Embellished-Chime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$145

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

15.2%

Resolved

896

Trades

92,950

lifetime

Volume

$2.01M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$32

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 09-01 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Other

47% 21% -$104

Sports

24% 25% -$9

Politics

20% 33% -$30

Crypto

9% 23% -$2

Tech

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 897 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	-12	-$12	97¢	$-12	+$0	04-28 13:22
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	-10	-$10	100¢	$-10	$0	04-29 09:14
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	-10	-$10	99¢	$-10	$0	04-29 09:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	3,327	$104.7K	52,544	52,544	+0	No	$0	05-11 10:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2,429	$59.8K	30,390	30,390	+0	No	$0	05-30 19:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2,490	$59.8K	30,647	30,647	+0	Yes	-$1	06-07 18:43
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1,736	$55.8K	27,976	27,997	-20	No	$0	05-13 12:49
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1,963	$55.7K	28,114	28,114	+0	No	$0	06-07 17:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1,522	$46.6K	23,954	23,940	+14	No	$0	06-30 00:03
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	685	$46.1K	23,096	23,096	+0	No	$0	08-31 19:22
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,951	$45.0K	22,965	22,965	+0	No	$0	05-26 01:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1,691	$44.8K	22,573	22,573	+0	No	$0	06-07 15:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1,670	$33.6K	17,011	17,011	+0	No	-$1	06-09 07:14
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	993	$31.4K	15,793	15,793	-0	No	$0	05-15 17:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1,881	$30.4K	15,403	15,403	+0	No	-$1	08-31 17:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1,435	$29.8K	15,035	15,035	+0	No	-$1	05-29 18:16
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?	1,075	$29.2K	14,726	14,726	+0	No	$0	07-09 19:34
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1,057	$26.6K	13,562	13,562	+0	Yes	$0	05-17 13:14
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,106	$24.2K	12,389	12,389	+0	No	$0	05-12 04:59
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,060	$23.3K	11,790	11,790	+0	No	-$1	05-16 04:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1,046	$22.4K	11,385	11,447	-62	No	-$1	05-16 06:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	977	$22.0K	11,225	11,225	+0	No	$0	06-26 16:15
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	933	$22.0K	11,103	11,103	+0	No	-$1	07-08 09:08
Trump out as President by June 30?	735	$21.7K	11,001	11,001	+0	No	$0	06-28 15:27
Trump out as President by May 31?	985	$21.1K	10,672	10,672	+0	No	+$0	05-28 01:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	833	$20.6K	10,325	10,325	+0	No	$0	06-09 07:14
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	782	$20.6K	10,293	10,312	-19	Yes	$0	05-18 15:51
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	831	$20.4K	10,403	10,403	+0	Yes	+$0	05-26 01:18
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1,071	$18.9K	9,501	9,493	+8	No	$0	05-15 05:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	814	$17.8K	9,001	9,022	-21	No	$0	05-27 14:45
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	663	$17.6K	8,855	8,855	+0	No	$0	05-03 22:46
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	676	$17.3K	8,814	8,814	+0	No	$0	06-29 18:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	1,075	$17.2K	8,721	8,721	+0	No	$0	08-29 19:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 07:59:36	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x7af6f2…
09-01 06:27:58	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbe6342…
09-01 06:27:58	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x92f409…
09-01 06:24:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd6ff20…
09-01 06:24:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebc1d9…
09-01 05:58:52	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x30e5df…
09-01 05:58:48	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x957a76…
09-01 05:58:45	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x85e848…
09-01 05:58:40	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cd519…
09-01 05:58:34	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfe065d…
09-01 05:58:34	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb63e43…
09-01 05:58:33	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24f5ee…
09-01 05:58:27	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6b1754…
09-01 05:58:25	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x046d9f…
09-01 05:58:18	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbc02cb…
09-01 05:58:16	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa5ce2a…
09-01 05:58:07	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf63263…
09-01 05:58:06	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x234ae5…
09-01 05:51:00	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x256645…
09-01 05:41:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x33ad7b…
09-01 05:41:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb3c7d2…
09-01 05:40:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x409afa…
09-01 05:40:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x47a262…
09-01 05:40:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfe6a79…
09-01 05:40:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfeb263…
09-01 05:39:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xff8004…
09-01 05:39:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4c0eab…
09-01 05:39:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x46e0d4…
09-01 05:38:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa46700…
09-01 05:38:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x53ed7f…
09-01 05:38:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2b2d32…
09-01 05:38:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x127757…
09-01 05:38:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbdb02b…
09-01 05:38:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe42fb4…
09-01 05:38:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe8d983…
09-01 05:38:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x5c9c8f…
09-01 05:38:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x43fd78…
09-01 05:37:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcea6af…
09-01 05:37:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb73fc…
09-01 05:15:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb41c5c…
09-01 05:03:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x27f8c0…
09-01 05:03:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x647d60…
09-01 05:02:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0xf9bed0…
09-01 05:02:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x514261…
09-01 05:02:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xfc1af5…
09-01 05:02:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x10fc3c…
09-01 05:02:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0xf02f76…
09-01 05:02:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x767191…
09-01 05:01:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe0fb06…
09-01 05:01:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x711c84…
09-01 05:01:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x721a44…
09-01 05:01:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4dea48…
09-01 05:01:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9cdee3…
09-01 05:00:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x24ee4a…
09-01 05:00:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb389ca…
09-01 05:00:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62ad6f…
09-01 05:00:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x7699bd…
09-01 05:00:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x86b10b…
09-01 04:59:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x202e55…
09-01 04:59:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0571b0…
09-01 04:59:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x5a44ab…
09-01 04:59:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x51268e…
09-01 04:59:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x80cd52…
09-01 04:59:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x74c7b3…
09-01 04:59:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4bd954…
09-01 04:58:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdf1d65…
09-01 04:58:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x247202…
09-01 04:58:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb2cddd…
09-01 04:58:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2eabbb…
09-01 04:57:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdf4855…
09-01 04:57:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc253dd…
09-01 04:57:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xac0306…
09-01 04:57:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x53e5b2…
09-01 04:57:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac7dfb…
09-01 04:56:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x18f863…
09-01 04:56:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80edc9…
09-01 04:56:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5b199f…
09-01 04:56:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xbc5a2a…
09-01 04:56:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ac095…
09-01 04:56:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd7dbe2…
09-01 04:55:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x34e5da…
09-01 04:55:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x543791…
09-01 04:55:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf12af8…
09-01 04:55:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xddaa1c…
09-01 04:55:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc1733f…
09-01 04:55:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5855b7…
09-01 04:54:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xecb920…
09-01 04:54:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6b4562…
09-01 04:54:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5439bf…
09-01 04:54:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe48717…
09-01 04:54:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x51c1b3…
09-01 04:54:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x5797bb…
09-01 04:54:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x390e49…
09-01 04:54:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x247a75…
09-01 04:54:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x15ed5e…
09-01 04:54:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x65b650…
09-01 04:32:05	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2892d8…
09-01 04:07:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xcada07…
09-01 04:07:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc55996…
09-01 04:07:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x707356…