Realized P&L (30d)
+$186
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
88.4%
Resolved (30d)
16
Trades (30d)
55
59 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.43K
$2.47K lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$1.40K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 11-06 18:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
77% 86% +$169
Other
23% 67% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +300 $288 97¢ $292 +$4 11-05 02:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +271 $164 62¢ $169 +$5 11-06 02:13
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026? No +143 $100 100¢ $143 +$43 11-04 16:31
Will Democrats win white women in the midterms? Yes +130 $100 99¢ $129 +$29 10-14 14:56
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +900 $134 14¢ $126 -$9 11-05 05:23
russia military action against eu country by december 31 2026 No +130 $120 94¢ $123 +$3 10-14 14:42
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +123 $100 76¢ $93 -$7 11-04 16:34
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +100 $94 90¢ $90 -$4 11-05 02:13
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +132 $101 68¢ $89 -$12 10-14 13:59
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +273 $100 31¢ $85 -$15 10-14 14:31
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +25 $20 81¢ $20 +$0 11-06 18:06
Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms? Yes +13 $10 99¢ $13 +$3 10-14 14:57
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +19 $10 61¢ $12 +$2 10-14 14:56
will trump be impeached by december 31 2027 Yes +16 $11 57¢ $9 -$2 10-14 13:58
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-14 13:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 10-14 13:30
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-14 13:40
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-14 13:39
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 10-14 13:42
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 10-14 13:48
will trumps approval rating hit 36 in 2026 Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 $0 10-14 13:36