Ill-Fated-Browsing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

490

lifetime

Volume

$1.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

68% 100% +$3

Politics

16% — —

Sports

8% — —

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	5	$48	86	86	+0	open	—	06-28 15:30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	4	$32	25	25	+0	open	—	06-29 02:13
fl1 ang met 2026 02 01 ang	2	$27	21	21	+0	open	—	02-01 16:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$25	26	26	-0	open	—	06-01 12:21
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 24 2026 0pt37	4	$22	90	64	+26	open	—	03-23 10:22
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	5	$21	47	47	+0	open	—	02-09 05:27
lal osa bil 2026 01 03 draw	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	01-03 17:05
mcd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 3pt04	1	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	02-04 14:51
gis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 0pt73	5	$20	82	0	+82	open	—	03-18 09:01
sea gen pis 2026 01 03 draw	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	01-03 15:59
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	4	$16	66	6	+60	open	—	02-01 09:09
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 16c	3	$16	17	10	+7	open	—	04-03 13:32
epl sun mac 2026 01 01 draw	1	$15	0	15	-15	open	—	01-02 01:10
fl1 hac ang 2026 01 04 draw	2	$15	18	18	+0	open	—	01-04 17:46
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	01-08 05:30
will cristiano ronaldo score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406403	2	$13	17	17	+0	open	—	06-20 13:59
wmt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt72	4	$13	112	0	+112	open	—	02-18 14:46
epl eve lee 2026 01 26 draw	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	01-26 23:46
will cristiano ronaldo score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406406	4	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	06-29 06:30
highest temperature in singapore on april 4 2026 32c	2	$12	10	9	+0	open	—	04-04 06:35
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-13 13:20
play quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 08 2026 0pt66	3	$12	16	8	+8	open	—	06-15 15:40
epl ars mun 2026 01 25 mun	2	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	01-25 18:19
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	01-11 09:26
will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	5	$11	64	64	+0	open	—	06-09 12:07
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-01 14:56
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-03 06:16
will donald trump publicly insult mohammed bin salman by june 30 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-20 18:04
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	02-14 13:03
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	3	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-21 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 17:44:13	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8ef188…
06-30 17:43:52	will hyperliquid reach 80 in june	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8457b4…
06-30 17:43:23	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd69fd2…
06-30 17:21:02	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xa77acd…
06-29 23:30:17	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x501fae…
06-29 06:30:23	will cristiano ronaldo score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406406	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x5fed81…
06-29 02:13:37	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	22	83¢	$19	0xdc1da8…
06-28 15:31:16	will cristiano ronaldo score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406406	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x554932…
06-28 15:30:31	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	No	SELL	86	44¢	$38	0xc4a448…
06-28 12:35:07	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x519708…
06-28 12:33:59	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xfb06bd…
06-28 12:28:47	will bukayo saka score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0xe1a06d…
06-28 07:06:40	world cup ronaldo to score 2 penalties 20260605004524368	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x261042…
06-28 06:33:37	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x6f5a91…
06-28 05:50:05	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x26fb2e…
06-28 05:49:40	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x442232…
06-25 12:51:25	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xeb325b…
06-25 09:25:40	will luis javier surez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xcae46b…
06-25 09:23:25	will bukayo saka score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xea707f…
06-25 04:43:29	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x661ac4…
06-24 11:08:49	will cristiano ronaldo score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406406	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbd55a7…
06-24 08:22:28	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x283520…
06-24 06:45:04	will donald trump publicly insult norah odonnell by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x87390c…
06-24 00:44:26	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xf31052…
06-24 00:13:14	will cristiano ronaldo score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406404	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xea8a7a…
06-23 17:28:07	world cup ronaldo to score 2 penalties 20260605004524368	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa3d4e0…
06-23 15:31:14	kbh quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 23 2026 0pt45	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7a74cf…
06-23 15:09:17	will bukayo saka score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1c3f1b…
06-23 08:12:43	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x345cc9…
06-23 03:23:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x802fa2…
06-21 12:33:50	will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 738	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x85e545…
06-20 18:05:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xacef51…
06-20 18:04:26	will donald trump publicly insult mohammed bin salman by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcc4dfa…
06-20 14:01:17	will cristiano ronaldo score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406406	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xff0b3b…
06-20 13:59:43	will cristiano ronaldo score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406403	No	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x85e5b9…
06-19 16:37:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x03b9fc…
06-19 15:55:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x00953a…
06-19 06:13:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbbb12a…
06-19 03:27:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9fddf4…
06-17 14:45:44	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf7c818…
06-17 04:38:20	will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x06dfae…
06-16 10:19:57	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x93de91…
06-16 06:18:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x4c5340…
06-15 15:40:45	play quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 08 2026 0pt66	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x05fc93…
06-15 15:30:39	play quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 08 2026 0pt66	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x439c3a…
06-15 08:27:33	will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 738	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x68e810…
06-13 07:40:43	will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	No	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x4070f9…
06-13 07:40:24	will cristiano ronaldo score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406403	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xdf3e69…
06-10 15:52:40	play quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 08 2026 0pt66	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xad66e8…
06-10 15:50:18	will donald trump publicly insult mohammed bin salman by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf1154a…
06-10 10:04:04	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 250 high 20260608191407795	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x380a93…
06-10 02:04:04	world cup ronaldo to score 2 penalties 20260605004524368	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xab8056…
06-09 12:10:46	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xee9b67…
06-09 12:07:46	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	SELL	54	5¢	$3	0xe2d366…
06-09 12:05:24	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0x652414…
06-09 09:50:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb68259…
06-09 05:45:58	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x5d5b0f…
06-09 05:45:43	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfe753e…
06-09 05:45:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x79c236…
06-09 05:45:12	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbc1e3b…
06-09 05:37:46	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x541a84…
06-09 05:37:19	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf801ac…
06-09 05:36:55	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa10da0…
06-09 05:36:39	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xf95e05…
06-09 05:36:27	will a claude mythos model be released by june 22 2026 656	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1e373d…
06-09 05:36:07	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3b9dd3…
06-07 15:43:27	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0d6709…
06-07 15:43:04	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0cd37e…
06-07 14:09:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x42fd2b…
06-07 07:01:28	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2f01a9…
06-07 04:17:21	will hyperliquid reach 80 in june	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x03118b…
06-05 16:01:00	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6d6349…
06-05 03:43:12	will donald trump publicly insult norah odonnell by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc5e2a4…
06-04 01:48:40	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x87dfee…
06-01 14:56:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0x2ad9b6…
06-01 12:21:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	132	0¢	$0	0xb42051…
06-01 12:21:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0xd34732…
06-01 11:28:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x18f8c4…
06-01 09:48:20	Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x887d17…
06-01 09:46:26	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xab534e…
06-01 04:15:29	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdf5922…
06-01 04:13:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x69ebd8…
05-31 17:32:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd02419…
05-31 07:37:48	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xd769ba…
05-31 03:13:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x4fea72…
05-30 03:03:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x4bf374…
05-30 03:02:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x417451…
05-29 15:10:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcd2b2b…
05-29 15:09:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0902c5…
05-29 14:31:33	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6de994…
05-29 04:23:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x28d157…
05-28 13:09:15	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x38bbad…
05-25 18:21:39	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x263c77…
05-25 17:21:43	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5ce5a0…
05-25 01:52:40	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xff010f…
05-24 14:28:30	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe30537…
05-21 17:01:28	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x617602…
05-21 02:25:37	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x88b9b2…
05-19 15:58:00	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3a3642…
05-18 16:19:42	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x59aa37…