Realized P&L
-$1.31K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.22K
Hit rate
23.5%
Resolved
16
Trades
20,048
lifetime
Volume
$2.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$69.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 21:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
53% 0% $-1,400
Politics
47% 33% +$300
Sports
0% 33% $-213
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1214 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No -22,002 $-21,432 99¢ $-21716 $-284 06-06 09:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No -14,793 $-13,947 94¢ $-13979 $-32 06-06 06:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +8,000 $7,224 90¢ $7.2K +$16 06-07 19:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No -11,133 $-7,449 60¢ $-6680 +$769 06-02 23:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +31,620 $8,479 20¢ $6.2K $-2,313 06-09 20:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -3,000 $-2,831 64¢ $-1935 +$896 06-06 12:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +4,000 $1,236 38¢ $1.5K +$304 06-09 20:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,000 $1,417 77¢ $1.5K +$123 06-08 04:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,230 62¢ $1.2K +$20 06-05 09:17
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,339 $1,175 87¢ $1.2K $-10 06-06 11:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,000 $740 77¢ $770 +$30 06-04 21:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,000 $761 36¢ $710 $-51 06-08 10:08
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +1,000 $730 71¢ $710 $-20 06-08 08:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +6,581 $1,199 10¢ $625 $-574 06-08 06:43
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,000 $549 55¢ $555 +$6 06-02 13:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -2,000 $-880 25¢ $-500 +$380 06-02 23:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -451 $-351 93¢ $-419 $-68 05-27 20:32
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +1,000 $410 38¢ $380 $-30 06-01 15:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,183 $655 16¢ $360 $-295 06-10 02:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes +3,960 $622 $279 $-343 06-07 21:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes +2,000 $302 12¢ $250 $-52 06-08 11:10
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +338 $236 71¢ $240 +$3 06-08 15:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +3,435 $231 $189 $-42 06-08 10:53
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +600 $174 27¢ $162 $-12 06-05 16:34
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +316 $110 45¢ $144 +$33 06-01 08:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +618 $121 22¢ $133 +$12 06-02 16:37
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +978 $26 $92 +$66 06-09 20:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +1,233 $-28 $36 +$65 06-08 02:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -189 $-212 18¢ $-33 +$179 06-08 20:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +100 $12 11¢ $11 $-1 06-01 13:59