Realized P&L
-$1.31K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.25K
Hit rate
23.5%
Resolved
16
Trades
27,926
lifetime
Volume
$3.50M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$125
Open exposure
$14.2K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
54% 0% $-1,400
Politics
46% 33% +$300
Sports
0% 33% $-213
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1214 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5,534 $5,550 55¢ $3.0K $-2,534 07-18 18:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,000 $1,778 90¢ $1.8K +$12 07-19 22:17
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,739 $1,526 90¢ $1.6K +$39 07-20 15:31
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2,300 $1,331 66¢ $1.5K +$199 07-05 13:02
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +4,142 $1,393 32¢ $1.3K $-89 07-20 18:31
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,500 $910 74¢ $1.1K +$207 07-18 19:24
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +1,094 $834 92¢ $1.0K +$168 07-18 22:36
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +1,000 $811 84¢ $835 +$24 06-30 19:39
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +600 $385 78¢ $465 +$80 07-04 01:13
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +2,426 $311 15¢ $352 +$41 07-18 20:34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No -391 $-674 86¢ $-334 +$340 07-01 09:22
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +3,978 $189 $221 +$32 07-05 16:31
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +2,684 $164 $178 +$15 07-18 04:53
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +500 $100 24¢ $120 +$20 07-08 10:43
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +600 $182 15¢ $87 $-95 07-08 10:42
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +100 $82 86¢ $86 +$4 07-04 01:14
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -84 $-126 64¢ $-54 +$72 07-02 22:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -189 $-292 26¢ $-50 +$242 07-15 19:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -2,923 $1,985 $-42 $-2,027 07-12 16:05
Will Trump nationalize elections? Yes -143 $-19 16¢ $-22 $-3 06-13 09:46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +15 $15 94¢ $14 $-1 07-20 15:08