Realized P&L (7d)
-$6.70K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.94K
Hit rate
38.3%
Resolved (7d)
35
Trades (7d)
625
30,629 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$56.0K
$2.23M lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$74.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 16:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 265 days
Categories
Other
47% 54% +$19,652
Politics
37% 52% -$8,279
Sports
8% 46% +$3,573
Tech
5% 68% +$7,426
Crypto
3% 73% +$6,980
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$310
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 532 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +8,844 $6,047 94¢ $8.3K +$2,223 11-13 03:59
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +8,642 $5,796 84¢ $7.2K +$1,421 10-21 22:10
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +6,695 $4,312 90¢ $6.1K +$1,747 11-07 20:01
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +19,266 $5,038 21¢ $4.0K -$993 10-30 19:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +4,588 $4,282 78¢ $3.6K -$685 11-08 22:09
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +3,500 $3,220 99¢ $3.5K +$261 11-04 05:12
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? No +3,082 $2,855 95¢ $2.9K +$86 11-06 10:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3,548 $2,169 82¢ $2.9K +$758 11-12 13:42
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,809 97¢ $2.9K +$109 09-13 22:18
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +2,907 $910 86¢ $2.5K +$1,575 09-12 12:59
Will AfD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? No +2,442 $2,340 97¢ $2.4K +$26 10-15 19:06
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +2,428 $818 80¢ $2.0K +$1,136 08-26 18:20
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +1,998 $1,615 97¢ $1.9K +$326 09-18 05:33
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +2,000 $1,695 94¢ $1.9K +$185 10-29 17:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,395 $3,670 24¢ $1.8K -$1,891 10-18 19:11
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +2,036 $1,065 84¢ $1.7K +$646 11-12 17:41
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? No +6,780 $3,324 24¢ $1.7K -$1,663 10-30 07:21
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +2,199 $1,295 72¢ $1.6K +$289 11-11 01:39
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +1,916 $1,513 80¢ $1.5K +$29 11-12 01:46
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +2,060 $1,530 70¢ $1.5K -$78 10-21 04:47
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? No +3,424 $1,582 41¢ $1.4K -$179 11-11 02:17
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? No +3,345 $2,014 42¢ $1.4K -$626 10-16 11:32
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +1,499 $474 92¢ $1.4K +$908 09-12 14:35
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026? No +1,407 $1,200 96¢ $1.3K +$147 11-03 20:45
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? No +1,653 $461 78¢ $1.3K +$837 09-26 05:25
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +6,479 $2,821 20¢ $1.3K -$1,558 11-05 02:42
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? No +2,393 $1,375 51¢ $1.2K -$155 11-10 22:47
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +1,238 $990 97¢ $1.2K +$215 07-17 00:00
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +3,720 $934 29¢ $1.1K +$144 11-12 03:30
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,100 $331 93¢ $1.0K +$697 11-09 17:24