Realized P&L
-$178
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
14.7%
Resolved
819
Trades
115,121
lifetime
Volume
$3.73M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$92
3 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 06-18 14:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
39%
17%
-$87
Sports
31%
15%
-$35
Politics
23%
26%
-$53
Crypto
7%
23%
-$3
Tech
0%
8%
$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | -53 | -$52 | 100¢ | $-53 | $0 | 05-02 21:04 | |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | -40 | -$40 | 100¢ | $-40 | $0 | 04-28 13:35 | |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | +0 | $0 | 100¢ | $0 | $0 | 05-11 04:11 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | 4,934 | $249.8K | 125,393 | 125,393 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-11 10:04 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 6,085 | $231.9K | 116,749 | 117,242 | -493 | No | -$7 | 05-13 19:29 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,916 | $162.3K | 82,037 | 82,337 | -299 | No | -$6 | 05-16 04:10 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,110 | $118.6K | 60,077 | 60,595 | -518 | No | -$8 | 05-12 04:59 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 3,867 | $111.4K | 56,847 | 56,847 | +0 | Yes | -$1 | 06-16 18:09 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 2,876 | $109.4K | 55,556 | 55,589 | -33 | No | -$2 | 05-30 19:45 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 3,163 | $98.6K | 50,384 | 50,413 | -29 | No | -$1 | 06-18 14:42 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 2,464 | $89.9K | 45,333 | 45,333 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-17 05:13 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | 2,347 | $86.7K | 43,726 | 43,726 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-17 09:07 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,694 | $77.9K | 40,008 | 40,064 | -57 | No | -$2 | 05-18 01:54 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,315 | $71.1K | 36,263 | 36,263 | +0 | No | -$1 | 05-26 01:48 |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,731 | $64.9K | 32,678 | 32,704 | -26 | No | $0 | 05-02 03:15 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | 1,245 | $64.1K | 32,403 | 32,403 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-27 14:40 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,498 | $63.2K | 31,763 | 31,763 | -0 | No | $0 | 04-30 22:59 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 2,474 | $62.2K | 31,489 | 31,489 | +0 | No | -$2 | 06-18 04:52 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 1,961 | $61.4K | 31,020 | 31,020 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-17 05:22 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | 1,036 | $58.1K | 29,119 | 29,136 | -17 | No | -$1 | 05-12 08:02 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 1,398 | $56.8K | 28,807 | 28,717 | +90 | Yes | +$1 | 05-13 08:17 |
| Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | 1,510 | $53.0K | 26,634 | 26,634 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-16 14:19 |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | 1,297 | $51.0K | 25,814 | 25,814 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-28 03:35 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 1,174 | $49.2K | 25,117 | 25,206 | -90 | No | -$3 | 05-16 06:41 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,281 | $42.9K | 21,584 | 21,616 | -32 | No | +$1 | 05-03 16:56 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 1,354 | $42.6K | 21,472 | 21,472 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-29 18:25 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | 1,116 | $38.3K | 19,271 | 19,271 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-15 05:55 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | 1,170 | $38.1K | 19,474 | 19,474 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-14 16:56 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | 779 | $37.2K | 18,601 | 18,862 | -261 | No | -$8 | 05-11 18:17 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | 1,174 | $35.8K | 18,248 | 18,248 | +0 | Yes | +$0 | 05-26 01:18 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1,981 | $33.8K | 17,151 | 17,151 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-23 21:03 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,095 | $33.1K | 16,637 | 16,637 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-04 01:45 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 1,217 | $33.0K | 16,524 | 16,524 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-16 04:40 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||