Realized P&L (7d)
-$6.70K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.94K
Hit rate
38.3%
Resolved (7d)
35
Trades (7d)
625
30,629 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$56.0K
$2.23M lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$74.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 16:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 265 days
Categories
Other
47%
54%
+$19,652
Politics
37%
52%
-$8,279
Sports
8%
46%
+$3,573
Tech
5%
68%
+$7,426
Crypto
3%
73%
+$6,980
Pop-Culture
0%
75%
+$310
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 532 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 171 | $42.2K | 50,904 | 50,904 | +0 | Yes | -$1,972 | 06-15 21:52 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 354 | $42.1K | 126,754 | 125,100 | +1,654 | Yes | +$3,246 | 04-08 17:34 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 267 | $37.8K | 28,876 | 28,876 | +0 | No | +$4,058 | 10-25 00:07 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 133 | $29.5K | 52,001 | 52,001 | +0 | Yes | +$1,664 | 04-29 17:21 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 127 | $25.7K | 91,702 | 81,907 | +9,795 | No | +$1,423 | 03-22 16:36 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | 13 | $20.8K | 11,422 | 10,000 | +1,422 | No | +$525 | 06-23 16:23 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 218 | $20.6K | 67,137 | 73,804 | -6,666 | No | -$2,092 | 03-20 07:00 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2 | $19.9K | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | No | +$140 | 07-07 17:12 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 236 | $19.4K | 28,100 | 28,125 | -25 | No | +$2,137 | 10-24 22:04 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252 | 46 | $19.1K | 24,985 | 23,513 | +1,473 | Yes | +$2,252 | 06-15 21:41 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 80 | $17.9K | 33,861 | 27,261 | +6,600 | No | +$2,229 | 05-28 22:05 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 105 | $17.2K | 19,000 | 19,000 | +0 | Yes | -$10,458 | 03-02 23:26 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 13 | $16.6K | 22,950 | 19,500 | +3,450 | No | +$210 | 01-26 21:32 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 99 | $15.8K | 20,823 | 16,851 | +3,971 | Yes | +$2,038 | 10-25 00:07 |
| us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 | 18 | $15.6K | 10,688 | 10,688 | +0 | open | — | 08-20 17:19 |
| spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t | 25 | $14.9K | 15,825 | 474 | +15,352 | No | +$1,127 | 06-12 17:24 |
| strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | 53 | $14.7K | 43,534 | 37,354 | +6,180 | No | +$439 | 08-06 12:05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | 139 | $14.7K | 49,782 | 42,782 | +7,000 | No | +$803 | 09-13 14:23 |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | 129 | $14.6K | 22,962 | 20,023 | +2,940 | No | -$4,262 | 09-06 16:07 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31 | 28 | $14.4K | 9,944 | 4,927 | +5,016 | No | +$111 | 01-30 20:03 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 529 | $14.2K | 202,838 | 199,994 | +2,844 | No | -$1,823 | 07-21 23:22 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 103 | $14.0K | 19,640 | 19,640 | +0 | No | +$1,702 | 04-09 18:49 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | 115 | $13.9K | 11,390 | 11,390 | +0 | open | — | 11-10 01:25 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 129 | $13.5K | 29,753 | 31,874 | -2,122 | No | +$1,469 | 06-14 20:45 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 78 | $13.4K | 29,914 | 29,914 | +0 | No | +$598 | 04-19 16:01 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | 66 | $12.7K | 14,244 | 12,827 | +1,417 | No | +$3,627 | 06-12 18:52 |
| will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706 | 9 | $12.6K | 8,010 | 8,010 | +0 | Yes | +$856 | 08-11 01:15 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | 64 | $12.4K | 8,270 | 8,270 | +0 | No | +$680 | 09-14 09:12 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 90 | $12.1K | 17,362 | 8,376 | +8,986 | Yes | +$3,719 | 05-29 00:03 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T | 32 | $12.0K | 4,554 | 9,087 | -4,534 | No | -$111 | 06-12 12:42 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||