	50	+0	Yes	+$10	07-04 18:19
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	9	$59	280	180	+100	No	+$20	07-06 02:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?	11	$55	100	100	+0	Yes	+$47	06-23 14:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:37:39	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xff555d…
10-27 07:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xabd758…
10-27 07:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0xe8c4f3…
10-27 07:10:24	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x53b3a7…
10-27 07:10:11	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	52	31¢	$16	0xba85f6…
10-27 07:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x112547…
10-27 06:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x0cdb5f…
10-27 06:03:29	Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	4,700	0¢	$5	0x6e6610…
10-27 03:53:59	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe7f743…
10-27 03:53:59	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0xa48863…
10-26 23:26:14	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0x4d614c…
10-26 22:12:00	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x5b98fc…
10-26 22:11:09	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0x74eefa…
10-26 21:59:29	Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xcf1240…
10-26 21:58:33	Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x8cd7eb…
10-26 21:34:08	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xa2ff30…
10-26 21:29:32	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	150	7¢	$11	0xeab31d…
10-26 19:58:00	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0xec011b…
10-26 19:48:50	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x96cf09…
10-26 18:49:30	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xc347c2…
10-26 18:42:39	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	83	4¢	$4	0xec705b…
10-26 18:42:39	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x028d3e…
10-26 18:42:24	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x36300b…
10-26 18:42:15	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$2	0xd7b848…
10-26 18:42:15	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	95	4¢	$4	0x70fc33…
10-26 18:42:15	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	271	4¢	$12	0x5a5556…
10-26 18:42:15	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	64	4¢	$3	0x2e125c…
10-26 18:04:02	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3a6858…
10-26 18:03:26	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x48cd44…
10-26 18:03:15	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb766b7…
10-26 14:20:17	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	32	18¢	$6	0x26cc44…
10-26 14:19:48	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	222	18¢	$40	0x0e9dbe…
10-26 14:19:21	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	56	18¢	$10	0xafdbf2…
10-26 09:29:30	Next Gemini Argon released by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0xf9d849…
10-26 00:09:00	Next Gemini Argon released by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0x9feb46…
10-25 18:51:56	Next Gemini Argon released by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x965b7b…
10-25 09:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x637981…
10-25 09:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8ef6e8…
10-25 09:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xe16f25…
10-25 02:29:44	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x32eaf3…
10-25 02:29:38	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$0	0xe59a96…
10-25 02:29:38	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x8a0e39…
10-25 02:29:38	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0x89e34c…
10-25 02:29:38	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x2492a6…
10-25 02:29:36	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x8a427d…
10-25 02:29:27	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0xbfbe2c…
10-25 02:29:27	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0x9b0a91…
10-25 02:29:27	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x4c0fa9…
10-25 02:29:27	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x0f4c82…
10-25 02:29:26	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xbfe2f3…
10-25 02:29:26	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x6f415f…
10-25 02:19:59	Spurs vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x1e66db…
10-25 02:16:50	Wizards vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xdf7e5d…
10-25 02:16:39	Wizards vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x5c936d…
10-24 15:58:45	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0x1e3e64…
10-24 12:34:36	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0x08748d…
10-24 12:34:35	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x5d0186…
10-24 12:34:35	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x4edfa1…
10-24 10:01:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$70	0xddb2c7…
10-24 05:03:05	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$9	0xb3c898…
10-23 17:53:12	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x77417d…
10-23 16:20:12	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	10¢	$4	0x28f7e1…
10-23 13:35:41	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xf1e76b…
10-23 13:05:41	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xf823c7…
10-23 13:04:14	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x377e95…
10-23 13:02:20	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x9fe036…
10-23 09:31:06	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x91b119…
10-23 06:24:50	Zimbabwe Women Tour of India ODIs: India Women vs Zimbabwe Women	Zimbabwe Women	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xe4f690…
10-23 04:53:33	Utah vs. Kraken	Utah	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0x58c0dd…
10-23 04:41:12	Utah vs. Kraken	Utah	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x9519ed…
10-23 04:28:06	Utah vs. Kraken	Kraken	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0xceb968…
10-23 04:27:00	Utah vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x18327a…
10-22 16:35:51	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x1288f0…
10-22 16:12:12	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x09c1a2…
10-22 16:10:36	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xe7720a…
10-22 12:31:18	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf1205c…
10-22 08:34:48	Will Lionel Messi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0x5487ce…
10-22 05:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x2a129c…
10-22 03:37:51	Warriors vs. Lakers	Warriors	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x9c7a51…
10-22 03:35:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$21	0x30c3f0…
10-22 01:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x9026ca…
10-22 01:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	92	4¢	$4	0x948e2f…
10-21 23:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xaaa6f1…
10-21 22:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xace614…
10-21 22:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xcb3916…
10-21 22:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xa038b7…
10-21 20:51:23	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x9c53b6…
10-21 20:49:30	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0xa2b6d1…
10-21 20:27:48	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	56	8¢	$4	0x2edee9…
10-21 20:21:41	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x5641bb…
10-21 19:56:24	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x9f64ff…
10-21 19:15:18	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xcc4a9c…
10-21 19:15:18	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x506f24…
10-21 19:15:15	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x79d4a9…
10-21 19:09:35	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x48002e…
10-21 19:02:09	Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xc250df…
10-21 18:13:02	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x656e55…
10-21 18:05:41	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7740cb…
10-21 18:03:05	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x1a3c8a…
10-21 17:52:30	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x660e0d…