Ill-Fated-Browsing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.56K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

86.7%

Resolved

1,806

Trades

4,660

lifetime

Volume

$139.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 264 days

Categories

Other

99% 63% -$4,881

Sports

0% 64% +$319

Politics

0% 75% +$68

Tech

0% 63% -$8

Crypto

0% 0% -$54

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No		+11	$9	97¢	$10	+$1	10-26 08:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 30°C on July 23?	7	$1.5K	754	754	+0	No	+$23	07-24 01:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 24?	21	$1.2K	611	611	+0	No	+$55	07-24 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 13?	22	$1.1K	563	563	+0	Yes	+$42	07-13 16:31
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	11	$1.1K	577	577	+0	No	+$72	10-12 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 30?	10	$1.0K	541	541	+0	No	+$37	07-01 02:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?	5	$1.0K	526	526	+0	No	+$25	07-28 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 6?	5	$1.0K	527	527	+0	No	+$25	08-07 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on July 5?	2	$1.0K	509	509	+0	No	+$8	07-05 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 7?	10	$921	525	525	+0	No	-$19	07-08 00:08
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 9?	6	$898	479	479	+0	No	+$58	07-09 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 25?	12	$862	447	447	+0	No	+$32	07-25 12:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 6?	4	$851	461	461	+0	No	+$71	07-06 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 11?	2	$839	440	440	+0	No	+$39	07-11 12:42
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 6?	2	$834	435	435	+0	No	+$34	07-06 13:24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 4?	2	$833	434	434	+0	No	+$33	08-04 23:07
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 1?	4	$822	422	422	+0	No	+$22	07-02 00:39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 7?	2	$814	417	417	+0	No	+$14	07-07 05:56
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 6?	3	$806	409	409	+0	No	+$6	08-06 09:31
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 2?	8	$784	497	497	+0	Yes	-$20	10-01 05:08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 5?	3	$772	402	402	+0	No	+$32	07-05 23:08
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 4?	28	$724	386	386	+0	No	+$46	07-05 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 22?	4	$703	363	363	+0	No	+$23	07-22 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 7?	3	$688	378	378	+0	No	+$68	07-07 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 13?	12	$676	381	381	+0	No	+$76	10-13 17:56
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 6?	12	$662	364	364	+0	No	+$62	10-06 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 28?	8	$660	341	341	+0	No	+$22	07-28 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 6?	5	$647	349	349	+0	Yes	+$47	08-06 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 4?	2	$639	340	340	+0	No	+$39	07-04 15:18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 1?	4	$637	339	339	+0	Yes	+$37	07-01 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C on July 5?	2	$637	337	337	+0	No	+$37	07-05 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:40:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x32a8e0…
10-27 20:07:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x72e413…
10-27 19:48:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x6f3be7…
10-27 19:39:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x242029…
10-27 19:31:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1f6ac9…
10-27 19:19:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x1fbe48…
10-27 18:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x277b3d…
10-27 18:38:56	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xe9f33d…
10-27 18:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xfd0950…
10-27 13:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x7f7c0e…
10-27 13:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x599ac0…
10-27 13:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	166	96¢	$159	0x3a1c1e…
10-27 12:34:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xda17ae…
10-27 12:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0x732a3b…
10-27 10:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x928f0e…
10-27 10:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	SELL	112	0¢	$0	0xeb7871…
10-27 09:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x86d873…
10-27 09:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$106	0xd38656…
10-27 09:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x83db9b…
10-27 08:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x0b6af0…
10-27 08:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x03489f…
10-27 08:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x9f1461…
10-27 08:11:53	Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x652ccd…
10-27 07:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x1f1598…
10-27 05:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x1e6ca6…
10-26 10:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 26?	No	SELL	140	98¢	$138	0x0e92fe…
10-26 10:39:41	Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xbf9080…
10-26 09:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 26?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x579346…
10-26 09:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 26?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xa48fe3…
10-26 08:07:54	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xf14286…
10-26 08:07:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xd873b4…
10-26 06:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x231c48…
10-26 06:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 26?	No	SELL	29	87¢	$25	0x9f8bf2…
10-26 04:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x7bbc03…
10-26 04:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x4e0445…
10-26 03:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0xffd703…
10-26 02:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	No	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0xb38113…
10-26 02:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x77b28d…
10-25 16:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x74e9e3…
10-25 16:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x3dad6c…
10-25 15:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x0ebe6b…
10-25 15:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0xae2c21…
10-25 15:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf9f929…
10-25 15:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 25?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x7e626a…
10-25 15:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x058840…
10-25 15:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x9b949e…
10-25 14:48:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x707320…
10-25 14:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x36dac1…
10-25 13:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 25?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xfa7278…
10-25 12:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 25?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x4aaa58…
10-25 11:58:18	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x1e7c08…
10-25 11:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 25?	No	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0x201dcd…
10-25 11:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 25?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$8	0x2bddea…
10-25 11:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 25?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x227c0c…
10-25 11:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 25?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xda52d3…
10-25 11:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 25?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$8	0x33f540…
10-25 10:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xfcdd03…
10-25 10:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xae96a2…
10-25 10:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xedc4b2…
10-25 10:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0x491701…
10-25 09:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 25?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0xbcb745…
10-25 09:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 25?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x978636…
10-25 09:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x867d3d…
10-25 08:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 25?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xd9c843…
10-25 05:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x4a372f…
10-25 04:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb1c514…
10-24 20:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 24?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x6c8a1f…
10-24 20:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 24?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x165292…
10-24 19:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 24?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x7d332d…
10-24 17:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xeea1c7…
10-24 15:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xb0591e…
10-24 12:05:56	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x7bf6cc…
10-24 11:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 24?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xb57645…
10-24 09:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 24?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x2120db…
10-24 09:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 24?	No	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x25a02d…
10-24 05:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 24?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0xe634d2…
10-23 17:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 23?	No	SELL	253	99¢	$252	0xf578c4…
10-23 14:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xbeba2f…
10-23 13:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xea06b4…
10-23 13:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x542e75…
10-23 12:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x96a10c…
10-23 12:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x013e96…
10-23 12:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 23?	No	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0xa8e8be…
10-23 12:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8a339b…
10-23 12:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 23?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x68d620…
10-23 12:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x9ddf1b…
10-23 12:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 23?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x7c7147…
10-23 11:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 23?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x34f40c…
10-23 11:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 23?	No	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xc87609…
10-23 10:43:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0x29ea2d…
10-23 10:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 23?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x56b6ef…
10-23 08:10:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 22?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x7834f1…
10-23 03:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 23?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$44	0xc274ae…
10-23 02:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 23?	No	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0xe077d4…
10-22 20:58:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8cf667…
10-22 20:03:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 22?	No	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0x89a708…
10-22 19:17:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 22?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xdd416b…
10-22 14:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 22?	No	SELL	144	98¢	$141	0xecafcc…
10-22 14:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 22?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x9d7a11…
10-22 13:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 22?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$41	0x97a113…