Lustrous-Cutlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$1.45K

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$27.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$378

Open exposure

$6.66K

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 07-11 07:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

73% — —

Politics

21% — —

Crypto

4% 60% $-10

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+5,092	$3,600	99¢	$5.0K	+$1,443	07-11 07:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	-1,209	$-1,158	96¢	$-1165	$-7	06-21 05:56
Will Trump nationalize elections?	No	-412	$-354	84¢	$-348	+$6	06-21 05:55
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?	No	-108	$-106	95¢	$-103	+$4	06-21 05:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$5.0K	6,805	0	+6,805	open	—	04-19 17:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$3.6K	5,092	0	+5,092	open	—	07-11 07:53
trump out as president by march 31	2	$3.1K	3,117	0	+3,117	open	—	03-11 08:40
will march 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	3	$2.9K	3,013	0	+3,013	open	—	03-23 04:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$2.3K	2,349	0	+2,349	open	—	04-19 02:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$2.0K	2,310	0	+2,310	open	—	06-21 05:58
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 50 by march 31 794	1	$2.0K	2,009	0	+2,009	open	—	03-11 09:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1.5K	1,596	0	+1,596	open	—	05-14 08:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$1.2K	0	1,209	-1,209	open	—	06-21 05:56
will cadillac double podium at the 2026 chinese grand prix	1	$1.1K	1,120	0	+1,120	open	—	03-14 23:09
will february 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	2	$699	706	0	+706	open	—	03-10 18:46
f1 chinese grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 15	1	$550	556	0	+556	open	—	03-15 00:12
Will Trump nationalize elections?	1	$354	0	412	-412	open	—	06-21 05:55
2026 us senate election republican odds under 50 by march 31	1	$300	424	0	+424	open	—	03-13 06:32
btc updown 5m 1775804100	4	$147	279	0	+279	open	—	04-10 06:59
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?	1	$106	0	108	-108	open	—	06-21 05:52
btc updown 5m 1775805000	3	$90	163	0	+163	open	—	04-10 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$80	162	0	+162	open	—	06-02 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$80	106	0	+106	Down	+$26	05-14 06:09
btc updown 5m 1776121200	2	$72	85	0	+85	open	—	04-13 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$61	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 01:39
btc updown 5m 1775803800	2	$60	95	0	+95	open	—	04-10 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$50	89	0	+89	Up	$-12	05-09 06:29
btc updown 5m 1775806800	2	$50	81	0	+81	open	—	04-10 07:44
btc updown 5m 1775935800	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-11 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	8	$48	50	0	+50	Up	+$2	05-07 02:54
btc updown 5m 1773642600	2	$46	59	58	+1	open	—	03-16 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$40	62	0	+62	open	—	05-15 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$40	133	0	+133	open	—	05-15 05:53
btc updown 5m 1773644100	2	$40	113	0	+113	open	—	03-16 06:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 07:53:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,174	92¢	$2,000	0x6d7927…
07-08 22:07:40	btc updown 5m 1783548300	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa1b13b…
06-29 06:09:50	btc updown 5m 1782713100	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xf0eac8…
06-21 05:58:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0x06302c…
06-21 05:57:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,132	53¢	$600	0x124cf6…
06-21 05:56:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1,209	96¢	$1,158	0x973ca8…
06-21 05:55:13	Will Trump nationalize elections?	No	SELL	412	86¢	$354	0xeedb57…
06-21 05:52:59	Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?	No	SELL	108	98¢	$106	0x054bd4…
06-12 05:14:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,235	81¢	$1,000	0x491af8…
06-12 05:14:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,786	56¢	$1,000	0x7e56da…
06-02 06:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xb55484…
06-02 06:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xb6e9ea…
05-30 21:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x62a06f…
05-27 08:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xe1ac84…
05-18 05:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe32d46…
05-16 19:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x591c80…
05-15 05:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x0d8336…
05-15 05:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x82eefe…
05-14 08:26:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,596	94¢	$1,500	0x44d65d…
05-14 06:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xc703c4…
05-14 06:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x570efb…
05-13 00:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xc9693f…
05-13 00:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xb71686…
05-09 06:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xd06b89…
05-09 06:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x860cf9…
05-07 02:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x7793bd…
05-07 02:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe42db4…
05-07 02:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xdf7425…
05-07 02:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x772b20…
05-07 02:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6e485a…
05-07 02:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xece660…
05-07 02:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x6fcb7e…
05-07 02:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x53784c…
05-07 01:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x914f38…
05-07 01:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xe4bcbc…
04-19 17:14:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,790	71¢	$1,981	0x8ce760…
04-19 02:58:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	2,349	98¢	$2,300	0xcef9d9…
04-17 08:36:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	4,015	75¢	$3,000	0xbd3c25…
04-17 08:28:14	btc updown 5m 1776414300	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xc451fe…
04-13 23:05:03	btc updown 5m 1776121200	Up	BUY	48	88¢	$42	0x307e91…
04-13 23:04:51	btc updown 5m 1776121200	Down	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x16a1ee…
04-11 19:34:39	btc updown 5m 1775935800	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x64a1d8…
04-10 07:59:55	btc updown 5m 1775807700	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x8de16f…
04-10 07:44:59	btc updown 5m 1775806800	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xb025f8…
04-10 07:44:15	btc updown 5m 1775806800	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xa8e62f…
04-10 07:14:47	btc updown 5m 1775805000	Down	BUY	70	58¢	$40	0xca7036…
04-10 07:13:41	btc updown 5m 1775805000	Down	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xb26a44…
04-10 07:12:47	btc updown 5m 1775805000	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x520431…
04-10 07:09:59	btc updown 5m 1775804700	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x99143e…
04-10 07:03:59	btc updown 5m 1775804400	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x8d2a85…
04-10 06:59:57	btc updown 5m 1775804100	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x3746b9…
04-10 06:59:43	btc updown 5m 1775804100	Down	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0x620763…
04-10 06:58:57	btc updown 5m 1775804100	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xb7b529…
04-10 06:58:17	btc updown 5m 1775804100	Down	BUY	110	36¢	$40	0xab34ae…
04-10 06:54:59	btc updown 5m 1775803800	Down	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x3757c1…
04-10 06:54:33	btc updown 5m 1775803800	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xa069d8…
04-05 17:59:57	btc updown 5m 1775411700	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9866a3…
03-23 04:01:31	will march 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	Yes	BUY	158	97¢	$154	0x0dc6c9…
03-22 01:46:13	will march 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	Yes	BUY	185	97¢	$180	0xdb606b…
03-16 06:58:07	btc updown 5m 1773644100	Up	BUY	68	30¢	$20	0xefc162…
03-16 06:57:49	btc updown 5m 1773644100	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x62f672…
03-16 06:34:15	btc updown 5m 1773642600	Up	SELL	58	45¢	$26	0xfc7fd0…
03-16 06:33:23	btc updown 5m 1773642600	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xbd02b5…
03-16 05:54:45	btc updown 5m 1773640200	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x2f5064…
03-16 05:19:37	btc updown 5m 1773638100	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x1a02d2…
03-15 00:12:31	f1 chinese grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 15	No	BUY	556	99¢	$550	0xf59d5b…
03-14 23:09:07	will cadillac double podium at the 2026 chinese grand prix	No	BUY	1,120	100¢	$1,119	0xaa2c5c…
03-13 06:32:27	2026 us senate election republican odds under 50 by march 31	No	BUY	424	71¢	$300	0x1b8089…
03-11 19:35:03	will march 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	Yes	BUY	2,669	97¢	$2,600	0xef017a…
03-11 09:00:31	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 50 by march 31 794	No	BUY	2,009	100¢	$2,000	0xdbe76f…
03-11 08:40:59	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	2,730	99¢	$2,700	0xafda85…
03-11 08:38:49	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	387	99¢	$382	0xad4900…
03-10 18:46:51	will february 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	Yes	BUY	403	99¢	$399	0x729b62…
03-09 22:20:37	will february 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	Yes	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x273784…