Realized P&L
-$341
Unrealized P&L
+$1.05K
Hit rate
81.6%
Resolved
15
Trades
14,533
lifetime
Volume
$1.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$28.1K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-28 17:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
51% 78% $-2,126
Other
35% 67% +$1,922
Tech
5%
Sports
5% 33% $-137
Crypto
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 324 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -10,000 $-9,970 100¢ $-9990 $-20 06-23 16:23
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +5,022 $4,680 100¢ $5.0K +$334 06-12 18:52
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +11,615 $5,150 42¢ $4.8K $-330 06-25 14:04
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +3,580 $3,496 100¢ $3.6K +$80 06-06 00:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,844 $1,422 68¢ $1.9K +$498 06-14 16:07
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +1,000 $923 100¢ $999 +$76 06-22 03:14
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +1,000 $943 100¢ $998 +$55 06-11 13:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +289 $182 99¢ $288 +$105 05-28 22:25
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +211 $172 99¢ $209 +$37 05-29 06:44
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +200 $78 52¢ $105 +$27 05-31 23:36
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +89 $88 99¢ $88 +$0 06-22 06:39
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? No -42 $-39 92¢ $-39 +$0 06-01 07:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -4,053 $-204 $-22 +$181 06-14 20:44
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +26 $16 72¢ $19 +$3 06-18 11:15