Realized P&L
-$154
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
14.4%
Resolved
787
Trades
120,265
lifetime
Volume
$3.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$71
2 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 07-02 08:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Other
38%
19%
-$77
Sports
33%
17%
-$20
Politics
22%
30%
-$55
Crypto
6%
23%
-$2
Tech
0%
38%
+$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | -71 | -$70 | 100¢ | $-71 | -$1 | 04-30 21:05 | |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | +0 | $0 | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 | 06-03 14:21 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 5,334 | $170.0K | 85,792 | 85,904 | -112 | No | -$2 | 05-13 11:43 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | 3,512 | $157.4K | 79,029 | 79,029 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-11 10:04 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,469 | $94.3K | 47,729 | 47,869 | -140 | No | -$3 | 05-16 04:10 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,532 | $92.4K | 46,380 | 46,460 | -80 | No | $0 | 04-30 22:39 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 2,785 | $86.2K | 43,313 | 43,313 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-16 04:40 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 3,076 | $81.6K | 41,682 | 41,682 | +0 | Yes | -$1 | 06-16 19:37 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,990 | $81.4K | 41,785 | 41,825 | -39 | No | $0 | 05-18 01:54 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,958 | $76.3K | 38,713 | 39,051 | -339 | No | -$6 | 05-12 04:59 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,404 | $72.2K | 36,883 | 36,883 | +0 | No | -$1 | 05-26 01:48 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 1,977 | $68.0K | 34,609 | 34,609 | +0 | No | -$1 | 05-22 14:24 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 2,250 | $65.8K | 33,140 | 33,140 | +0 | No | +$0 | 06-16 18:34 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 2,620 | $62.1K | 31,442 | 31,442 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-18 04:53 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 2,222 | $59.8K | 30,424 | 30,424 | +0 | No | -$2 | 06-28 03:45 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 2,019 | $56.2K | 28,421 | 28,421 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-16 18:26 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | 1,802 | $56.1K | 28,272 | 28,272 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-17 10:22 |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,602 | $48.3K | 24,289 | 24,324 | -35 | No | $0 | 05-02 03:15 |
| Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | 1,343 | $46.0K | 23,109 | 23,109 | +0 | No | +$0 | 05-08 08:03 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | 1,498 | $45.1K | 22,992 | 22,992 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 05-26 01:18 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,470 | $43.4K | 21,759 | 21,809 | -50 | No | $0 | 05-04 01:45 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 1,612 | $43.0K | 21,698 | 21,698 | +0 | No | -$1 | 05-29 18:25 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1,576 | $39.7K | 20,079 | 20,079 | +0 | No | $0 | 07-01 15:17 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 1,225 | $37.5K | 19,116 | 19,139 | -23 | No | $0 | 05-16 06:41 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1,214 | $35.3K | 17,977 | 17,977 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-29 18:59 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | 863 | $34.4K | 17,234 | 17,234 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-11 20:11 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | 1,132 | $34.2K | 17,499 | 17,499 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-14 16:56 |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | 903 | $33.7K | 17,018 | 17,018 | +0 | No | +$0 | 05-28 03:35 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,188 | $33.4K | 16,770 | 16,872 | -102 | No | -$1 | 05-03 17:10 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | 1,114 | $31.9K | 16,178 | 16,178 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-21 16:08 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | 839 | $29.5K | 14,849 | 14,849 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-14 23:55 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | 994 | $28.5K | 14,517 | 14,517 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 05-17 13:49 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||