Adventurous-Familiarity 0xf1a4be…a7527c
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$119
Unrealized P&L
+$284
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,634
lifetime
Volume
$58.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$570
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 11:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
49% 0% $-76
Other
48% — —
Crypto
3% 0% $-43
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +232 $-4 60¢ $138 +$141 06-13 04:53
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +156 $104 80¢ $124 +$20 06-06 14:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +522 $68 22¢ $118 +$50 06-11 19:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +111 $50 38¢ $43 $-7 06-10 17:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +47 $-16 74¢ $35 +$51 06-13 04:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -34 $-20 56¢ $-19 +$1 06-07 20:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +260 $15 6¢ $17 +$2 06-11 10:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -24 $-20 70¢ $-16 +$4 06-11 17:41
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes -276 $-30 6¢ $-15 +$14 06-12 17:51
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? No +53 $6 23¢ $12 +$6 06-06 18:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +35 $10 29¢ $10 $-0 06-07 20:46
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +121 $10 8¢ $10 $-0 06-05 16:23
Clavicular sentenced to prison? Yes +50 $8 16¢ $8 $-0 06-06 20:15
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +10 $2 26¢ $3 +$1 06-02 15:49
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? Yes +82 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 05-29 18:59
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +1 $1 79¢ $1 +$0 06-02 16:45