Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
83
lifetime
Volume
$5.52K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$5.05K
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 13:50
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
67%
Politics
18%
Sports
14%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? No -2,675 $-2,645 99¢ $-2644 +$1 05-06 13:50
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? No -615 $-600 98¢ $-605 $-6 05-06 12:30
Trump out as President by May 31? No -462 $-458 99¢ $-458 $-0 05-05 19:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 6? No -294 $-294 100¢ $-293 +$0 05-06 13:42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -134 $-132 98¢ $-132 +$0 05-06 13:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No -132 $-129 98¢ $-129 +$0 05-06 12:12
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? Yes -128 $-127 100¢ $-127 +$0 05-06 11:47
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -120 $-118 98¢ $-118 $-0 05-05 12:41
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -85 $-84 99¢ $-84 +$0 05-05 12:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? No +81 $81 100¢ $81 $-0 05-06 13:37
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -81 $-80 99¢ $-80 +$0 05-06 02:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No +78 $77 99¢ $77 $-0 05-05 13:15
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -77 $-76 99¢ $-76 $-0 05-06 02:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No -66 $-62 95¢ $-62 +$0 05-05 19:47
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -40 $-39 99¢ $-39 +$0 05-05 04:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? No +22 $22 97¢ $21 $-0 05-05 09:50
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? No -20 $-19 98¢ $-19 +$0 05-05 19:36
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 05-05 16:27