Bewitched-Makeup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

0.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,672

lifetime

Volume

$3.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-01 03:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-20

Politics

37% 0% $-0

Sports

11% 50% $-4

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	No	-24	$-18	82¢	$-20	$-1	06-05 08:56
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+200	$19	8¢	$17	$-2	07-01 03:09
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	+10	$3	30¢	$3	$-0	06-22 20:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	22	$263	165	176	-11	open	—	03-07 19:05
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	29	$232	271	272	-1	open	—	03-22 14:31
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	46	$197	227	163	+64	open	—	02-20 16:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	13	$123	118	70	+47	open	—	03-13 21:14
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	8	$121	116	116	+0	open	—	02-28 07:16
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	17	$116	73	73	+0	open	—	02-16 22:27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	5	$115	72	72	+0	open	—	02-28 19:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$109	78	78	+0	open	—	01-31 13:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$99	73	73	+0	open	—	02-28 19:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$85	76	76	+0	open	—	03-29 12:08
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	24	$73	268	216	+52	open	—	04-15 02:19
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	5	$71	50	50	+0	open	—	04-03 11:04
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	12	$68	120	100	+20	open	—	03-28 10:59
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$66	41	41	+0	open	—	02-28 07:47
will jadoodoo win the legend trade series	19	$59	192	53	+139	open	—	04-15 13:50
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$57	37	37	+0	open	—	02-28 07:19
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	2	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	03-15 16:33
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	3	$51	34	34	+0	open	—	03-14 13:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$48	66	66	+0	open	—	02-28 19:30
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	14	$47	146	53	+92	open	—	02-28 16:44
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	2	$45	26	26	+0	open	—	03-08 11:09
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	16	$43	117	117	+0	open	—	04-08 10:19
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	6	$42	41	41	+0	open	—	04-01 21:08
will iran strike israel on march 10	9	$39	105	28	+77	open	—	03-12 17:18
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	6	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	02-11 13:41
will minhxdynasty win the legend trade series	8	$37	225	32	+192	open	—	03-31 00:29
will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	13	$34	100	20	+80	open	—	02-06 12:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	8	$32	18	28	-10	open	—	03-30 15:33
will trumps approval rating be between 39pt0 and 39pt4 on april 3 2026	10	$32	66	30	+36	open	—	04-03 16:57
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	7	$31	23	23	+0	open	—	02-05 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 03:09:37	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x103738…
06-29 07:10:34	trump approval up or down this week 20260626160217532	Up	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xcb455f…
06-25 16:35:49	trump approval up or down this week 20260619212033704	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xdd34f5…
06-25 14:04:59	will g2 esports make a roster change before september 20260623161043714	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe451cc…
06-23 00:08:04	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xd70394…
06-23 00:04:56	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x43a192…
06-22 23:57:02	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xc0be13…
06-22 23:13:34	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x6a4eb9…
06-22 23:09:59	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x7e4851…
06-22 22:27:32	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x027673…
06-22 21:42:07	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x6a95b6…
06-22 21:34:04	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x7a8b88…
06-22 20:04:17	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xeb1826…
06-22 10:57:29	trump approval up or down this week 20260619212033704	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x1af676…
06-19 00:40:14	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x91678f…
06-18 15:52:47	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	407	0¢	$2	0x3684a9…
06-14 03:21:16	nba finals game 1 winner to be champion	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x627928…
06-14 03:18:54	nba finals game 1 winner to be champion	No	BUY	95	4¢	$4	0x6d4944…
06-12 17:26:15	jung chung rae out as dp leader in 2026	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x249fb0…
06-12 17:01:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0xdb6784…
06-12 16:32:27	trump approval up or down this week 741	Up	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xabfb11…
06-12 16:28:36	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x4841aa…
06-12 14:48:13	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x2e54ea…
06-12 13:57:42	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xf6612b…
06-11 18:53:51	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x2381a3…
06-11 10:18:24	trump approval up or down this week 741	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xb8e5e8…
06-11 10:18:24	trump approval up or down this week 741	Up	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0xb8e5e8…
06-09 13:12:58	trump approval up or down this week 741	Up	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xe52538…
06-07 20:07:55	another blue origin rocket explodes by oct 31	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x71c19b…
06-05 20:57:28	will donald trump dance on june 5 2026 20260602150034328	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xae346d…
06-05 20:57:25	will donald trump dance on june 5 2026 20260602150034328	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1fa920…
06-05 16:09:01	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x54a1a8…
06-05 08:56:39	Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	No	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0x394ba0…
06-04 13:58:03	another rfk jr animal rescue by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xedec08…
06-04 03:55:25	jung chung rae out as dp leader in 2026	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xb0d90a…
06-03 21:29:58	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	215	1¢	$3	0xbefc45…
06-03 15:26:13	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xfdc525…
06-03 15:00:03	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc456d7…
06-01 08:23:31	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x1f99b5…
05-31 08:15:01	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% by the end of May?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x030305…
05-29 19:53:35	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0xea2712…
05-29 19:19:11	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x181433…
05-29 16:52:38	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xa894ae…
05-28 12:21:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x224af1…
05-25 13:51:11	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x5de028…
05-25 12:31:30	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xfd09aa…
05-25 12:28:37	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x027c24…
05-25 04:34:08	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x36afca…
05-22 16:14:17	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xe96460…
05-22 15:34:48	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x8a473d…
05-21 20:21:17	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x675078…
05-21 15:31:52	Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x05d798…
05-20 08:57:13	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x5818bb…
05-20 04:15:49	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x306cc8…
05-19 14:38:10	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" this week?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x560ac4…
05-18 23:16:26	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x4edc86…
05-18 12:31:29	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x5f0a54…
05-18 11:46:55	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x770814…
05-17 22:25:40	PGA Championship: Playoff?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1af063…
05-17 22:25:14	PGA Championship: Playoff?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x644cd3…
05-17 22:23:34	PGA Championship: Playoff?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0x7b6c10…
05-17 22:18:30	PGA Championship: Playoff?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xad36f8…
05-16 23:15:32	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x4b5df2…
05-16 21:55:32	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9b81ef…
05-16 20:02:09	Will Legacy make it to the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2d61c9…
05-16 18:20:32	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x89e6f7…
05-16 18:03:57	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xd1d49c…
05-16 13:18:10	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xb78c0f…
05-15 22:53:52	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xe6478c…
05-15 13:26:59	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xd6adc1…
05-14 12:56:52	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x0f131b…
05-14 02:31:29	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	135	2¢	$3	0x2e2378…
05-14 02:19:17	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xc2679a…
05-13 16:15:10	Will Vitality make it to the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcc9ff9…
05-12 16:01:10	Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	No	BUY	171	1¢	$2	0x33ba0b…
05-12 13:50:30	Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x0e63ef…
05-12 09:51:15	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% by the end of May?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x678725…
05-12 09:51:01	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% by the end of May?	No	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x773063…
05-12 08:48:12	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x468525…
05-12 02:55:22	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xc85d78…
05-11 20:48:53	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x841fe6…
05-11 20:45:09	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x3fa43d…
05-10 11:24:14	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0xf778d6…
05-10 11:15:32	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xbccbdc…
05-10 02:43:03	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x2f34d1…
05-09 14:37:04	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x9003d8…
05-09 14:32:52	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x268927…
05-09 09:35:29	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x79aa1d…
05-09 00:37:14	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9d57ae…
05-08 14:07:53	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0f8a57…
05-08 11:14:09	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x383b7f…
05-08 01:10:26	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x21e87c…
05-07 00:54:19	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xef56ae…
05-07 00:54:19	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x7b7947…
05-07 00:54:19	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x5e1d38…
05-07 00:54:19	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x1ebb7f…
05-06 22:45:32	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x72ed1c…
05-06 16:37:36	FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x3286a0…
05-06 16:37:13	FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x08b4b2…
05-03 20:47:38	Will there be a Zeus kill in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 playoffs?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0xa7fe30…