Realized P&L
+$31.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.99K
Hit rate
70.7%
Resolved
1,722
Trades
29,467
lifetime
Volume
$2.14M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$60.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 08:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 252 days
Categories
Other
46% 54% +$23,952
Politics
38% 52% -$10,051
Sports
8% 46% +$3,573
Tech
5% 67% +$7,174
Crypto
3% 73% +$6,980
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$310
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 532 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +9,844 $6,947 88¢ $8.7K +$1,716 10-15 20:45
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +8,642 $5,796 68¢ $5.9K +$81 10-21 22:10
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +19,321 $5,055 26¢ $4.9K -$128 10-27 08:52
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? No +8,030 $3,879 48¢ $3.9K -$25 10-18 21:45
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +4,410 $3,333 84¢ $3.7K +$394 10-26 13:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,790 96¢ $2.9K +$90 10-25 17:15
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,809 96¢ $2.9K +$59 09-13 22:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,395 $3,670 37¢ $2.7K -$959 10-18 19:11
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +6,116 $2,716 40¢ $2.4K -$300 10-21 07:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +2,451 $2,374 98¢ $2.4K +$16 09-21 15:50
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +2,907 $910 80¢ $2.3K +$1,416 09-12 12:59
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +2,428 $818 86¢ $2.1K +$1,270 08-26 18:20
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +1,998 $1,615 98¢ $2.0K +$345 09-18 05:33
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +2,060 $1,530 88¢ $1.8K +$272 10-21 04:47
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +1,499 $474 87¢ $1.3K +$831 09-12 14:35
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +1,500 $1,270 86¢ $1.3K +$20 09-19 12:50
will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628 No +1,238 $990 93¢ $1.1K +$158 07-17 00:00
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +1,100 $1,012 98¢ $1.1K +$63 10-12 12:52
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +1,079 $996 99¢ $1.1K +$73 10-12 15:38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,383 $1,107 74¢ $1.0K -$77 10-13 05:30
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +2,207 $133 41¢ $905 +$772 10-15 19:20
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +818 $745 94¢ $773 +$29 08-19 21:18
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +696 $562 91¢ $636 +$74 10-13 02:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +500 $350 92¢ $462 +$112 06-20 04:33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +500 $348 87¢ $433 +$84 10-14 11:48
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +491 $203 87¢ $427 +$225 10-15 07:12
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +402 $369 98¢ $394 +$24 09-08 12:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5,485 $51 7¢ $378 +$327 10-27 02:05
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +300 $264 98¢ $294 +$30 09-16 04:05
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +259 $248 97¢ $251 +$3 09-29 23:23