Realized P&L
-$1.31K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.63K
Hit rate
23.5%
Resolved
16
Trades
22,783
lifetime
Volume
$2.87M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$38.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
54% 0% $-1,400
Politics
46% 33% +$300
Sports
0% 33% $-213
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1214 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No -21,802 $-21,267 100¢ $-21769 $-502 06-24 12:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5,534 $4,695 82¢ $4.6K $-130 06-29 02:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +1,609 $1,086 84¢ $1.3K +$258 06-28 19:04
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,339 $1,175 89¢ $1.2K +$17 06-06 11:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3,077 $964 36¢ $1.1K +$128 06-29 18:29
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +3,637 $1,295 29¢ $1.0K $-259 06-30 08:32
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,800 $1,056 54¢ $981 $-75 06-28 01:08
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +1,000 $900 90¢ $905 +$5 06-27 20:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -850 $-1,366 100¢ $-847 +$519 06-29 13:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $711 80¢ $805 +$94 06-15 13:07
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,000 $549 70¢ $700 +$151 06-02 13:21
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +2,000 $519 26¢ $530 +$11 06-16 14:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -451 $-351 100¢ $-450 $-99 05-27 20:32
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +500 $391 82¢ $410 +$19 06-14 15:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +400 $353 85¢ $342 $-12 06-29 00:27
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -327 $-467 95¢ $-312 +$155 06-30 12:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,811 $68 14¢ $244 +$177 06-29 18:14
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +316 $110 55¢ $172 +$62 06-01 08:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +400 $216 32¢ $130 $-86 06-29 00:27
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +177 $108 68¢ $120 +$12 06-30 04:32
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +600 $174 12¢ $75 $-99 06-05 16:34
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +80 $65 83¢ $66 +$2 06-27 11:06
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +978 $26 $59 +$33 06-09 20:43
Will Trump nationalize elections? Yes -143 $-19 13¢ $-19 +$1 06-13 09:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,041 $-557 $5 +$562 06-16 00:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -2,000 $-880 $-2 +$878 06-02 23:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +600 $250 $2 $-249 06-16 18:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +521 $-9 $1 +$9 06-11 15:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes -474 $-66 $-0 +$66 06-11 21:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +100 $12 $0 $-12 06-01 13:59