Quirky-Parenthesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.5%

Resolved

Trades

57,149

lifetime

Volume

$1.46M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-18 15:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

41% 17% $-2

Politics

33% 50% $-17

Sports

18% 0% $-4

Crypto

7% 14% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 4089 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4,302	$124.6K	63,013	63,163	-150	No	$-2	04-28 00:50
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2,796	$86.6K	43,479	43,521	-42	open	—	04-28 02:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2,098	$57.8K	29,415	29,439	-24	open	—	06-18 15:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2,204	$57.1K	28,988	29,052	-64	open	—	05-30 19:45
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2,699	$56.6K	28,432	28,514	-82	open	—	04-28 07:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1,550	$49.9K	25,642	25,655	-13	open	—	06-16 17:53
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,134	$39.9K	20,487	20,494	-7	open	—	04-28 07:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1,523	$39.3K	19,737	19,924	-188	open	—	05-29 09:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1,207	$35.8K	18,100	18,137	-37	open	—	05-27 15:01
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1,202	$33.2K	16,714	16,714	+0	open	—	05-15 05:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	791	$30.6K	15,355	15,362	-7	No	$-1	05-12 08:02
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,370	$26.7K	13,474	13,737	-262	No	$-3	04-23 23:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1,051	$26.6K	13,540	13,539	+1	open	—	05-16 06:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	498	$21.7K	10,951	10,950	+1	open	—	05-14 23:55
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	547	$20.4K	10,202	10,202	+0	open	—	05-17 01:01
Trump out as President by May 31?	369	$18.7K	9,448	9,469	-21	open	—	05-28 03:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	467	$18.5K	9,453	9,471	-19	open	—	05-23 02:33
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	851	$18.4K	9,220	9,209	+12	open	—	04-26 19:42
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	560	$18.1K	9,215	9,215	+0	Yes	$-0	04-28 06:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	755	$17.6K	8,907	8,989	-82	open	—	04-30 23:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	589	$17.5K	8,799	8,799	+0	open	—	05-14 07:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	924	$16.6K	8,435	8,437	-2	open	—	05-30 22:39
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	444	$15.7K	7,837	8,021	-184	open	—	05-11 18:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	454	$14.9K	7,574	7,574	+0	open	—	04-29 06:49
Trump out as President by June 30?	528	$14.6K	7,377	7,358	+19	open	—	06-18 07:14
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	433	$14.1K	7,099	7,059	+40	open	—	06-15 01:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	676	$13.5K	6,835	6,878	-43	open	—	04-29 21:21
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	556	$12.9K	6,511	6,582	-70	open	—	06-17 18:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	453	$12.4K	6,220	6,286	-66	open	—	06-04 00:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	378	$12.3K	6,335	6,314	+20	open	—	06-15 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 15:29:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x957077…
06-18 15:29:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x76275c…
06-18 15:29:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf6375d…
06-18 15:27:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xa76f41…
06-18 15:20:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xa883a7…
06-18 15:19:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x83c918…
06-18 15:19:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe5e99f…
06-18 15:19:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7a60df…
06-18 15:18:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb638e7…
06-18 15:18:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa064f8…
06-18 15:18:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x94bb7a…
06-18 15:18:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xde4b5e…
06-18 15:18:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80be7b…
06-18 15:17:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x4a0f5b…
06-18 15:17:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x33e088…
06-18 15:17:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xaadf8b…
06-18 15:17:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xded139…
06-18 15:17:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x92d0c0…
06-18 15:17:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x09874e…
06-18 15:17:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x02a580…
06-18 15:17:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x06cdf5…
06-18 15:16:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9bb6e5…
06-18 15:16:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd93adb…
06-18 15:16:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xccd3b3…
06-18 15:16:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3a7ac4…
06-18 15:16:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x280088…
06-18 15:16:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xea3d03…
06-18 15:16:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x1e49b1…
06-18 15:16:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xefaaa8…
06-18 15:14:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x1688cf…
06-18 14:57:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf3a61d…
06-18 14:50:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x7e6e03…
06-18 14:42:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7830ec…
06-18 14:42:20	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x329110…
06-18 14:21:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x402e28…
06-18 14:20:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xdccfd5…
06-18 14:13:35	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa0289d…
06-18 14:11:23	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x135596…
06-18 13:40:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xdecf4b…
06-18 11:09:17	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xcee4ae…
06-18 11:09:14	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8ccf08…
06-18 08:12:13	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xee7583…
06-18 08:12:11	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x87e9f7…
06-18 07:14:14	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc0b432…
06-18 07:14:11	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3f78fb…
06-18 06:44:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x55510c…
06-18 06:29:41	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x7b81c5…
06-18 06:29:38	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x086181…
06-18 06:11:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xdf519a…
06-18 05:55:26	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x3aefd6…
06-18 05:55:02	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x2d3787…
06-18 05:54:47	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x0a1ae3…
06-18 05:54:35	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xf0a467…
06-18 05:36:32	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x7c4172…
06-18 05:36:31	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x32154b…
06-18 05:28:10	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xec0d9a…
06-18 05:19:29	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x81238c…
06-18 05:13:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3f3ca7…
06-18 05:13:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x592446…
06-18 04:42:41	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x89d4c9…
06-18 04:42:38	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8bdd6b…
06-18 04:37:53	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x708848…
06-18 04:26:28	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9cb6f4…
06-18 04:19:25	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x29aea0…
06-18 04:19:22	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfcdfd5…
06-18 04:18:02	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x25d7a1…
06-18 04:12:55	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8dc3b4…
06-18 04:12:53	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb8ad05…
06-18 04:09:20	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x541fdc…
06-18 04:09:16	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x639062…
06-18 04:09:16	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62de6c…
06-18 04:09:13	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x62e702…
06-18 03:38:20	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8920f5…
06-18 03:38:05	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x06b2d1…
06-18 03:38:02	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x89c190…
06-18 03:38:02	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x366d1e…
06-18 03:37:17	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xd63737…
06-18 03:36:10	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3f59f2…
06-18 03:35:34	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xcf992b…
06-18 03:27:19	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x291b4a…
06-18 03:26:53	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1a8e05…
06-18 03:26:37	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7a33e5…
06-18 03:26:35	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaf09bc…
06-18 03:26:34	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8c2d31…
06-18 03:10:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb93633…
06-18 03:09:52	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x042f7a…
06-18 03:08:19	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2d6c1e…
06-18 03:08:16	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeda8e9…
06-18 02:47:10	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x94d97a…
06-18 02:45:56	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x59b433…
06-18 02:13:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x844397…
06-18 02:13:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x60fcaf…
06-18 02:13:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4288f7…
06-18 02:12:29	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x6d6d39…
06-18 02:12:26	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfea5a0…
06-18 02:04:05	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2579a6…
06-18 02:04:02	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa86df2…
06-18 02:02:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x5a078a…
06-18 02:02:34	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x19b9c2…
06-18 02:02:07	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4d0cd0…