Adventurous-Familiarity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,386

lifetime

Volume

$72.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-15 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% $-76

Other

46% — —

Crypto

2% 0% $-43

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	49	$9.8K	16,216	5,345	+10,871	open	—	01-03 21:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	15	$4.9K	3,547	1,547	+2,000	open	—	01-31 21:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	44	$4.7K	11,637	9,750	+1,887	open	—	02-02 23:58
will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	21	$2.3K	1,247	1,222	+25	open	—	01-06 18:37
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	43	$2.3K	2,089	2,089	+0	open	—	08-12 07:18
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	45	$1.9K	2,184	2,189	-5	open	—	02-02 02:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	13	$1.8K	861	1,861	-1,000	open	—	05-23 14:01
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	18	$1.6K	1,347	1,447	-100	open	—	06-14 22:41
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	6	$1.6K	813	1,113	-300	open	—	06-14 23:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	17	$1.5K	3,027	3,227	-200	open	—	03-01 06:42
another us government shutdown by february 14	78	$1.5K	7,447	7,547	-100	open	—	02-15 03:32
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	59	$1.2K	4,358	4,958	-600	open	—	05-11 02:03
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785	26	$1.1K	17,170	214	+16,956	open	—	01-07 14:16
nothing ever happens january 581	29	$1.1K	1,471	1,471	+0	open	—	01-29 21:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	11	$846	370	870	-500	open	—	07-23 14:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	16	$814	718	582	+136	open	—	08-02 14:12
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	17	$767	868	868	+0	open	—	01-29 18:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	29	$669	1,697	1,757	-60	open	—	05-30 22:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	3	$628	329	329	+0	open	—	05-23 04:47
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	13	$544	1,013	813	+200	open	—	06-14 21:31
will trump meet with vladimir putin in january 2026	2	$542	2,877	2,877	+0	open	—	01-22 18:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	21	$529	951	1,071	-120	open	—	06-23 10:59
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	27	$505	1,088	679	+409	open	—	01-15 19:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	10	$482	335	375	-40	open	—	05-23 21:22
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	19	$473	1,611	2,611	-1,000	open	—	01-08 16:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	14	$469	572	572	+0	open	—	06-14 22:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	9	$465	713	713	+0	open	—	03-01 06:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	5	$464	256	256	+0	open	—	05-22 02:11
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	4	$462	354	354	+0	open	—	01-14 22:50
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	21	$458	546	585	-39	open	—	06-14 22:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 08:55:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x8d8e5a…
08-14 15:41:28	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xbafe8c…
08-14 15:40:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xe1b18e…
08-12 07:18:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	595	72¢	$428	0x4fdd70…
08-12 07:14:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x539a02…
08-12 07:13:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	700	73¢	$511	0x44de69…
08-11 14:35:00	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x68d03a…
08-10 10:57:00	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x86cd8d…
08-10 10:36:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xe9df23…
08-10 10:12:13	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	91	72¢	$65	0x29da3d…
08-06 15:53:50	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0x6165e9…
08-06 04:58:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xb404f5…
08-06 04:54:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x8cddc5…
08-06 04:54:02	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x86d3eb…
08-06 04:52:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x72b34e…
08-06 04:30:23	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	252	23¢	$58	0xcb0e2c…
08-05 12:19:32	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xb91cad…
08-04 15:11:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xcfeda1…
08-03 11:25:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xfd37ab…
08-03 09:48:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x04c6dc…
08-02 14:13:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x74e571…
08-02 14:12:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	45	57¢	$26	0xc0cfdc…
08-02 14:11:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	60	57¢	$34	0xdd1771…
08-02 13:01:08	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0xb780fc…
08-02 12:49:02	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf9b284…
08-02 03:21:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	45	51¢	$23	0xec8e64…
08-02 01:45:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0xd57c4a…
08-02 00:45:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	35	43¢	$15	0xf2ea3f…
08-01 14:35:27	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	60	83¢	$50	0x0bdb3b…
08-01 06:28:20	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0xfa103a…
08-01 06:20:39	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x022489…
08-01 06:05:57	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3c503b…
07-31 11:14:17	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0xdb88af…
07-30 10:30:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	46	7¢	$3	0x09ff29…
07-29 21:49:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	90	29¢	$26	0x222dc8…
07-29 13:06:26	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x2220be…
07-28 15:20:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	137	37¢	$51	0xfae366…
07-27 11:03:00	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x9321d1…
07-27 05:10:31	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	100	100¢	$99	0x903059…
07-27 03:08:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x5292e3…
07-27 02:28:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x6bab16…
07-27 02:27:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xf44303…
07-27 02:27:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xbe0730…
07-25 14:30:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x361e71…
07-25 10:57:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe44886…
07-25 10:28:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x81822c…
07-25 07:31:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0xe216b0…
07-25 06:17:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	34	13¢	$4	0x6af73c…
07-25 06:09:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	70	13¢	$9	0x4698d8…
07-25 05:29:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xdbf512…
07-24 18:47:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x95a635…
07-24 18:13:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	80	38¢	$30	0x413e4f…
07-24 17:44:46	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0xa6d1f1…
07-24 15:46:57	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x98ad0d…
07-24 05:36:15	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xb60609…
07-24 05:32:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	189	5¢	$9	0xb40cb1…
07-24 04:44:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	52	32¢	$17	0x5fe62f…
07-23 14:14:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$495	0x43c32e…
07-23 11:42:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0xa3f84c…
07-23 10:35:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x3497de…
07-23 10:33:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x7dc90d…
07-23 10:07:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6b62ff…
07-22 20:09:37	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	135	1¢	$2	0x82d822…
07-22 20:08:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x7b0653…
07-22 18:45:15	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x767541…
07-22 18:35:55	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0xfc4075…
07-22 17:38:10	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	61	38¢	$23	0x14c095…
07-22 09:13:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x6da615…
07-22 02:54:58	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x87ea3a…
07-22 01:33:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x0a1575…
07-21 22:36:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x5cfae1…
07-21 22:25:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xd7a019…
07-21 17:48:19	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x7536c7…
07-21 11:35:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x2ca6ff…
07-21 11:24:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0xd720af…
07-21 11:17:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xa4d5c7…
07-20 15:11:39	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	129	1¢	$1	0xfd422c…
07-20 13:38:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	55	15¢	$8	0xe13cb2…
07-20 12:53:42	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x317a27…
07-20 12:45:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x748b77…
07-20 11:37:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x4aac68…
07-20 11:20:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0x104e39…
07-20 07:35:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xef66ad…
07-19 23:10:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x20fe57…
07-19 23:03:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x611237…
07-19 22:55:10	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	SELL	37	8¢	$3	0xbf2653…
07-19 22:54:00	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	61	8¢	$5	0x7e826d…
07-19 22:52:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	194	13¢	$25	0xaf5489…
07-19 20:31:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xce8266…
07-19 17:48:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0xfec98e…
07-19 17:13:52	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	79	37¢	$29	0x03e4d1…
07-19 09:43:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xff2d9c…
07-19 06:17:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x22aad1…
07-19 05:45:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x9ce816…
07-18 17:37:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xea480e…
07-18 17:17:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xf486a8…
07-18 16:13:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xaa6d99…
07-17 20:32:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2fb08a…
07-17 19:25:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xee9f5a…
07-17 18:50:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xbcd98b…