Realized P&L
-$119
Unrealized P&L
+$90
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,017
lifetime
Volume
$64.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$127
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-05 05:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
53% 0% $-76
Other
45%
Crypto
2% 0% $-43
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $34 16¢ $25 $-9 06-19 13:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +104 $28 24¢ $24 $-4 07-04 19:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -34 $-20 62¢ $-21 $-1 06-07 20:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +83 $39 25¢ $21 $-19 06-13 17:47
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? No +71 $10 26¢ $18 +$9 07-01 15:04
Clavicular sentenced to prison? Yes +50 $8 15¢ $8 $-0 06-06 20:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +40 $5 12¢ $5 $-0 06-16 05:00
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +20 $3 16¢ $3 +$1 07-01 12:07
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-02 16:45
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +10 $2 $1 $-1 06-19 00:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -120 $-85 $-0 +$85 06-23 10:59
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +0 $-30 100¢ $0 +$30 06-30 10:45