Realized P&L (90d)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (90d)
1
Trades (90d)
92
92 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.45K
$3.45K lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$3.13K
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 14:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
66%
Politics
18% 0% $-1
Sports
15%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -1,291 $-1,272 98¢ $-1270 +$2 05-06 02:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? No -458 $-453 99¢ $-453 $-0 05-06 13:37
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? No -315 $-307 98¢ $-310 $-3 05-06 12:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 6? No -288 $-287 100¢ $-287 +$0 05-06 13:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No -219 $-213 95¢ $-207 +$6 05-05 18:34
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? Yes -156 $-155 100¢ $-155 +$0 05-06 14:12
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -155 $-153 98¢ $-153 $-0 05-05 12:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No -91 $-88 98¢ $-89 $-0 05-06 12:12
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -81 $-80 99¢ $-80 +$0 05-06 02:03
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -26 $-26 99¢ $-26 +$0 05-05 12:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No +26 $26 99¢ $26 $-0 05-05 13:15
Trump out as President by May 31? No -25 $-25 99¢ $-25 $-0 05-05 19:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? No -24 $-24 93¢ $-22 +$1 05-05 20:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? No -18 $-18 97¢ $-18 +$0 05-05 09:50
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? No +7 $6 99¢ $6 $-0 05-05 03:35
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 +$0 05-05 05:29