Realized P&L
+$79
Unrealized P&L
-$651
Hit rate
99.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
751
lifetime
Volume
$33.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$2.56K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 07-20 12:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
71% 100% +$15
Other
24% 50% +$0
Sports
3% 100% +$63
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -3,269 $-392 28¢ $-899 $-507 06-17 12:08
Maduro guilty of all counts? No +963 $803 78¢ $756 $-47 07-20 07:36
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes +694 $352 50¢ $343 $-9 07-16 12:10
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,970 $197 $148 $-49 07-14 14:57
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +304 $168 38¢ $117 $-51 07-19 23:00
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -106 $-106 100¢ $-106 $-0 06-22 10:07
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +222 $50 33¢ $73 +$23 07-15 07:22
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +205 $77 33¢ $68 $-9 07-16 07:27
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -187 $-13 $-14 $-1 07-07 22:07
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes +26 $14 50¢ $13 $-0 06-23 04:54
Will Trump nationalize elections? Yes +87 $13 15¢ $13 +$0 07-07 22:08
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +45 $10 18¢ $8 $-2 07-15 07:19