Realized P&L
-$129
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
18.8%
Resolved
747
Trades
114,376
lifetime
Volume
$2.89M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$27
2 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 07-02 09:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Other
43%
21%
-$75
Sports
26%
14%
-$32
Politics
23%
31%
-$20
Crypto
8%
25%
-$2
Tech
0%
55%
+$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | -27 | -$27 | 100¢ | $-27 | $0 | 04-28 22:19 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | +0 | $0 | 100¢ | $0 | +$0 | 06-19 05:57 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 5,149 | $141.9K | 71,500 | 71,903 | -403 | No | -$6 | 05-13 19:29 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | 3,026 | $98.2K | 49,548 | 49,548 | +0 | No | +$0 | 06-17 09:07 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 3,227 | $89.0K | 45,381 | 45,381 | +0 | Yes | -$1 | 06-16 19:32 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 2,911 | $80.0K | 40,803 | 40,803 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-28 03:45 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 3,033 | $71.5K | 36,057 | 36,057 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-16 18:34 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 2,886 | $71.3K | 36,100 | 36,100 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-18 04:42 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,726 | $70.7K | 35,616 | 36,267 | -651 | No | -$9 | 05-12 04:59 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,273 | $70.6K | 35,585 | 35,759 | -174 | No | -$2 | 05-16 04:10 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 2,063 | $66.3K | 33,236 | 34,174 | -938 | No | -$10 | 05-22 14:23 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,660 | $64.7K | 33,237 | 33,237 | +0 | No | +$0 | 05-18 01:54 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 2,301 | $61.7K | 31,023 | 31,023 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-16 04:40 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,004 | $57.7K | 29,456 | 29,456 | +0 | No | -$1 | 05-26 01:48 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 2,031 | $51.8K | 26,181 | 26,181 | +0 | No | -$2 | 06-16 18:26 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 1,642 | $50.1K | 25,733 | 25,733 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-29 10:10 |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | 992 | $49.5K | 25,015 | 25,015 | +0 | No | +$0 | 05-28 03:35 |
| Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | 1,389 | $49.2K | 24,733 | 24,733 | +0 | No | +$0 | 05-08 08:03 |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,418 | $47.0K | 23,707 | 23,641 | +66 | No | $0 | 05-02 03:15 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | 1,390 | $45.6K | 23,025 | 23,063 | -38 | No | -$1 | 05-27 14:40 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1,651 | $41.5K | 21,009 | 21,009 | +0 | No | -$1 | 07-01 15:17 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | 1,363 | $39.2K | 19,842 | 19,842 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-21 01:04 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 1,367 | $38.6K | 19,547 | 19,567 | -20 | Yes | $0 | 05-12 16:52 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 1,575 | $38.0K | 19,122 | 19,301 | -179 | No | -$2 | 05-29 18:24 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | 1,235 | $37.1K | 18,932 | 18,932 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 05-26 01:18 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1,229 | $33.2K | 16,902 | 16,902 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-29 18:59 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | 1,092 | $32.3K | 16,500 | 16,500 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-14 16:59 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,863 | $28.7K | 14,392 | 14,458 | -66 | No | $0 | 04-30 22:22 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 1,099 | $27.9K | 14,191 | 14,216 | -25 | No | +$1 | 05-16 06:41 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1,317 | $27.6K | 14,072 | 14,072 | +0 | No | -$1 | 07-02 09:41 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | 799 | $25.9K | 13,013 | 13,039 | -26 | No | $0 | 05-14 23:55 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | 724 | $25.7K | 12,889 | 12,889 | +0 | No | +$0 | 05-12 08:02 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||