Colossal-Contract — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.1%

Resolved

Trades

93,500

lifetime

Volume

$3.58M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 08-15 12:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

41% 21% $-5

Politics

30% 20% $-64

Sports

19% 14% $-8

Crypto

9% 20% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1505 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4,686	$209.5K	106,030	106,110	-80	No	$-1	04-28 02:13
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3,672	$155.0K	77,569	78,034	-465	open	—	04-28 02:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	3,116	$142.0K	72,171	72,380	-209	open	—	05-30 19:45
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2,775	$117.2K	59,301	59,438	-137	open	—	04-27 12:16
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3,060	$98.8K	49,696	49,718	-22	open	—	04-28 07:30
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,299	$86.5K	44,196	44,452	-256	open	—	04-28 07:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1,271	$85.7K	43,288	43,386	-99	open	—	05-27 14:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1,158	$81.9K	41,146	40,998	+148	No	$-0	05-12 08:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2,270	$65.8K	33,407	33,600	-193	open	—	06-28 03:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2,114	$60.8K	31,146	31,216	-70	open	—	06-29 10:10
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,362	$59.2K	29,961	30,545	-584	No	$-7	04-23 23:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1,025	$59.0K	29,969	30,112	-143	open	—	05-01 00:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1,496	$58.2K	29,464	29,533	-69	open	—	05-29 09:12
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	948	$55.4K	28,053	28,242	-188	Yes	$-3	04-28 06:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	746	$50.2K	25,530	25,520	+10	open	—	04-29 04:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	782	$48.5K	24,474	24,572	-98	open	—	04-29 21:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1,284	$47.6K	24,288	24,385	-97	open	—	05-16 06:41
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1,437	$47.0K	23,639	23,639	+0	open	—	05-15 05:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1,468	$42.9K	21,646	21,634	+12	open	—	06-21 00:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2,026	$42.7K	21,755	21,712	+43	open	—	07-30 23:42
Trump out as President by May 31?	978	$41.4K	20,950	20,930	+21	open	—	05-28 03:35
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	1,288	$38.7K	19,403	19,403	+0	open	—	07-01 04:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	742	$38.7K	19,383	19,679	-296	open	—	04-29 18:57
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	958	$38.2K	19,194	19,246	-52	open	—	04-27 09:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	584	$34.3K	17,072	17,535	-463	open	—	04-28 07:05
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	833	$33.0K	16,598	16,499	+99	open	—	04-28 07:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	545	$31.2K	15,726	15,725	+0	open	—	05-14 23:55
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	725	$31.1K	15,610	15,610	+0	open	—	05-17 01:01
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	292	$30.9K	15,625	15,588	+37	open	—	05-12 00:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1,344	$30.2K	15,294	15,248	+46	open	—	06-27 19:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 16:21:34	wta eala ruse 2026 08 15	Alexandra Eala	SELL	26	97¢	$26	0x7c91eb…
08-15 16:21:31	wta eala ruse 2026 08 15	Alexandra Eala	BUY	26	97¢	$26	0xc7d5e0…
08-15 16:16:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xf40391…
08-15 16:15:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x4bbd0b…
08-15 16:15:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xaf6a8d…
08-15 16:15:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xee5a45…
08-15 16:15:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x510892…
08-15 16:15:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x82b1b3…
08-15 16:15:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x4b0baf…
08-15 16:15:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x9ebf31…
08-15 16:14:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x67f0f7…
08-15 16:14:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x38000b…
08-15 16:13:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0xa86bb1…
08-15 16:13:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0x14c357…
08-15 16:12:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb539fa…
08-15 16:11:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x6d321f…
08-15 16:11:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0x88418e…
08-15 16:10:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0xead752…
08-15 16:10:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0x25a496…
08-15 16:08:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0xd0f506…
08-15 16:08:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0x048ae7…
08-15 16:08:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x97bc45…
08-15 16:07:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x1a7398…
08-15 16:07:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd0a593…
08-15 16:07:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x80abf7…
08-15 16:07:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xeaa54f…
08-15 16:06:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xbdd738…
08-15 16:06:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x4848d2…
08-15 16:06:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5c6c8b…
08-15 16:06:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x0c3284…
08-15 16:06:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeffb1d…
08-15 16:06:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x3f75fd…
08-15 16:05:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x1703bb…
08-15 16:05:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x778489…
08-15 16:05:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x4023e6…
08-15 16:05:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x162953…
08-15 16:05:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xd8a86c…
08-15 16:04:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xd615a6…
08-15 16:04:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x3840c3…
08-15 16:04:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x357067…
08-15 16:03:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x5bc0f9…
08-15 16:03:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xbfd8c1…
08-15 16:03:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2d5a4e…
08-15 16:03:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xeb4b58…
08-15 16:03:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0x97907a…
08-15 16:03:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0xe36282…
08-15 16:03:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x693d1d…
08-15 16:02:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x8b00a0…
08-15 16:02:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0x8ece96…
08-15 16:02:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x5b46db…
08-15 16:02:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0xa85c30…
08-15 16:01:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf907e9…
08-15 16:01:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd8c757…
08-15 16:01:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x7ab082…
08-15 16:01:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0x3ebdb1…
08-15 16:01:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3d9fb3…
08-15 16:01:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x52367d…
08-15 16:01:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x1ff834…
08-15 16:00:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x70e938…
08-15 16:00:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xeee6eb…
08-15 16:00:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x288ca5…
08-15 16:00:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x21f455…
08-15 16:00:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x5a8550…
08-15 16:00:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x043856…
08-15 15:59:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xbde60b…
08-15 15:59:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xaaece0…
08-15 15:59:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x72bbad…
08-15 15:59:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xef0b34…
08-15 15:59:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9cb13b…
08-15 15:58:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe170b5…
08-15 15:50:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x51775a…
08-15 15:48:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x51e99e…
08-15 15:48:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6844d1…
08-15 15:43:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x83119a…
08-15 15:26:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdac3c4…
08-15 15:21:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xc3319e…
08-15 15:21:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x3cf5f4…
08-15 14:55:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5a6983…
08-15 14:55:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3804c6…
08-15 14:55:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x66533c…
08-15 14:27:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xcb5186…
08-15 14:27:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f8ecb…
08-15 14:27:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedee20…
08-15 14:27:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9219bd…
08-15 14:27:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4aca94…
08-15 14:27:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x47e18b…
08-15 14:27:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x25abc6…
08-15 14:27:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa74d47…
08-15 14:26:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0184dc…
08-15 14:03:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1e81b5…
08-15 14:03:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8545d3…
08-15 14:03:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xfef115…
08-15 14:03:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x39c875…
08-15 14:03:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xc0bcbb…
08-15 14:03:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x379bd8…
08-15 14:03:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x66667b…
08-15 14:03:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x7037f0…
08-15 14:03:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x45e71c…
08-15 14:02:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xd17972…
08-15 14:02:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d87c3…