Realized P&L
+$17
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
80.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
47
lifetime
Volume
$1.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$1.02K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 11-01 12:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
70% — —
Other
30% 67% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +321 $210 72¢ $229 +$19 11-01 12:49
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +173 $107 76¢ $131 +$24 10-14 13:53
russia military action against eu country by december 31 2026 No +130 $120 94¢ $123 +$3 10-14 14:42
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +156 $100 74¢ $115 +$15 10-14 14:32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +110 $100 94¢ $104 +$4 10-14 14:32
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +132 $101 78¢ $103 +$2 10-14 13:59
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +273 $100 33¢ $90 -$10 10-14 14:31
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +125 $100 62¢ $78 -$22 10-14 14:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +20 $15 74¢ $15 $0 11-01 12:49
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-14 14:40
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +19 $10 46¢ $9 -$1 10-14 14:56
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 10-14 12:47
us iran ceasefire continues through the midterms Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-14 13:12
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-14 13:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 10-14 13:30
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-14 13:39
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $0 10-14 13:45
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 10-14 13:48