Realized P&L
-$163
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
20.6%
Resolved
669
Trades
104,970
lifetime
Volume
$2.89M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 06-17 12:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Other
40%
19%
-$56
Sports
30%
14%
-$11
Politics
21%
28%
-$94
Crypto
8%
28%
-$2
Tech
0%
25%
$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 4,449 | $139.6K | 70,254 | 70,696 | -442 | No | -$6 | 05-13 19:29 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,638 | $126.0K | 63,853 | 63,788 | +66 | No | +$2 | 05-16 04:10 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | 2,666 | $94.6K | 47,751 | 47,751 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-17 09:08 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 2,987 | $89.2K | 44,821 | 44,821 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-16 04:40 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 2,979 | $87.8K | 44,783 | 44,783 | +0 | Yes | -$1 | 06-16 19:42 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,881 | $87.4K | 44,385 | 44,598 | -213 | No | -$4 | 05-12 04:47 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,054 | $86.1K | 44,268 | 44,268 | +0 | No | +$0 | 05-18 01:54 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 3,187 | $85.2K | 43,532 | 43,532 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-17 02:48 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 3,032 | $81.0K | 41,013 | 41,013 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-17 12:24 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 2,424 | $79.6K | 40,472 | 40,511 | -39 | No | -$2 | 05-30 19:45 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,124 | $74.1K | 37,166 | 37,227 | -61 | No | $0 | 04-30 21:27 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,370 | $72.4K | 36,910 | 36,910 | +0 | No | -$1 | 05-26 01:42 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 2,290 | $71.4K | 36,008 | 36,008 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-16 18:34 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | 1,787 | $61.6K | 31,404 | 31,404 | +0 | Yes | +$0 | 05-26 01:18 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | 2,013 | $55.0K | 27,823 | 27,823 | +0 | No | -$1 | 06-16 18:26 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | 1,222 | $54.6K | 27,575 | 27,575 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-27 14:40 |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 2,694 | $51.2K | 25,788 | 25,804 | -16 | No | $0 | 05-02 03:15 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 1,409 | $47.4K | 23,939 | 24,048 | -109 | Yes | -$2 | 05-12 16:39 |
| Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | 1,236 | $44.3K | 22,252 | 22,252 | -0 | No | $0 | 05-16 14:22 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 1,551 | $41.3K | 20,864 | 20,868 | -4 | No | -$1 | 05-29 18:24 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | 1,141 | $38.8K | 19,839 | 19,839 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-14 16:57 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,198 | $35.2K | 17,638 | 17,688 | -50 | No | $0 | 05-04 01:45 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | 1,272 | $33.6K | 16,881 | 16,881 | +0 | No | +$0 | 05-11 10:04 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | 801 | $31.4K | 15,744 | 15,744 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-12 08:02 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 1,122 | $31.3K | 16,065 | 16,065 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-10 06:15 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,158 | $31.1K | 15,596 | 15,716 | -120 | No | -$1 | 05-03 16:54 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | 842 | $28.8K | 14,489 | 14,489 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-14 23:55 |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | 839 | $28.4K | 14,380 | 14,380 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-28 03:35 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1,683 | $25.6K | 12,991 | 12,991 | -0 | No | $0 | 05-23 20:39 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | 764 | $21.7K | 10,980 | 10,980 | +0 | No | $0 | 06-17 05:20 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||