Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$1.41K
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved
285
Trades
956
lifetime
Volume
$39.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$2.45K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-25 08:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Politics
67% 39% -$866
Other
26% 55% +$380
Sports
5% 54% +$417
Crypto
1% 75% +$72
Tech
1% 33% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Maduro guilty of all counts? No +1,003 $833 64¢ $642 -$191 10-01 08:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -3,269 -$392 18¢ $-605 -$212 06-17 12:08
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +7,567 $544 4¢ $314 -$230 10-23 19:47
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +3,133 $806 6¢ $204 -$603 09-14 23:39
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +804 $213 18¢ $149 -$64 09-10 18:48
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -114 -$112 99¢ $-113 -$1 05-11 15:23
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +102 $100 98¢ $99 -$1 08-02 10:16
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +342 $127 22¢ $77 -$50 08-02 10:15
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -235 -$96 17¢ $-40 +$56 04-28 16:19
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes -147 -$24 26¢ $-38 -$14 09-10 19:07
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +31 $30 95¢ $30 $0 10-01 11:01
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +30 $28 92¢ $28 $0 10-23 19:50
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes -173 $88 13¢ $-22 -$111 10-21 18:32
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +21 $19 91¢ $19 $0 10-01 11:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +99 $20 17¢ $17 -$3 07-18 10:42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -77 -$12 18¢ $-14 -$2 06-09 08:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +20 $10 66¢ $13 +$3 09-10 18:56
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -187 -$13 5¢ $-9 +$4 07-07 22:07
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes -385 -$42 2¢ $-9 +$34 05-17 03:43
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? Yes +96 $25 8¢ $8 -$17 10-25 08:37
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +24 $10 18¢ $4 -$6 06-27 13:41
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +162 $7 1¢ $1 -$6 08-04 07:53