Smart-Pathway 0x993c07…056787
whale hot 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$58.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.22K
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved
756
Trades
36,729
lifetime
Volume
$4.72M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$10.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 18:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Other
53% 49% -$10,200
Politics
47% 60% +$69,291
Sports
0% 50% -$171
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +16,000 $4,099 28¢ $4.4K +$301 10-20 11:59
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2,200 $1,262 82¢ $1.8K +$553 09-22 10:21
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,800 $838 88¢ $1.6K +$737 10-20 05:02
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,750 $1,216 63¢ $1.1K -$114 09-28 21:46
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No -1,500 -$613 26¢ $-383 +$231 10-12 20:23
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +500 $195 72¢ $358 +$163 10-19 21:18
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$164 15¢ $-304 -$140 07-25 04:19
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +500 -$10 52¢ $258 +$268 09-22 10:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,000 -$602 17¢ $-170 +$432 07-15 19:37
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -400 -$152 34¢ $-134 +$18 05-02 20:53
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +200 $147 66¢ $132 -$15 09-26 11:24
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +200 $116 37¢ $74 -$42 06-13 10:36
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +400 $81 16¢ $62 -$19 09-20 00:50
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$14 2¢ $-39 -$25 05-01 02:33
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -400 $117 8¢ $-32 -$149 09-09 23:34
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +300 $22 5¢ $16 -$6 09-21 21:48
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,000 -$36 0¢ $-14 +$22 05-01 02:38
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,000 -$1 1¢ $-11 -$10 09-16 20:02
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,000 -$19 1¢ $-11 +$8 09-01 03:49
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$16 0¢ $-9 +$7 05-15 18:28
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $13 1¢ $7 -$5 10-22 16:56
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? Yes -200 -$11 3¢ $-6 +$5 09-11 22:52
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,000 -$6 1¢ $-6 +$0 10-22 16:55
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-03 17:57
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 -$1 05-01 14:04
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,000 -$6 0¢ $-5 +$1 10-22 16:56
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,000 -$3 0¢ $-4 -$1 09-07 22:13
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,000 -$6 0¢ $-4 +$1 09-07 22:13
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,000 -$3 0¢ $-4 -$1 09-20 07:41
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,000 -$3 0¢ $-4 -$1 09-07 22:13