Embellished-Chime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

Trades

36,426

lifetime

Volume

$732.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 08-15 23:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

46% 17% $-0

Politics

40% 40% $-16

Crypto

10% 0% $-0

Sports

4% 33% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 1077 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2,385	$58.8K	29,904	29,852	+51	open	—	05-30 19:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1,501	$46.1K	23,740	23,602	+137	open	—	06-30 00:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1,405	$29.1K	14,700	14,672	+28	open	—	05-29 18:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1,042	$22.4K	11,344	11,424	-80	open	—	05-16 06:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	914	$21.0K	10,693	10,723	-31	open	—	06-26 16:15
Trump out as President by May 31?	963	$20.9K	10,566	10,548	+18	open	—	05-28 01:01
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	782	$20.6K	10,293	10,312	-19	open	—	05-18 15:51
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1,071	$18.9K	9,501	9,493	+8	open	—	05-15 05:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	804	$17.7K	8,918	8,939	-21	open	—	05-27 14:45
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	600	$16.1K	8,093	8,093	+0	open	—	06-24 11:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	487	$12.9K	6,461	6,461	+0	No	+$0	05-12 08:02
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	402	$12.5K	6,278	6,288	-11	open	—	05-11 18:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	527	$11.9K	5,990	6,071	-81	open	—	06-27 20:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	535	$11.7K	5,898	5,882	+16	open	—	07-30 23:42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	348	$10.9K	5,565	5,545	+21	open	—	05-23 03:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	511	$10.7K	5,406	5,406	+0	open	—	08-03 19:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	450	$10.3K	5,172	5,206	-33	open	—	05-14 07:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	401	$9.8K	4,957	4,957	+0	open	—	05-14 23:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	561	$9.7K	4,935	4,935	+0	open	—	08-13 11:55
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	293	$9.5K	4,777	4,777	+0	open	—	05-17 01:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	475	$8.3K	4,174	4,265	-90	open	—	06-01 06:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	453	$8.1K	4,148	4,128	+20	open	—	08-16 03:22
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	422	$7.8K	3,928	3,928	+0	open	—	08-12 20:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	302	$7.8K	3,958	3,958	+0	open	—	05-26 07:33
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	326	$7.6K	3,797	3,797	+0	open	—	06-30 17:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	565	$7.4K	3,716	3,741	-25	open	—	05-01 00:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	384	$7.3K	3,716	3,695	+22	open	—	05-25 21:38
Trump out as President by June 30?	332	$7.3K	3,660	3,660	+0	open	—	06-28 15:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	351	$6.8K	3,478	3,478	+0	open	—	05-27 01:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	188	$6.6K	3,298	3,298	-0	open	—	05-23 08:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 03:31:33	ufc mac1 gil 2026 08 15	Mackenzie Dern	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3c88ca…
08-16 03:31:30	ufc mac1 gil 2026 08 15	Mackenzie Dern	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb1bd48…
08-16 03:23:00	ufc mac1 gil 2026 08 15	Mackenzie Dern	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf77301…
08-16 03:22:57	ufc mac1 gil 2026 08 15	Mackenzie Dern	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x415fc0…
08-16 03:22:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x9bce1c…
08-16 03:22:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x5d6ac6…
08-16 02:15:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x4fed34…
08-16 01:32:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbac32c…
08-16 01:22:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x14d85c…
08-15 23:19:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc93c35…
08-15 23:02:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x55b091…
08-15 23:00:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x8f8152…
08-15 23:00:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x4b7a0f…
08-15 22:31:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x529b0e…
08-15 21:04:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x90a48a…
08-15 21:04:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x1b32c7…
08-15 21:04:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb56854…
08-15 20:25:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x9b2140…
08-15 20:25:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x4b099c…
08-15 20:24:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe72027…
08-15 20:24:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc731a0…
08-15 20:24:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x628d49…
08-15 20:24:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xe11aff…
08-15 20:24:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xd9e93a…
08-15 20:23:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xcd7057…
08-15 20:23:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x16b3fe…
08-15 20:23:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x27e784…
08-15 20:23:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x042fbe…
08-15 20:23:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xee7494…
08-15 20:23:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x63dd38…
08-15 20:23:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3d23db…
08-15 20:23:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x93823f…
08-15 20:23:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8a5cb5…
08-15 20:23:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x16d5bc…
08-15 20:23:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3748bd…
08-15 20:22:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x70ade4…
08-15 20:22:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x085c89…
08-15 20:22:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x4d01b1…
08-15 20:22:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x88f046…
08-15 20:01:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xf85f0d…
08-15 20:00:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x537025…
08-15 19:28:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x8a4d29…
08-15 19:27:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa4835c…
08-15 19:27:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x41eb48…
08-15 19:27:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc9eedd…
08-15 19:27:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x132eaf…
08-15 19:04:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	45	98¢	$45	0xd33cf3…
08-15 19:02:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x87cc2e…
08-15 19:02:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x5fee40…
08-15 18:59:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xd09850…
08-15 18:58:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x20ac7a…
08-15 18:57:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6e6b92…
08-15 18:57:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x067278…
08-15 18:57:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xd4093c…
08-15 18:57:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x89092c…
08-15 18:57:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xdfccbd…
08-15 18:57:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbf7dcc…
08-15 18:57:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0xb8a1ec…
08-15 18:56:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe2eeae…
08-15 18:56:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x5344cc…
08-15 18:56:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x6627f5…
08-15 18:56:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xe53534…
08-15 18:56:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x63d945…
08-15 18:56:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x375592…
08-15 18:56:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x991c70…
08-15 18:55:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xc8f888…
08-15 18:55:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x8f95db…
08-15 18:55:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xeaedf6…
08-15 18:55:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xbc46e8…
08-15 18:55:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x1b8930…
08-15 18:55:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x9f5aae…
08-15 18:54:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xd8633c…
08-15 18:54:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x438100…
08-15 18:54:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	34	98¢	$34	0x04000c…
08-15 18:54:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xf3e4aa…
08-15 18:54:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x7bb091…
08-15 18:54:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xe55761…
08-15 18:53:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	40	98¢	$40	0x3f6102…
08-15 18:53:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xf2ec77…
08-15 18:53:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfd7bcb…
08-15 18:53:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xcd0d4e…
08-15 18:53:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x4b8696…
08-15 18:53:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf2cada…
08-15 18:53:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x969e5b…
08-15 18:53:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xbab52f…
08-15 18:53:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xa17a12…
08-15 18:53:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x07465d…
08-15 18:52:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x3d4a40…
08-15 18:52:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb79676…
08-15 18:52:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0x10c1d8…
08-15 18:52:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x811218…
08-15 18:52:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x8b52e1…
08-15 18:52:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1080d1…
08-15 18:52:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x1a39f0…
08-15 18:52:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x569ce5…
08-15 18:52:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x48fb7c…
08-15 18:51:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x5eaeb0…
08-15 18:51:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4bf4cd…
08-15 18:51:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe1a2f1…
08-15 18:50:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x91ac76…