Realized P&L
-$110
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
18.9%
Resolved
359
Trades
43,571
lifetime
Volume
$990.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$10
2 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 07-13 20:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
37%
24%
-$92
Sports
29%
12%
+$3
Politics
25%
28%
-$20
Crypto
9%
20%
$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | -10 | -$10 | 100¢ | $-10 | $0 | 04-29 09:13 | |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | +0 | $0 | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 | 05-25 14:52 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | 2,400 | $68.8K | 34,545 | 34,545 | +0 | No | +$0 | 05-11 10:04 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | 1,931 | $57.4K | 28,948 | 28,948 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-26 19:03 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,009 | $51.4K | 26,207 | 26,207 | +0 | No | -$1 | 05-26 01:48 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 1,785 | $47.4K | 24,069 | 24,142 | -73 | No | -$2 | 05-27 14:18 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 1,123 | $40.0K | 20,027 | 20,027 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-13 11:51 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 1,734 | $36.3K | 18,602 | 18,602 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 05-27 13:13 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | 1,188 | $36.1K | 18,403 | 18,403 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 05-26 01:18 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,211 | $35.6K | 18,103 | 18,103 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-12 04:59 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 1,310 | $33.9K | 17,072 | 17,072 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-25 10:30 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 1,301 | $27.2K | 13,794 | 13,794 | +0 | No | -$1 | 05-25 23:24 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | 1,072 | $26.6K | 13,548 | 13,548 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 05-17 13:10 |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | 1,016 | $25.2K | 12,754 | 12,749 | +5 | No | +$0 | 05-24 16:15 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | 783 | $22.8K | 11,541 | 11,541 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-27 11:42 |
| Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | 752 | $22.2K | 11,173 | 11,173 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-08 07:42 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 935 | $21.0K | 10,699 | 10,699 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-16 06:41 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 1,148 | $19.4K | 9,840 | 9,840 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-27 13:29 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | 422 | $16.9K | 8,583 | 8,583 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-24 00:42 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | 609 | $16.3K | 8,193 | 8,193 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-12 08:05 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 683 | $15.9K | 8,082 | 8,082 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-27 13:59 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | 834 | $15.0K | 7,555 | 7,555 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-15 05:55 |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? | 546 | $12.1K | 6,044 | 6,044 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 05-18 23:49 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 902 | $11.3K | 5,748 | 5,748 | -0 | No | $0 | 05-23 17:10 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | 389 | $11.3K | 5,657 | 5,703 | -46 | No | -$10 | 05-11 18:18 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May? | 460 | $11.2K | 5,588 | 5,588 | -0 | No | $0 | 05-20 15:34 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | 402 | $10.3K | 5,188 | 5,188 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-14 23:55 |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | 662 | $10.2K | 5,130 | 5,130 | +0 | No | -$3 | 05-15 22:48 |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | 739 | $10.2K | 5,139 | 5,139 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-15 23:51 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 503 | $9.8K | 4,910 | 4,910 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-03 22:36 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | 403 | $9.5K | 4,845 | 4,845 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-25 21:38 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | 328 | $9.4K | 4,720 | 4,720 | +0 | No | +$0 | 05-26 03:17 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||