Smart-Pathway 0x993c07…056787
whale hot 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$58.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.56K
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved
753
Trades
36,728
lifetime
Volume
$4.72M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$11.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 05:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Other
53% 49% -$10,200
Politics
47% 60% +$69,203
Sports
0% 50% -$171
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +16,000 $4,099 30¢ $4.8K +$701 10-20 11:59
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2,200 $1,262 84¢ $1.8K +$575 09-22 10:21
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,800 $838 86¢ $1.5K +$710 10-20 05:02
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,750 $1,216 64¢ $1.1K -$96 09-28 21:46
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No -1,500 -$613 30¢ $-458 +$156 10-12 20:23
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +500 $195 68¢ $343 +$148 10-19 21:18
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$164 16¢ $-313 -$149 07-25 04:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +500 $258 60¢ $298 +$40 10-22 16:57
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +500 -$10 48¢ $242 +$252 09-22 10:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,000 -$602 18¢ $-180 +$422 07-15 19:37
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +200 $147 68¢ $136 -$11 09-26 11:24
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -400 -$152 32¢ $-130 +$22 05-02 20:53
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +200 $116 40¢ $79 -$37 06-13 10:36
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +400 $81 17¢ $68 -$13 09-20 00:50
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$14 2¢ $-37 -$23 05-01 02:33
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -400 $117 8¢ $-34 -$151 09-09 23:34
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,000 -$36 0¢ $-14 +$22 05-01 02:38
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +300 $22 4¢ $12 -$10 09-21 21:48
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,000 -$19 1¢ $-10 +$9 09-01 03:49
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,000 -$1 1¢ $-10 -$9 09-16 20:02
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $13 1¢ $7 -$5 10-22 16:56
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$16 0¢ $-7 +$9 05-15 18:28
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? Yes -200 -$11 3¢ $-6 +$5 09-11 22:52
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,000 -$6 1¢ $-6 +$0 10-22 16:55
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-03 17:57
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 -$1 05-01 14:04
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,000 -$6 0¢ $-5 +$1 10-22 16:56
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,000 -$3 0¢ $-4 -$1 09-07 22:13
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,000 -$3 0¢ $-4 -$1 09-07 22:13
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,000 -$3 0¢ $-4 -$1 09-20 07:41