Sweaty-Background 0xb62639…6d2138 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$579
Unrealized P&L
-$309
Hit rate
76.8%
Resolved
276
Trades
1,014
lifetime
Volume
$37.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$898
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 06:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Other
71% 66% -$384
Politics
28% 67% -$188
Crypto
1% 59% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? Yes +409 $38 87¢ $357 +$319 11-06 06:17
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,832 $229 2¢ $129 -$100 11-05 07:01
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +17,417 $140 1¢ $96 -$44 08-27 19:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -95 -$93 98¢ $-94 $0 11-04 16:05
Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes +569 $35 9¢ $51 +$16 11-04 11:46
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +868 $4 4¢ $39 +$34 11-04 09:25
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? Yes +362 $118 10¢ $36 -$82 11-08 15:40
Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026? Yes +496 $105 6¢ $32 -$72 11-13 06:46
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -27 -$26 98¢ $-26 $0 11-04 20:51
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +143 $210 16¢ $24 -$186 11-04 19:33
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026? Yes +18 $13 63¢ $11 -$2 11-13 06:46
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? Yes +903 $88 0¢ $3 -$85 11-04 20:45
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? Yes +457 $88 0¢ $1 -$87 11-04 20:21
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? Yes +244 $19 0¢ $0 -$19 11-04 11:32