Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

780

lifetime

Volume

$34.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-08 17:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

71% 100% +$15

Other

24% 50% +$0

Sports

3% 100% +$63

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$3.4K	3,240	2,239	+1,001	open	—	04-06 13:33
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	18	$2.4K	2,454	1,892	+562	open	—	03-08 22:33
iran strike on israel by february 28	8	$1.3K	2,692	688	+2,004	open	—	02-28 22:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$1.0K	636	635	+1	open	—	03-08 22:34
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	10	$912	591	590	+1	open	—	01-29 08:01
Maduro guilty of all counts?	9	$888	1,103	140	+963	open	—	07-27 08:05
Nothing Ever Happens: March	7	$873	1,112	278	+834	open	—	04-15 16:55
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	11	$857	1,068	521	+548	open	—	01-22 21:44
will the us invade iran by march 31	8	$845	3,047	3,047	+0	open	—	03-25 16:02
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	9	$626	262	368	-106	open	—	06-22 10:07
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$600	300	300	+0	open	—	03-01 15:29
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	9	$555	1,520	0	+1,520	open	—	08-04 07:49
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$549	385	348	+37	open	—	02-02 10:26
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	16	$549	4,246	2,870	+1,377	open	—	07-03 12:59
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	20	$479	31,693	225	+31,468	open	—	01-31 11:18
will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	2	$474	260	260	+0	open	—	04-01 21:54
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$465	947	887	+61	open	—	04-01 21:10
tim cook out as apple ceo by march 31	31	$438	3,767	3,767	+0	open	—	03-06 09:48
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	6	$410	1,170	0	+1,170	open	—	04-06 12:48
andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	3	$406	415	0	+415	open	—	07-27 21:15
will israel strike lebanon on march 8 2026	1	$400	413	0	+413	open	—	03-05 20:02
will iran strike jordan in march 375	1	$400	448	0	+448	open	—	03-08 23:01
netanyahu out by march 31 854	10	$397	8,816	8,816	+0	open	—	03-31 16:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$392	0	3,269	-3,269	open	—	06-17 12:08
iran strike on us military by february 28	2	$380	385	0	+385	open	—	02-28 22:35
will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in january	2	$353	404	0	+404	open	—	01-22 08:22
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	2	$352	694	0	+694	open	—	07-16 12:10
Trump out as President before 2027?	16	$333	3,806	0	+3,806	open	—	08-08 17:03
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	5	$331	1,121	692	+429	open	—	04-01 22:00
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	3	$311	164	164	+0	open	—	02-02 21:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 17:03:28	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xdc9742…
08-08 17:03:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x554c7b…
08-07 10:38:43	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0xbd0e51…
08-07 10:38:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xb36944…
08-04 07:49:50	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	723	30¢	$213	0x14a83c…
08-04 07:41:48	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	153	29¢	$44	0x24fffa…
08-02 15:40:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x0ef80e…
08-02 15:39:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x8c640a…
08-02 10:16:33	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x45569c…
08-02 10:15:56	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	BUY	137	37¢	$50	0xf3dad4…
08-02 09:00:17	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb8f6fc…
08-01 20:40:41	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xc3ebbf…
08-01 11:26:14	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0xfa4957…
08-01 11:21:59	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x175dc7…
08-01 11:03:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x053d37…
08-01 11:01:45	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	1,999	1¢	$20	0x816b8e…
07-27 21:15:25	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf19d74…
07-27 20:59:37	Will Trump nationalize elections?	Yes	SELL	153	18¢	$28	0x112384…
07-27 20:01:58	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	SELL	16,165	0¢	$32	0x25ff13…
07-27 19:28:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	700	8¢	$56	0x419ad3…
07-27 10:37:45	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x080464…
07-27 10:27:45	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	136	7¢	$10	0x49ce24…
07-27 08:10:37	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x663462…
07-27 08:05:36	Maduro guilty of all counts?	Yes	SELL	140	25¢	$34	0x679d32…
07-26 09:26:16	Maduro guilty of all counts?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa0f5cc…
07-26 09:26:13	Maduro guilty of all counts?	Yes	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0xab2366…
07-23 10:11:22	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2304e3…
07-23 10:09:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	1,484	0¢	$5	0xdc3155…
07-22 18:49:19	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$6	0xc45136…
07-20 12:44:27	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xe5cc25…
07-20 07:36:39	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	843	1¢	$5	0xdf1728…
07-20 07:36:01	Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x796e53…
07-19 23:00:46	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd1f104…
07-17 11:24:57	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	No	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x090a95…
07-16 12:11:17	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x7666fa…
07-16 12:10:17	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x6746ee…
07-16 07:27:58	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$15	0x510823…
07-16 07:27:31	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0xcc0858…
07-15 07:22:47	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x17adc1…
07-15 07:22:19	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	222	23¢	$50	0x4f30dc…
07-15 07:19:32	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x02689e…
07-14 18:26:02	Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	BUY	121	82¢	$99	0x4cabb6…
07-14 18:25:40	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals mikel merino gte1	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xebaf0f…
07-14 18:25:20	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xbae013…
07-14 18:24:34	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 extra time	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x1e84dd…
07-14 14:57:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x3ce7a0…
07-14 14:57:17	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x81a799…
07-14 14:56:47	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x09511a…
07-14 14:56:10	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	38	40¢	$15	0x4fc721…
07-14 14:56:04	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	27	59¢	$16	0xf35c94…
07-11 17:04:37	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	103	50¢	$52	0xc50b65…
07-10 07:42:10	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x64beae…
07-10 07:41:53	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x8b44dc…
07-09 21:33:14	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	35	62¢	$22	0xd39d72…
07-09 07:16:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	92	70¢	$64	0xc09e5d…
07-08 17:01:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xe54391…
07-07 22:08:17	Will Trump nationalize elections?	Yes	BUY	87	14¢	$13	0x541327…
07-07 22:07:37	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	187	7¢	$13	0x23f2f3…
07-06 22:16:08	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 extra time	No	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0xb8a2e8…
07-06 21:57:07	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	171	7¢	$12	0x0fc1d4…
07-06 21:56:50	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	1,875	1¢	$15	0x33658c…
07-06 21:55:31	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x70d73c…
07-03 12:59:13	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa7031a…
07-02 18:25:44	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0e7863…
07-02 18:25:19	will trump meet with joseph aoun in july 2026 20260626153701915	Yes	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0xf5b800…
07-02 18:24:47	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	34¢	$19	0x58c20c…
07-02 17:36:50	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x996868…
07-02 07:16:20	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa2feae…
06-28 15:23:52	will marco rubio attend nato summit	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x74a1b1…
06-28 15:22:43	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x0a6a40…
06-28 15:11:20	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,324	0¢	$5	0xe553da…
06-28 14:50:22	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb74c2a…
06-27 13:42:53	will jos luis rodrguez zapatero be arrested by june 30	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0xf5f235…
06-27 13:42:07	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xca2695…
06-27 13:41:50	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xc8e3b4…
06-27 13:41:37	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x9f757b…
06-25 21:38:10	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	BUY	72	37¢	$27	0x042116…
06-24 08:54:19	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	494	51¢	$250	0x672f61…
06-24 08:14:02	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x874ea2…
06-23 19:41:11	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x42f2c7…
06-23 19:40:43	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0xaacc17…
06-23 04:54:28	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x80536f…
06-23 04:25:50	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1ef13b…
06-23 03:09:32	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xcef32e…
06-22 17:34:10	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbed44f…
06-22 10:41:13	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xbcf866…
06-22 10:09:13	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x48bea8…
06-22 10:07:31	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x264def…
06-22 10:07:29	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	274	99¢	$272	0xcb8b86…
06-19 13:35:35	will zelenskyy talk to putin by august 31	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x9f7fc4…
06-19 13:35:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	687	6¢	$40	0xf49e9d…
06-19 11:30:55	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	612	10¢	$59	0x6f11eb…
06-19 06:58:52	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x0f161d…
06-18 15:31:13	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	BUY	205	10¢	$20	0x1d7c18…
06-18 15:29:41	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	412	5¢	$20	0x642c22…
06-18 15:29:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0xc15855…
06-18 08:18:43	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x24fc9a…
06-18 08:17:16	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x929c69…
06-18 08:15:25	Maduro guilty of all counts?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xb2366f…
06-17 19:43:35	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	503	1¢	$5	0x5290b8…