Ill-Fated-Browsing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

439

lifetime

Volume

$1.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 02:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

77% 100% +$3

Politics

15% — —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No		-2	$-2	99¢	$-2	$-0	06-07 14:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fl1 ang met 2026 02 01 ang	2	$27	21	21	+0	open	—	02-01 16:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$25	26	26	-0	open	—	06-01 12:21
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 24 2026 0pt37	4	$22	90	64	+26	open	—	03-23 10:22
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	5	$21	47	47	+0	open	—	02-09 05:27
lal osa bil 2026 01 03 draw	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	01-03 17:05
mcd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 3pt04	1	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	02-04 14:51
gis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 0pt73	5	$20	82	0	+82	open	—	03-18 09:01
sea gen pis 2026 01 03 draw	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	01-03 15:59
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	4	$16	66	6	+60	open	—	02-01 09:09
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 16c	3	$16	17	10	+7	open	—	04-03 13:32
epl sun mac 2026 01 01 draw	1	$15	0	15	-15	open	—	01-02 01:10
fl1 hac ang 2026 01 04 draw	2	$15	18	18	+0	open	—	01-04 17:46
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	01-08 05:30
wmt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt72	4	$13	112	0	+112	open	—	02-18 14:46
epl eve lee 2026 01 26 draw	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	01-26 23:46
highest temperature in singapore on april 4 2026 32c	2	$12	10	9	+0	open	—	04-04 06:35
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-13 13:20
epl ars mun 2026 01 25 mun	2	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	01-25 18:19
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	01-11 09:26
will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	5	$11	64	64	+0	open	—	06-09 12:07
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-01 14:56
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-03 06:16
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	02-14 13:03
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	3	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-21 17:01
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 17:18
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 15:58
bun hei hsv 2026 02 07 hei	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	02-07 10:55
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	06-09 09:50
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	3	$10	312	0	+312	open	—	02-02 07:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$2	04-10 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 02:04:04	world cup ronaldo to score 2 penalties 20260605004524368	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xab8056…
06-09 12:10:46	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xee9b67…
06-09 12:07:46	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	SELL	54	5¢	$3	0xe2d366…
06-09 12:05:24	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0x652414…
06-09 09:50:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb68259…
06-09 05:45:58	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x5d5b0f…
06-09 05:45:43	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfe753e…
06-09 05:45:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x79c236…
06-09 05:45:12	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbc1e3b…
06-09 05:37:46	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x541a84…
06-09 05:37:19	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf801ac…
06-09 05:36:55	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa10da0…
06-09 05:36:39	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xf95e05…
06-09 05:36:27	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1e373d…
06-09 05:36:07	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3b9dd3…
06-07 15:43:27	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0d6709…
06-07 15:43:04	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0cd37e…
06-07 14:09:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x42fd2b…
06-07 07:01:28	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2f01a9…
06-07 04:17:21	will hyperliquid reach 80 in june	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x03118b…
06-05 16:01:00	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6d6349…
06-05 03:43:12	will donald trump publicly insult norah odonnell by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc5e2a4…
06-04 01:48:40	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x87dfee…
06-01 14:56:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0x2ad9b6…
06-01 12:21:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	132	0¢	$0	0xb42051…
06-01 12:21:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0xd34732…
06-01 11:28:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x18f8c4…
06-01 09:48:20	Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x887d17…
06-01 09:46:26	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xab534e…
06-01 04:15:29	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdf5922…
06-01 04:13:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x69ebd8…
05-31 17:32:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd02419…
05-31 07:37:48	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xd769ba…
05-31 03:13:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x4fea72…
05-30 03:03:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x4bf374…
05-30 03:02:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x417451…
05-29 15:10:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcd2b2b…
05-29 15:09:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0902c5…
05-29 14:31:33	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6de994…
05-29 04:23:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x28d157…
05-28 13:09:15	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x38bbad…
05-25 18:21:39	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x263c77…
05-25 17:21:43	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5ce5a0…
05-25 01:52:40	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xff010f…
05-24 14:28:30	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe30537…
05-21 17:01:28	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x617602…
05-21 02:25:37	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x88b9b2…
05-19 15:58:00	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3a3642…
05-18 16:19:42	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x59aa37…
05-18 16:06:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd7ee67…
05-18 04:50:11	Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2728d6…
05-18 04:49:53	Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x88491e…
05-17 06:01:11	PGA Championship: Playoff?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2e0948…
05-16 17:43:16	Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe06685…
05-16 17:18:55	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xb602f4…
05-16 17:18:21	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9616de…
05-16 05:38:09	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x852ac5…
05-16 04:04:37	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x41c9d7…
05-15 17:25:24	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe8a589…
05-15 15:28:42	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x36b2c7…
05-12 17:46:09	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x89f586…
05-12 17:12:52	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x90ecf7…
05-12 16:29:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x11f444…
05-12 16:23:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xfb82f4…
05-09 02:51:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd6f077…
05-08 05:20:00	Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x88bb27…
05-08 02:10:17	Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xabcba4…
05-07 18:19:56	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x088feb…
05-06 17:13:06	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x41e663…
05-06 11:28:42	Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x67ebff…
05-06 08:31:46	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x54b0ff…
05-05 12:09:12	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3d87db…
05-05 12:05:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x978b22…
05-04 17:31:22	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf7e87c…
04-30 06:52:00	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x89f75c…
04-30 04:31:34	imax quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x09e1c3…
04-28 09:33:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x663683…
04-28 07:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 28?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x59bac4…
04-28 05:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2737e6…
04-28 05:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda3960…
04-27 16:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 27?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x838250…
04-27 15:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 27?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe0d3c4…
04-27 15:19:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 27?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x8007a1…
04-27 14:00:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 27?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x1b703d…
04-27 11:47:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 27?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfaf20c…
04-27 08:37:26	Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x21d1c3…
04-27 06:21:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8c74dc…
04-26 17:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 26?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd588af…
04-26 17:37:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 26?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x8e7a5a…
04-26 17:36:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 26?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9eb234…
04-26 17:02:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 26?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4673bf…
04-26 12:12:04	Le Havre AC vs. FC Metz: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe82153…
04-26 10:21:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1ed996…
04-26 09:33:38	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa85846…
04-26 05:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x81a3e0…
04-26 04:41:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 26?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xfa7999…
04-25 17:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 25?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x92acbc…
04-25 17:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4a8181…
04-25 13:33:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf98730…
04-25 13:21:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x970c90…